Winnipeg Jets vs. New York IslandersMar 4, 2025

FinalTuesday, Mar 4, 2025· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	1	1	2		WPG	10	13	5	28
NYI	1	1	1	3		NYI	17	7	5	29

: WPG 75NYI 54
: WPG 2.76NYI 1.90
PP goals: WPG 2NYI 1
Hits: WPG 16NYI 34
Blocks: WPG 8NYI 26
PIM: WPG 9NYI 11
: WPG 51%NYI 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders edge Winnipeg Jets 3–2

New York Islanders beat Winnipeg Jets 3–2 at home. Josh Morrissey (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Vilardi) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 4:00 together.

Points
Brock Nelson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:14.Nelson
Points
Josh Morrissey had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:45.Morrissey
Points
Kyle Connor had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:23.Connor
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Vilardi) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 4:00 together.Scheifele Morrissey Ehlers Connor Vilardi
PP1
NYI's first power-play unit (Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Dobson and Holmstrom) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:02 together.Palmieri Nelson Horvat Dobson Holmstrom
New line
New look for NYI: Cizikas–Lee–Pageau skated 11:45 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cizikas Lee Pageau
New line
New look for NYI: Nelson–Holmstrom–Tsyplakov skated 10:46 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (73.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nelson Holmstrom Tsyplakov
New line
New look for NYI: Palmieri–Duclair–Horvat skated 10:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (48.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Palmieri Duclair Horvat

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · NYI 54 · WPG 75

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 56% of the game, NYI 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	NYI
	67	60
	2.31	2.09
	2.16	2.06
	14	12
	4	7
	17	19
	−0.002	+0.002
	56%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton
12:5664% CF
L2Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi
12:4612% CF
L3Namestnikov – Ehlers – Perfetti
10:2071% CF
L4Iafallo – Barron – Kupari
5:0073% CF
D1Stanley – Pionk
16:2945% CF
D2DeMelo – Morrissey
15:1645% CF
D3Miller – Fleury
11:3175% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Vilardi
4:0093% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Namestnikov – Stanley – Pionk – Perfetti
0:20
PK1FIafallo – Kupari
0:38
PK2FNamestnikov – Connor
0:35
PK1DDeMelo – Stanley
0:56
PK2DFleury – Pionk
0:30

Current WPG line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Cizikas – Lee – Pageau
11:4538% CF
L2Nelson – Holmstrom – Tsyplakov
10:4674% CF
L3Palmieri – Duclair – Horvat
10:0348% CF
L4Fasching – MacLean – Gatcomb
6:4123% CF
D1DeAngelo – Romanov
16:5934% CF
D2Pelech – Dobson
14:1070% CF
D3Mayfield – Pulock
10:5224% CF

PP1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat – Dobson – Holmstrom
2:0275% CF
PP2Cizikas – Lee – Pageau – Pulock – DeAngelo
0:210% CF
PK1FNelson – Holmstrom
1:58
PK2FPalmieri – Horvat
1:28
PK1DPelech – Pulock
2:20
PK2DMayfield – Romanov
1:06

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	2	18:15	—	—	60	63
Mason Appleton C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	2	16:49	—	—	67	75
Adam Lowry C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.43	1	0	5	14:45	—	—	67	74
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	21:55	—	—	21	22
Kyle Connor L	L2	0	2	2	-1	4	0.37	0	0	0	21:23	—	—	15	21
Gabriel Vilardi C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	19:53	—	—	12	21
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	1	0	1	0	7	0.60	0	0	0	18:08	—	—	73	77
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	2	0	0	15:04	—	—	67	79
Cole Perfetti C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	70	77
Alex Iafallo L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	8:50	—	—	56	51
Rasmus Kupari C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	0	0	7:34	—	—	56	48
Morgan Barron C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:50	—	—	75	83
Logan Stanley D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	1	0	22:26	—	—	49	44
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	21:48	—	—	47	32
Josh Morrissey D	D2	1	1	2	-1	4	0.34	1	1	0	25:45	—	—	41	45
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	2	0	18:14	—	—	47	49
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:57	—	—	74	73
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	0	13:48	—	—	70	66

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	1.90	58:26

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	3	1	2	18:47	—	—	43	36
Casey Cizikas C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	4	2	0	16:19	—	—	49	49
Anders Lee L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	1	7	13:21	—	—	39	27
Brock Nelson C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.21	1	2	0	20:14	—	—	72	73
Simon Holmstrom R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	74	88
Maxim Tsyplakov R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	14:34	—	—	68	85
Kyle Palmieri C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.50	1	1	0	18:47	—	—	38	32
Bo Horvat C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	17:22	—	—	47	52
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	44	41
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	4	1	0	8:48	—	—	39	47
Kyle MacLean C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:05	—	—	19	8
Marc Gatcomb C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	3	1	0	8:03	—	—	29	19
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	7	0	23:51	—	—	36	37
Tony DeAngelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	41	41
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.12	4	0	0	21:35	—	—	70	80
Noah Dobson D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	3	3	0	20:45	—	—	71	86
Ryan Pulock D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.01	2	4	2	17:47	—	—	37	8
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:46	—	—	23	2

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.76	59:25

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Kyle Palmieri (NYI PP) 1st 16:49 · assists Brock Nelson, Bo Horvat · Forecheck turnover · 70.2 mph shot.

Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:49 · NYI PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 70.2 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brock Nelson · 2nd 1:33 · NYI

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 24.8 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 3.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Josh Morrissey · 2nd 8:48 · WPG PP

Play: point-shot
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 32.0 mph
Distance: 45 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan Pulock · 3rd 4:03 · NYI

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 7.8 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:51 · WPG PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3
Shot: 21.5 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. New York IslandersMar 4, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

New York Islanders edge Winnipeg Jets 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

New York Islanders

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

New York Islanders

Goal anatomy

Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:49 · NYI PP

Brock Nelson · 2nd 1:33 · NYI

Josh Morrissey · 2nd 8:48 · WPG PP

Ryan Pulock · 3rd 4:03 · NYI

Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:51 · WPG PP