New York Islanders vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 16, 2021

FinalTuesday, Feb 16, 2021· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	2	0	1	3		NYI	10	5	9	24
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	9	3	8	20

: NYI 44BUF 53
: NYI 3.49BUF 2.73
PP goals: NYI 0BUF 0
Hits: NYI 12BUF 22
Blocks: NYI 19BUF 11
PIM: NYI 4BUF 4
: NYI 52%BUF 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0 at BUF. Anders Lee (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for NYI: Pageau–Beauvillier–Wahlstrom skated 10:42 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (26.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Anders Lee had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:08.Lee
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:25.Pageau
Points
Josh Bailey had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:04.Bailey
New line
New look for NYI: Pageau–Beauvillier–Wahlstrom skated 10:42 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (26.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pageau Beauvillier Wahlstrom
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.73 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Sheahan–Asplund–Thompson skated 4:50 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheahan Asplund Thompson
Usage
Colin Miller (BUF) played 22:41, +4:47 up on his 17:54 season average over 47 games.Miller
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 25:21, +3:49 up on his 21:32 season average over 55 games.Dahlin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · BUF 53 · NYI 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 31% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	BUF
	43	58
	2.18	2.87
	2.02	2.78
	6	14
	2	1
	14	8
	+0.022	−0.022
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Pageau – Beauvillier – Wahlstrom
10:4227% CF
L2Bailey – Lee – Barzal
9:2121% CF
L3Eberle – Nelson – Dal Colle
9:0856% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
7:1743% CF
D1Leddy – Mayfield
13:3314% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
13:1352% CF
D3Greene – Dobson
8:0255% CF

PP1Eberle – Lee – Pulock – Barzal – Dobson
1:53100% CF
PP2Bailey – Leddy – Nelson – Pageau – Dal Colle
1:41100% CF
PK1FPageau – Beauvillier
1:24
PK2FClutterbuck – Cizikas
1:03
PK1DGreene – Mayfield
1:17
PK2DLeddy – Pulock
0:43

Current NYI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Staal – Hall – Reinhart
12:3271% CF
L2Okposo – Eakin – Rieder
7:4859% CF
L3Skinner – Olofsson – Eichel
5:3240% CF
L4Sheahan – Asplund – Thompson
4:5075% CF
D1Miller – Dahlin
17:4374% CF
D2McCabe – Borgen
14:2448% CF
D3Irwin – Jokiharju
11:5442% CF

PP1Hall – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
3:1067% CF
PP2Staal – Okposo – Skinner – Miller – Thompson
0:43
PK1FEakin – Rieder
1:52
PK2FOkposo – Asplund
0:53
PK1DMcCabe – Borgen
2:00
PK2DIrwin – Jokiharju
1:39

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:43
NYIAnders Lee (Noah Dobson, Josh Bailey)deflected0.07 xG
NYI: Greene, Bailey, Lee, Barzal, DobsonBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Irwin, Rieder, Jokiharju
NYI 1 – 0 BUF
11:58
NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau (Ryan Pulock, Nick Leddy)wrist0.08 xG
NYI: Leddy, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier, WahlstromBUF: Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Dahlin
NYI 2 – 0 BUF

3rd period

19:59
NYIAnders LeeEN (Josh Bailey, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.72 xG
NYI: Bailey, Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, PelechBUF: Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NYI 3 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.22	2	0	0	19:25	—	—	25	27
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	32	30
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	0	1	0	14:11	—	—	35	53
Anders Lee L	L2	2	0	2	+2	3	0.81	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	42	42
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.30	0	1	0	17:06	—	—	36	41
Josh Bailey R	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.04	0	1	0	17:04	—	—	21	12
Jordan Eberle R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	0	0	0	16:23	—	—	63	70
Brock Nelson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	1	0	15:58	—	—	64	72
Michael Dal Colle L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	2	0	11:59	—	—	60	73
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.61	1	0	0	11:32	—	—	40	29
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:02	—	—	44	29
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	9:19	—	—	35	25
Nick Leddy D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	1	1	0	24:25	—	—	24	32
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	4	0	21:20	—	—	29	50
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	5	0	21:37	—	—	53	48
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	0	4	20:43	—	—	56	50
Andy Greene D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	1	0	15:50	—	—	46	36
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:27	—	—	53	35

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	20	20	0	.1000	2.73	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	-2	4	0.55	0	0	0	20:25	—	—	65	66
Taylor Hall L	L1	-2	1	0.22	1	0	2	19:39	—	—	74	78
Eric Staal C	L1	-1	0	0.13	2	1	0	16:30	—	—	70	78
Cody Eakin C	L2	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	14:00	—	—	57	34
Kyle Okposo R	L2	-1	3	0.25	0	0	0	13:17	—	—	60	48
Tobias Rieder L	L2	-1	0	0.06	0	1	0	11:35	—	—	59	38
Victor Olofsson L	L3	-1	3	0.38	1	0	0	20:02	—	—	48	60
Jack Eichel C	L3	-1	1	0.42	0	0	0	19:17	—	—	50	61
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:01	—	—	33	52
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	2	0.17	4	0	0	14:42	—	—	54	51
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	10:46	—	—	50	59
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0.15	0	0	2	10:45	—	—	50	49
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-2	1	0.12	1	1	0	25:21	—	—	71	71
Colin Miller D	D1	-2	0	0.03	4	2	0	22:41	—	—	73	73
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	18:58	—	—	50	50
Will Borgen D	D2	0	1	0.01	5	2	0	17:26	—	—	48	49
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	-1	1	0.07	0	1	0	17:09	—	—	43	43
Matt Irwin D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:19	—	—	44	44

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	23	21	2	.913	2.21	57:07

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.