New York Islanders vs. Carolina HurricanesOct 28, 2022

FinalFriday, Oct 28, 2022· PNC Arena

away

New York IslandersNYI

6

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	2	3	6		NYI	9	12	11	32
CAR	0	2	0	2		CAR	7	17	11	35

: NYI 48CAR 87
: NYI 2.47CAR 3.48
PP goals: NYI 0CAR 0
Hits: NYI 29CAR 22
Blocks: NYI 28CAR 10
PIM: NYI 6CAR 2
: NYI 46%CAR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Carolina Hurricanes 6–2

New York Islanders beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–2 at CAR. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NYI scored 6 goals on 2.47 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Brock Nelson had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:10.Nelson
Points
Anthony Beauvillier had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:21.Beauvillier
Points
Mathew Barzal had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:46.Barzal
Luck
NYI scored 6 goals on 2.47 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Ilya Sorokin (NYI) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +5 against a season average of 29.6; the win.Sorokin
Usage
Dylan Coghlan (CAR) played 19:22, +7:04 up on his 12:18 season average over 16 games.Coghlan
Usage
Anders Lee (NYI) played 13:39, −3:37 down on his 17:16 season average over 81 games.Lee
Usage
Brock Nelson (NYI) played 15:10, −3:19 down on his 18:29 season average over 81 games.Nelson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · CAR 87 · NYI 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 19% of the game, CAR 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	CAR
	54	86
	2.19	2.99
	2.10	2.92
	16	12
	6	5
	18	28
	−0.058	+0.058
	19%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Barzal – Wahlstrom
12:3659% CF
L2Parise – Palmieri – Pageau
11:4334% CF
L3Lee – Nelson – Beauvillier
11:0521% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
7:5460% CF
D1Dobson – Romanov
15:2535% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
15:0347% CF
D3Mayfield – Aho
13:3632% CF

PP1Parise – Bailey – Pageau – Pulock – Wahlstrom
1:03100% CF
PP2Palmieri – Lee – Nelson – Barzal – Dobson
0:41100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
1:17
PK2FBailey – Nelson
0:53
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:30
PK2DPulock – Romanov
0:40

Current NYI line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Necas – Kotkaniemi – Svechnikov
12:5362% CF
L2Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
9:2032% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
8:0753% CF
L4Staal – Fast – Martinook
6:5192% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
18:3560% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
16:4667% CF
D3Chatfield – Coghlan
13:4361% CF

PP1Burns – Aho – Coghlan – Necas – Svechnikov
2:32100% CF
PP2Stastny – Teravainen – Coghlan – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
1:35100% CF
PK1FStaal – Stepan
0:59
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:23
PK1DSlavin – Chatfield
0:31
PK2DSkjei – Pesce
0:31

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:29
NYIOliver Wahlstrom (Mathew Barzal, Scott Mayfield)wrist0.16 xG
NYI: Bailey, Barzal, Aho, Wahlstrom, DobsonCAR: Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis
NYI 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

8:57
CARMartin Necas (Brady Skjei)wrist0.17 xG
NYI: Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, WahlstromCAR: Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov
NYI 1 – 1 CAR
14:29
NYIMatt Martin (Casey Cizikas)wrist0.14 xG
NYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, RomanovCAR: Stastny, Stepan, Noesen, Chatfield, Coghlan
NYI 2 – 1 CAR
15:35
CARBrent Burns (Jordan Martinook, Brett Pesce)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, AhoCAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Pesce
NYI 2 – 2 CAR
16:26
NYIJosh Bailey (Mathew Barzal, Alexander Romanov)backhand0.12 xG
NYI: Bailey, Pelech, Barzal, Wahlstrom, RomanovCAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, Jarvis
NYI 3 – 2 CAR

3rd period

3:59
NYIBrock Nelson (Anthony Beauvillier, Anders Lee)wrist0.07 xG
NYI: Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson, RomanovCAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Teravainen, Slavin
NYI 4 – 2 CAR
11:06
NYIBrock Nelson (Anthony Beauvillier, Ryan Pulock)wrist0.11 xG
NYI: Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, BeauvillierCAR: Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov
NYI 5 – 2 CAR
18:06
NYIZach PariseENwrist0.58 xG
NYI: Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, PelechCAR: Burns, Staal, Noesen, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
NYI 6 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.17	1	2	2	16:46	—	—	55	61
Josh Bailey R	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.12	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	57	57
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	1	0	0	15:11	—	—	52	51
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.58	1	0	2	16:12	—	—	29	33
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	16:09	—	—	30	33
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	0	0	15:06	—	—	32	36
Brock Nelson C	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	0.21	0	0	0	15:10	—	—	23	35
Anthony Beauvillier R	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.12	1	2	0	14:21	—	—	27	34
Anders Lee L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	13:39	—	—	23	34
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	1	0	13:24	—	—	55	33
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	11:44	—	—	53	57
Matt Martin L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	4	1	0	11:26	—	—	53	42
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.01	2	3	0	20:22	—	—	30	37
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.05	1	4	0	18:48	—	—	42	50
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	3	4	0	21:28	—	—	41	44
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.32	3	5	2	19:24	—	—	48	65
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	2	4	0	22:19	—	—	34	27
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	1	0	0	15:48	—	—	33	22

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	3.48	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.34	2	0	0	18:50	—	—	57	41
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	3	1	0	17:18	—	—	63	48
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	2	1	0	15:55	—	—	61	49
Derek Stepan C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:50	—	—	38	53
Paul Stastny C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:28	—	—	32	37
Stefan Noesen R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	1	0	0	12:09	—	—	32	46
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.37	0	0	0	18:03	—	—	62	50
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	1	1	0	16:22	—	—	67	58
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.30	1	0	0	16:12	—	—	59	53
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	0	0	14:38	—	—	82	80
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.37	1	0	2	13:43	—	—	92	95
Jesper Fast R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	2	0	0	12:11	—	—	84	82
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.02	1	3	0	21:36	—	—	58	58
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.21	0	0	0	21:01	—	—	63	57
Brent Burns D	D2	1	0	1	-2	5	0.39	0	1	0	20:23	—	—	66	49
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	1	1	0	19:51	—	—	67	50
Dylan Coghlan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	2	1	0	19:22	—	—	60	73
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:20	—	—	55	63

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	31	26	5	.839	1.89	59:48

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.