New York Islanders vs. Buffalo SabresMay 3, 2021

FinalMonday, May 3, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

New York IslandersNYI

2

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	1	0	2		NYI	11	10	15	36
BUF	0	1	3	4		BUF	9	14	17	40

: NYI 59BUF 53
: NYI 2.25BUF 3.04
PP goals: NYI 0BUF 1
Hits: NYI 20BUF 13
Blocks: NYI 4BUF 15
PIM: NYI 6BUF 2
: NYI 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 4–2 at home. Sam Reinhart (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +11 against a season average of 28.3; the loss.

Points
Sam Reinhart had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:12.Reinhart
Points
Adam Pelech had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:33.Pelech
Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 15:34.Thompson
Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:04.Ristolainen
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +11 against a season average of 28.3; the loss.Varlamov
Goalie
Michael Houser (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +1 against a season average of 35.3; the win.Houser
New line
New look for BUF: Eakin–Sheahan–Caggiula skated 4:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eakin Sheahan Caggiula
New line
New look for NYI: Zajac–Palmieri–Wahlstrom skated 9:42 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Zajac Palmieri Wahlstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · BUF 53 · NYI 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 29% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	BUF
	59	50
	1.79	2.95
	1.77	2.78
	10	8
	1	1
	12	16
	+0.056	−0.056
	29%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Nelson – Beauvillier
12:3577% CF
L2Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
9:5157% CF
L3Zajac – Palmieri – Wahlstrom
9:4265% CF
L4Komarov – Eberle – Barzal
8:3531% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
14:2770% CF
D2Leddy – Mayfield
13:2056% CF
D3Greene – Dobson
9:2165% CF

PP1Bailey – Palmieri – Leddy – Nelson – Wahlstrom
1:08100% CF
PP2Zajac – Eberle – Barzal – Beauvillier – Dobson
0:5250% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
2:28
PK2FZajac – Bailey
0:50
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
2:40
PK2DGreene – Pulock
1:12

Current NYI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Asplund – Thompson – Mittelstadt
11:3650% CF
L2Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson
6:5129% CF
L3Bjork – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
6:5043% CF
L4Eakin – Sheahan – Caggiula
4:5920% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
17:3333% CF
D2Ristolainen – Samuelsson
15:2161% CF
D3Borgen – Bryson
13:2848% CF

PP1Reinhart – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Cozens
3:0583% CF
PP2Skinner – Ristolainen – Thompson – Bryson – Ruotsalainen
2:07100% CF
PK1FSheahan – Bjork
0:45
PK2FEakin – Caggiula
0:39
PK1DBorgen – Bryson
1:16
PK2DJokiharju – Samuelsson
0:39

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:15
NYIAdam Pelech (Josh Bailey, Anthony Beauvillier)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Bailey, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, BeauvillierBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
NYI 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

10:42
NYIOliver Wahlstrom (Adam Pelech, Kyle Palmieri)tip-in0.05 xG
NYI: Zajac, Palmieri, Pelech, Pulock, WahlstromBUF: Ristolainen, Caggiula, Samuelsson, Cozens, Ruotsalainen
NYI 2 – 0 BUF
14:04
BUFTage ThompsonPP (Jacob Bryson, Rasmus Ristolainen)snap0.05 xG
NYI: Clutterbuck, Leddy, Cizikas, PulockBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Thompson, Bryson, Ruotsalainen
NYI 2 – 1 BUF

3rd period

11:25
BUFRasmus Asplund (Sam Reinhart, Tage Thompson)wrist0.15 xG
NYI: Bailey, Martin, Leddy, Nelson, MayfieldBUF: Reinhart, Borgen, Asplund, Thompson, Bryson
NYI 2 – 2 BUF
15:56
BUFSam Reinhart (Rasmus Ristolainen)tip-in0.11 xG
NYI: Komarov, Eberle, Leddy, Barzal, DobsonBUF: Ristolainen, Reinhart, Bjork, Olofsson, Samuelsson
NYI 2 – 3 BUF
19:08
BUFSam ReinhartENwrist0.27 xG
NYI: Bailey, Eberle, Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, BarzalBUF: Sheahan, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Bjork, Samuelsson
NYI 2 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.51	0	0	0	19:54	—	—	70	57
Josh Bailey R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	19:36	—	—	66	50
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	63	51
Casey Cizikas C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	4	0	0	15:21	—	—	52	50
Cal Clutterbuck R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	4	0	0	14:22	—	—	48	45
Matt Martin L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	0	0	11:40	—	—	48	32
Travis Zajac C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	55	22
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.11	3	0	0	12:42	—	—	55	24
Kyle Palmieri C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.22	0	0	0	12:32	—	—	62	37
Mathew Barzal C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.23	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	33	25
Jordan Eberle R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	1	0	0	12:48	—	—	36	14
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	4	11:48	—	—	36	14
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.22	1	2	0	22:41	—	—	52	38
Adam Pelech D	D1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.06	1	0	0	20:33	—	—	64	42
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.03	0	0	0	21:58	—	—	53	44
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.08	0	1	2	19:34	—	—	51	34
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	1	0	17:08	—	—	47	33
Andy Greene D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:02	—	—	60	32

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	39	36	3	.923	2.77	58:28

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	17:16	—	—	57	59
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	1	2	+1	7	0.57	1	0	0	15:34	—	—	57	70
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	14:10	—	—	58	66
Sam Reinhart C	L2	2	1	3	+2	3	0.54	0	4	0	19:12	—	—	48	79
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	1	0	17:31	—	—	43	74
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	38	68
Anders Bjork L	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.21	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	51	72
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.39	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	35	40
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	0	1	0	15:08	—	—	38	42
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	38	60
Drake Caggiula L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:04	—	—	50	66
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	9:40	—	—	43	58
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.18	0	3	0	23:34	—	—	33	40
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	3	0	19:12	—	—	32	46
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.01	2	1	2	20:04	—	—	62	79
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	0	0	17:39	—	—	60	78
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:52	—	—	48	64
Will Borgen D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	5	1	0	16:43	—	—	46	57

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Houser(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	2.25	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.