New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 9, 2019

FinalMonday, Dec 9, 2019· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	2	3	5		NYI	8	8	8	24
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	9	12	11	32

: NYI 44TBL 71
: NYI 2.03TBL 2.83
PP goals: NYI 1TBL 0
Hits: NYI 22TBL 22
Blocks: NYI 18TBL 11
PIM: NYI 10TBL 8
: NYI 42%TBL 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1

New York Islanders beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1 at TBL. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for NYI: Nelson–Dal Colle–Beauvillier skated 7:24 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:53.Nelson
Points
Anders Lee had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:25.Lee
Points
Josh Bailey had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:20.Bailey
New line
New look for NYI: Nelson–Dal Colle–Beauvillier skated 7:24 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nelson Dal Colle Beauvillier
Luck
NYI scored 5 goals on 2.03 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Conacher–Verhaeghe–Stephens skated 5:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (68.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Conacher Verhaeghe Stephens
Usage
Ross Johnston (NYI) played 12:13, +4:22 up on his 7:51 season average over 31 games.Johnston
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.83 expected goals (71 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TBL 71 · NYI 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 21% of the game, TBL 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	TBL
	43	69
	1.68	2.55
	1.62	2.42
	7	17
	2	7
	14	17
	−0.056	+0.056
	21%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Johnston – Barzal
10:4050% CF
L2Nelson – Dal Colle – Beauvillier
7:2427% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
7:2144% CF
L4Brassard – Eberle – Lee
6:4523% CF
D1Mayfield – Toews
10:3940% CF
D2Boychuk – Pelech
5:5214% CF
D3Pulock – Dobson
1:2825% CF

PP1Bailey – Eberle – Nelson – Toews – Barzal
1:52
PP2Eberle – Martin – Lee – Toews – Barzal
0:54100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
3:00
PK2FBailey – Nelson
1:21
PK1DBoychuk – Pelech
2:41
PK2DMayfield – Pulock
0:51

Current NYI line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
11:2965% CF
L2Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
8:3954% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
8:1968% CF
L4Conacher – Verhaeghe – Stephens
5:4869% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:3743% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Hedman
10:1767% CF
D3Schenn – Sergachev
5:5873% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
3:4971% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:0075% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:25
PK2FGourde – Paquette
1:20
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:46
PK2DSchenn – Hedman
1:06

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:44
NYIRoss Johnston (Ryan Pulock)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Bailey, Pulock, Johnston, Barzal, DobsonTBL: Schenn, Conacher, Verhaeghe, Stephens, Sergachev
NYI 1 – 0 TBL
8:37
NYIJosh BaileySH (Casey Cizikas)wrist0.15 xG
NYI: Boychuk, Bailey, Cizikas, PulockTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
NYI 2 – 0 TBL
15:35
TBLSteven Stamkos (Kevin Shattenkirk, Anthony Cirelli)backhand0.14 xG
NYI: Brassard, Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, PulockTBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli
NYI 2 – 1 TBL

3rd period

7:31
NYIBrock Nelsonwrist0.21 xG
NYI: Brassard, Nelson, Pelech, Beauvillier, DobsonTBL: Schenn, Hedman, Conacher, Verhaeghe, Stephens
NYI 3 – 1 TBL
14:41
NYIBrock Nelson (Anders Lee, Jordan Eberle)wrist0.01 xG
NYI: Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, ToewsTBL: Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Sergachev
NYI 4 – 1 TBL
16:05
NYIAnders LeePP (Josh Bailey, Mathew Barzal)tip-in0.12 xG
NYI: Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Toews, BarzalTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli
NYI 5 – 1 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Josh Bailey R	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.28	0	1	0	19:20	—	—	46	47
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	0	0	0	19:07	—	—	50	35
Ross Johnston L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	2	0	0	12:13	—	—	46	43
Brock Nelson C	L2	2	0	2	+2	5	0.45	2	2	0	18:53	—	—	36	52
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	0	1	0	14:34	—	—	36	46
Michael Dal Colle L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:43	—	—	20	27
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	15:49	—	—	32	33
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	3	1	0	13:44	—	—	29	54
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	4	0	0	11:58	—	—	38	47
Jordan Eberle R	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:31	—	—	35	12
Anders Lee L	L4	1	1	2	0	3	0.33	4	0	0	14:25	—	—	38	15
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	36	39
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	1	0	24:45	—	—	43	49
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	4	20:34	—	—	33	36
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	0	1	2	23:36	—	—	41	41
Johnny Boychuk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	3	0	18:04	—	—	29	25
Ryan Pulock D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	20:52	—	—	36	25
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:34	—	—	50	65

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.83	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	0	1	0	17:14	—	—	67	86
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	59	74
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	2	1	0	15:13	—	—	59	86
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	50	38
Cedric Paquette C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	3	1	2	14:27	—	—	59	76
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	2	0	0	14:05	—	—	59	55
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	19:55	—	—	68	70
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	2	1	0	19:35	—	—	64	68
Steven Stamkos C	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.46	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	62	51
Cory Conacher C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	1	0	2	11:10	—	—	64	50
Carter Verhaeghe C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:56	—	—	64	38
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	2	0	0	8:28	—	—	63	47
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	3	0	19:26	—	—	51	64
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:59	—	—	46	73
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	1	1	0	23:53	—	—	61	49
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	2	1	2	21:50	—	—	75	69
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	0	0	2	19:36	—	—	70	69
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.12	3	0	0	13:07	—	—	64	52

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	24	19	5	.792	2.03	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.