New York Islanders vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 25, 2023

FinalWednesday, Jan 25, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	1	0	1		NYI	10	12	14	36
OTT	1	1	0	2		OTT	14	17	7	38

: NYI 63OTT 82
: NYI 3.18OTT 4.60
PP goals: NYI 0OTT 1
Hits: NYI 24OTT 17
Blocks: NYI 19OTT 11
PIM: NYI 11OTT 11
: NYI 55%OTT 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge New York Islanders 2–1

Ottawa Senators beat New York Islanders 2–1 at home. Claude Giroux (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for OTT: Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig skated 10:49 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Claude Giroux had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:51.Giroux
Points
Jake Sanderson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:10.Sanderson
New line
New look for OTT: Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig skated 10:49 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Giroux DeBrincat Greig
New line
New look for OTT: Joseph–Tkachuk–Stützle skated 8:56 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (68% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Joseph Tkachuk Stützle
Luck
OTT scored 2 goals on 4.60 expected goals (82 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +8 against a season average of 30.0; the loss.Varlamov
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 3.18 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Brassard–Batherson–Pinto skated 8:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Batherson Pinto

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 145 of 145 attempts · OTT 82 · NYI 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 24% of the game, OTT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	OTT
	62	83
	2.87	3.09
	2.67	2.95
	8	22
	0	11
	23	22
	+0.041	−0.041
	24%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Lee – Nelson
10:3752% CF
L2Cizikas – Barzal – Beauvillier
6:4257% CF
L3Parise – Bailey – Pageau
3:5025% CF
L4Martin – Holmstrom – Räty
3:0850% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
15:1237% CF
D2Mayfield – Romanov
13:1643% CF
D3Aho – Bolduc
12:2454% CF

PP1Parise – Bailey – Nelson – Beauvillier – Aho
3:0850% CF
PP2Palmieri – Lee – Pageau – Barzal – Bolduc
2:28100% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
2:23
PK2FBailey – Cizikas
1:32
PK1DMayfield – Romanov
1:50
PK2DPelech – Pulock
1:05

Current NYI line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – DeBrincat – Greig
10:4947% CF
L2Joseph – Tkachuk – Stützle
8:5668% CF
L3Brassard – Batherson – Pinto
8:2750% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
5:4964% CF
D1Hamonic – Sanderson
16:0956% CF
D2Holden – Chabot
14:0656% CF
D3Zaitsev – Brannstrom
9:2473% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
2:5789% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Pinto – Greig – Sanderson
1:15100% CF
PK1FJoseph – Gambrell
2:01
PK2FGiroux – Watson
0:47
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:47
PK2DHolden – Zaitsev
1:39

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:48
OTTShane Pinto (Claude Giroux, Jake Sanderson)backhand0.05 xG
NYI: Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier, AhoOTT: Giroux, Brassard, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson
NYI 0 – 1 OTT

2nd period

3:28
OTTClaude GirouxPP (Ridly Greig, Jake Sanderson)snap0.02 xG
NYI: Parise, Pageau, Pelech, PulockOTT: Giroux, Brassard, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson
NYI 0 – 2 OTT
16:07
NYIBrock Nelson (Kyle Palmieri, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.02 xG
NYI: Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Aho, BolducOTT: Giroux, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Greig, Sanderson
NYI 1 – 2 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:58	—	—	47	42
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	17:54	—	—	46	45
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.74	3	0	2	17:25	—	—	49	44
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	3	0	21:00	—	—	46	42
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	0	0	16:11	—	—	42	42
Casey Cizikas C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	15:08	—	—	57	53
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	1	0	17:40	—	—	30	60
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.72	2	0	0	16:14	—	—	24	54
Josh Bailey R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	24	34
Simon Holmstrom R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	11:18	—	—	32	64
Aatu Räty C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	3	0	0	10:30	—	—	59	72
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	5	1	5	9:17	—	—	53	56
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	1	0	21:27	—	—	38	29
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	3	2	19:04	—	—	31	32
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	5	2	18:50	—	—	38	43
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.20	2	0	0	17:38	—	—	45	63
Samuel Bolduc D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	2	0	0	18:07	—	—	52	61
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	1	1	0	4	0.15	0	1	0	17:43	—	—	50	56

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	38	36	2	.947	3.63	58:29

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Claude Giroux R	L1	1	1	2	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	17:51	—	—	54	70
Alex DeBrincat R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	3	0	0	17:34	—	—	54	69
Ridly Greig C	L1	0	1	1	0	8	0.73	1	2	0	13:46	—	—	51	70
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	20:50	—	—	67	56
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	1.30	2	1	0	18:04	—	—	64	46
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:58	—	—	63	43
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.81	1	0	0	17:53	—	—	56	52
Shane Pinto C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.19	0	0	0	13:54	—	—	52	47
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	12:40	—	—	50	54
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:31	—	—	54	23
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	0	2	9:34	—	—	57	23
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	7	7:49	—	—	64	25
Jake Sanderson D	D1	0	2	2	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	23:10	—	—	56	51
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	2	2	20:49	—	—	56	49
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	0	0	0	6	0.28	1	2	0	23:28	—	—	54	56
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	0	1	0	18:59	—	—	55	45
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	16:47	—	—	53	38
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	12:23	—	—	77	65

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg	—	22	21	1	.955	1.69	31:55
Cam Talbot(start)	W	14	14	0	.1000	1.49	28:05

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.