New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 15, 2021

FinalMonday, Nov 15, 2021· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	0	0	1		NYI	6	12	8	26
TBL	2	0	2	4		TBL	13	3	12	28

: NYI 48TBL 52
: NYI 2.78TBL 2.77
PP goals: NYI 0TBL 1
Hits: NYI 41TBL 41
Blocks: NYI 11TBL 12
PIM: NYI 30TBL 38
: NYI 56%TBL 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New York Islanders 4–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New York Islanders 4–1 at home. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 4:29 together.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:34.Point
Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:56.Hedman
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 4:29 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 9:47, −8:39 down on his 18:26 season average over 75 games.Cirelli
New line
New look for NYI: Parise–Lee–Barzal skated 9:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Parise Lee Barzal
New line
New look for NYI: Bailey–Pageau–Bellows skated 8:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bailey Pageau Bellows
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 2.78 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Sebastian Aho (NYI) played 23:21, +7:06 up on his 16:15 season average over 35 games.Aho

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 100 of 100 attempts · TBL 52 · NYI 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 33% of the game, TBL 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	TBL
	50	48
	2.90	2.54
	2.79	2.44
	11	12
	4	2
	8	6
	+0.037	−0.037
	33%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Beauvillier
9:4156% CF
L2Parise – Lee – Barzal
9:2659% CF
L3Bailey – Pageau – Bellows
8:1050% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Wahlstrom
3:0817% CF
D1Greene – Aho
9:5555% CF
D2Chara – Pulock
7:5480% CF
D3Mayfield – Pelech
6:5555% CF

PP1Bailey – Lee – Pageau – Barzal – Aho
3:3233% CF
PP2Palmieri – Nelson – Pulock – Beauvillier – Wahlstrom
1:23100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Pageau
3:14
PK2FBailey – Nelson
1:09
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
3:35
PK2DChara – Greene
1:38

Current NYI line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
10:4550% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Joseph
9:4837% CF
L3Palat – Point – Cirelli
7:1542% CF
L4Katchouk – Raddysh – Colton
6:5250% CF
D1McDonagh – Bogosian
14:0648% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
13:1646% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
10:4356% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
4:29100% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Raddysh – Sergachev – Colton
2:22100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Joseph
2:21
PK2FKillorn – Raddysh
1:27
PK1DMcDonagh – Sergachev
3:30
PK2DBogosian – Rutta
0:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:53
NYIMathew Barzal (Zach Parise)backhand0.12 xG
NYI: Parise, Greene, Lee, Barzal, AhoTBL: Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta
NYI 1 – 0 TBL
3:16
TBLMathieu Joseph (Alex Killorn)wrist0.18 xG
NYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, AhoTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta
NYI 1 – 1 TBL
19:22
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Ondrej Palat, Victor Hedman)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, PelechTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli
NYI 1 – 2 TBL

3rd period

13:28
TBLBrayden Pointwrist0.05 xG
NYI: Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, AhoTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta
NYI 1 – 3 TBL
15:30
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Victor Hedman, Brayden Point)slap0.06 xG
NYI: Greene, Pageau, Beauvillier, AhoTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point
NYI 1 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	58	52
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.31	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	55	65
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.65	1	0	7	15:23	—	—	52	60
Mathew Barzal C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.18	4	0	0	17:17	—	—	54	49
Anders Lee L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	2	16:23	—	—	52	48
Zach Parise L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	2	0	2	14:05	—	—	60	52
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	4	0	0	21:27	—	—	47	45
Josh Bailey R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:47	—	—	47	38
Kieffer Bellows L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	3	0	0	10:12	—	—	64	65
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	4	0	0	12:55	—	—	33	36
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	7	0	2	9:59	—	—	31	49
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	8:33	—	—	50	61
Sebastian Aho D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	4	1	0	23:21	—	—	41	37
Andy Greene D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	0	4	0	18:41	—	—	53	64
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	3	0	16:45	—	—	55	50
Zdeno Chara D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	3	0	17	16:03	—	—	63	55
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	4	0	0	20:47	—	—	50	60
Adam Pelech D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	2	0	18:55	—	—	52	55

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	28	24	4	.857	2.77	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	17:44	—	—	54	62
Corey Perry R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	3	0	2	16:30	—	—	52	66
Patrick Maroon L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	2	0	5	14:05	—	—	48	43
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.32	3	1	0	19:01	—	—	46	46
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.18	2	0	0	17:10	—	—	46	35
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	32	34
Brayden Point C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.14	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	54	47
Ondrej Palat L	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.61	1	2	0	18:03	—	—	63	63
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.04	1	1	17	9:47	—	—	44	25
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	5	0	0	14:19	—	—	57	60
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:55	—	—	62	71
Boris Katchouk L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	10	8:07	—	—	36	28
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	21:19	—	—	47	56
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	2	18:07	—	—	47	58
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.12	3	2	2	21:56	—	—	49	44
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	2	1	0	16:41	—	—	44	40
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	22:56	—	—	55	38
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	12:06	—	—	47	36

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.78	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.