New York Islanders vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 5, 2020

FinalThursday, Mar 5, 2020· Canadian Tire Centre

away

New York IslandersNYI

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	1	1	3		NYI	11	17	12	40
OTT	1	2	1	4		OTT	13	7	9	29

: NYI 64OTT 61
: NYI 3.47OTT 3.94
PP goals: NYI 1OTT 0
Hits: NYI 22OTT 29
Blocks: NYI 11OTT 11
PIM: NYI 6OTT 8
: NYI 56%OTT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge New York Islanders 4–3

Ottawa Senators beat New York Islanders 4–3 at home. Mathew Barzal (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +10 against a season average of 29.9; the win.

Points
Mathew Barzal had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 23:42.Barzal
Points
Devon Toews had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:41.Toews
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +10 against a season average of 29.9; the win.Anderson
New line
New look for NYI: Bailey–Pageau–Beauvillier skated 7:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bailey Pageau Beauvillier
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–White–Balcers skated 6:34 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan White Balcers
Usage
Jordan Eberle (NYI) played 23:17, +5:34 up on his 17:43 season average over 57 games.Eberle
Usage
Ron Hainsey (OTT) played 28:44, +8:11 up on his 20:33 season average over 63 games.Hainsey
Usage
Cal Clutterbuck (NYI) played 5:55, −7:43 down on his 13:38 season average over 36 games.Clutterbuck

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · OTT 61 · NYI 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 45% of the game, OTT 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	OTT
	50	54
	2.46	2.92
	2.41	2.79
	8	11
	0	4
	23	18
	+0.052	−0.052
	45%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Eberle – Lee – Barzal
14:1463% CF
L2Bailey – Pageau – Beauvillier
7:5956% CF
L3Brassard – Nelson – Dal Colle
7:4342% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Koivula
3:2667% CF
D1Leddy – Pulock
9:1854% CF
D2Greene – Dobson
6:3645% CF
D3Mayfield – Toews
6:0755% CF

PP1Eberle – Lee – Pageau – Toews – Barzal
4:33100% CF
PP2Brassard – Bailey – Nelson – Pulock – Beauvillier
2:5480% CF
PK1FBailey – Nelson
3:35
PK2FClutterbuck – Pageau
1:42
PK1DGreene – Mayfield
2:45
PK2DLeddy – Pulock
1:15

Current NYI line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Tierney – Brown – Tkachuk
10:5952% CF
L2Ryan – White – Balcers
6:3430% CF
L3Duclair – Paul – Hawryluk
5:3644% CF
L4Boedker – Peca – Sabourin
3:1975% CF
D1Hainsey – Chabot
19:3958% CF
D2Reilly – Zaitsev
13:2138% CF
D3Englund – Jaros
5:4443% CF

PP1Brown – Duclair – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
3:51100% CF
PP2Ryan – Boedker – Reilly – Tierney – Balcers
1:34100% CF
PK1FBoedker – Tierney
1:42
PK2FBrown – Duclair
1:34
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
6:08
PK2DEnglund – Jaros
0:49

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:58
NYIAnders LeePP (Mathew Barzal, Derick Brassard)snap0.20 xG
NYI: Brassard, Eberle, Lee, Toews, BarzalOTT: Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev
NYI 1 – 0 OTT
13:57
OTTConnor Brown (Nikita Zaitsev, Mike Reilly)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, BarzalOTT: Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk
NYI 1 – 1 OTT

2nd period

4:18
NYIMathew Barzal (Jordan Eberle, Devon Toews)snap0.04 xG
NYI: Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Pulock, BarzalOTT: Hainsey, White, Chabot, Balcers, Tkachuk
NYI 2 – 1 OTT
10:00
OTTMikkel BoedkerSH (Chris Tierney)backhand0.20 xG
NYI: Brassard, Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, BeauvillierOTT: Hainsey, Boedker, Reilly, Tierney
NYI 2 – 2 OTT
14:26
OTTAnthony Duclair (Jayce Hawryluk, Colin White)wrist0.12 xG
NYI: Bailey, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier, DobsonOTT: Hainsey, Duclair, Hawryluk, White, Chabot
NYI 2 – 3 OTT

3rd period

16:55
OTTBrady Tkachukwrist0.03 xG
NYI: Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Dal Colle, ToewsOTT: Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk
NYI 2 – 4 OTT
18:00
NYIRyan Pulock (Mathew Barzal, Devon Toews)slap0.05 xG
NYI: Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Toews, BarzalOTT: Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Paul, Chabot
NYI 3 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	1	2	3	+1	5	0.39	0	1	0	23:42	—	—	56	53
Jordan Eberle R	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.81	1	0	0	23:17	—	—	58	56
Anders Lee L	L1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.87	1	1	0	21:49	—	—	56	58
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	1	0	0	18:43	—	—	36	30
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	2	0	0	16:07	—	—	44	40
Josh Bailey R	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.08	0	0	0	15:16	—	—	53	55
Brock Nelson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.28	0	0	0	18:50	—	—	33	13
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	14:57	—	—	33	10
Michael Dal Colle L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	35	11
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	6	0	0	7:32	—	—	50	56
Otto Koivula L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:05	—	—	50	52
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:55	—	—	67	89
Ryan Pulock D	D1	1	0	1	0	6	0.20	0	1	0	23:16	—	—	46	34
Nick Leddy D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	0	0	22:28	—	—	51	55
Andy Greene D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	2	2	14:52	—	—	30	14
Noah Dobson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	2	2	14:20	—	—	46	44
Devon Toews D	D3	0	2	2	-1	1	0.10	0	1	2	19:41	—	—	52	47
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	3	0	17:39	—	—	59	73

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	3.43	58:06

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.18	2	0	0	23:35	—	—	50	38
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.80	4	1	2	20:47	—	—	44	37
Chris Tierney C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	1	0	20:23	—	—	52	41
Colin White C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	0	1	2	18:05	—	—	48	42
Rudolfs Balcers L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	50	46
Bobby Ryan R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	2	1	2	13:31	—	—	54	46
Anthony Duclair L	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	1.06	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	52	78
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	5	0	0	13:40	—	—	50	77
Jayce Hawryluk R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.22	2	0	2	10:45	—	—	59	85
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	60	10
Matthew Peca C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.49	2	0	0	9:59	—	—	57	67
Scott Sabourin R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:01	—	—	67	19
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	5	0	28:44	—	—	61	64
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.18	1	0	0	28:30	—	—	57	59
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.07	4	2	0	23:37	—	—	49	52
Mike Reilly D	D2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.12	2	0	0	18:41	—	—	38	32
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:29	—	—	43	61
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:21	—	—	50	61

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	40	37	3	.925	3.47	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.