Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 27, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 27, 2018· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	1	0	2		WPG	10	7	7	24
TOR	0	0	3	3		TOR	10	10	11	31

: WPG 49TOR 64
: WPG 2.78TOR 2.11
PP goals: WPG 1TOR 0
Hits: WPG 27TOR 20
Blocks: WPG 16TOR 8
PIM: WPG 8TOR 4
: WPG 52%TOR 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Winnipeg Jets 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 3–2 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. WPG's first power-play unit (Byfuglien, Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor and Laine) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:26 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:26.Marner
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Byfuglien, Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor and Laine) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:26 together.Byfuglien Wheeler Scheifele Connor Laine
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 7:38, −11:05 down on his 18:43 season average over 67 games.Matthews
New line
New look for WPG: Lowry–Tanev–Laine skated 5:40 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lowry Tanev Laine
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 17:04, +3:19 up on his 13:45 season average over 81 games.Brown
Usage
Patrick Marleau (TOR) played 19:34, +3:16 up on his 16:18 season average over 81 games.Marleau
Usage
Par Lindholm (TOR) played 14:31, +3:13 up on his 11:18 season average over 64 games.Lindholm
PP1
TOR's PP1 (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) went scoreless in 3:19 of 5v4 time with 0 attempts.Tavares Kadri Rielly Marner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 64 · WPG 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 30% of the game, TOR 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TOR
	48	60
	2.63	1.96
	2.57	1.89
	6	16
	5	4
	30	25
	+0.055	−0.055
	30%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers
12:5746% CF
L2Little – Perreault – Connor
10:2367% CF
L3Lowry – Tanev – Laine
5:4040% CF
L4Copp – Lemieux – Roslovic
3:1933% CF
D1Trouba – Morrissey
15:5342% CF
D2Byfuglien – Chiarot
14:2930% CF
D3Myers – Morrow
12:0665% CF

PP1Byfuglien – Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine
2:26100% CF
PP2Little – Perreault – Trouba – Morrissey – Ehlers
0:58100% CF
PK1FLowry – Tanev
2:05
PK2FLittle – Copp
1:22
PK1DMyers – Chiarot
1:57
PK2DTrouba – Morrissey
1:31

Current WPG line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
7:4742% CF
L2Ennis – Leivo – Gauthier
2:57100% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Lindholm
2:500% CF
L4Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
2:4267% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:3952% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
13:3465% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
9:4458% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
3:19
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Leivo – Brown
2:16100% CF
PK1FHyman – Brown
1:21
PK2FKapanen – Lindholm
0:56
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:21
PK2DMarincin – Rielly
0:50

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	22:32	—	—	43	56
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.20	1	1	0	21:31	—	—	43	57
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	1	0	0	17:10	—	—	45	61
Kyle Connor L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.60	0	0	0	18:08	—	—	63	65
Bryan Little C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	59	61
Mathieu Perreault C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	3	0	0	13:23	—	—	65	63
Patrik Laine L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	2	2	16:06	—	—	30	48
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.29	1	2	0	14:02	—	—	44	64
Brandon Tanev L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:41	—	—	36	52
Andrew Copp C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	11:00	—	—	29	46
Brendan Lemieux L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	1	0	7:01	—	—	25	47
Jack Roslovic C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	6:56	—	—	20	41
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	4	0	0	20:51	—	—	42	56
Jacob Trouba D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	4	2	2	20:16	—	—	40	53
Dustin Byfuglien D	D2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.21	2	3	2	26:54	—	—	34	48
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	17:25	—	—	30	47
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	0	2	18:45	—	—	62	76
Joe Morrow D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	1	0	12:17	—	—	65	81

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.11	58:42

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	1	0	2	20:56	—	—	43	30
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.13	1	0	0	20:26	—	—	54	25
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	1	0	0	17:06	—	—	44	28
Josh Leivo L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	80	77
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:14	—	—	65	59
Frederik Gauthier C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	0	8:02	—	—	88	78
Nazem Kadri C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	4	0	2	17:55	—	—	46	37
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:04	—	—	55	66
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	0	0	14:31	—	—	46	38
Patrick Marleau C	L4	0	0	0	+2	4	0.20	2	1	0	19:34	—	—	53	45
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	59	60
Auston Matthews C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.43	0	1	0	7:38	—	—	57	50
Jake Gardiner D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.07	2	3	0	22:07	—	—	50	44
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	20:21	—	—	50	52
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.09	0	1	0	25:00	—	—	61	43
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	1	1	0	20:19	—	—	62	51
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:13	—	—	50	20
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:05	—	—	64	38

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.78	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 27, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Winnipeg Jets 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs