Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York IslandersApr 6, 2023

FinalThursday, Apr 6, 2023· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	3	14	14	31
NYI	0	4	2	6		NYI	13	15	14	42

: TBL 51NYI 82
: TBL 2.47NYI 3.36
PP goals: TBL 0NYI 0
Hits: TBL 16NYI 23
Blocks: TBL 26NYI 11
PIM: TBL 6NYI 4
: TBL 39%NYI 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Tampa Bay Lightning 6–1

New York Islanders beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–1 at home. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for TBL: Paul–Point–Eyssimont skated 7:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:53.Nelson
Points
Bo Horvat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:32.Horvat
Points
Ryan Pulock had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:42.Pulock
New line
New look for TBL: Paul–Point–Eyssimont skated 7:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Point Eyssimont
Goalie
Brian Elliott (TBL) faced 42 shots and stopped 36 (.857), +11 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Elliott
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Stamkos–Kucherov skated 6:48 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (18.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Stamkos Kucherov
Luck
NYI scored 6 goals on 3.36 expected goals (82 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Samuel Bolduc (NYI) played 20:18, +6:16 up on his 14:02 season average over 16 games.Bolduc

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · NYI 82 · TBL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 24% of the game, NYI 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NYI
	53	89
	2.40	3.48
	2.27	3.23
	12	18
	2	11
	13	18
	−0.127	+0.127
	24%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Paul – Point – Eyssimont
7:1767% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov
6:4819% CF
L3Perry – Bellemare – Colton
5:4750% CF
D1Hedman – Perbix
16:5339% CF
D2Raddysh – Sergachev
15:0836% CF
D3Cole – Bogosian
12:0128% CF

PP1Perry – Maroon – Hedman – Paul – Colton
1:09100% CF
PP2Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
0:51100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
1:15
PK2FPaul – Eyssimont
0:37
PK1DCole – Hedman
2:12
PK2DRaddysh – Sergachev
0:29

Current TBL line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
11:3573% CF
L2Lee – Horvat – Holmstrom
10:4858% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
10:4157% CF
L4Parise – Pageau – Fasching
9:3377% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
14:5988% CF
D2Mayfield – Bolduc
13:5553% CF
D3Aho – Dobson
8:0458% CF

PP1Lee – Pageau – Horvat – Pulock – Bolduc
1:3340% CF
PP2Parise – Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall – Dobson
1:09100% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
1:31
PK2FClutterbuck – Cizikas
0:28
PK1DPulock – Aho
1:09
PK2DMayfield – Pelech
0:50

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:46
NYIAdam Pelech (Hudson Fasching, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Raddysh, SergachevNYI: Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Fasching, Pulock
TBL 0 – 1 NYI
9:54
NYIBrock Nelson (Samuel Bolduc)snap0.28 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, ColtonNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Bolduc
TBL 0 – 2 NYI
10:43
NYIKyle Palmieri (Brock Nelson, Ryan Pulock)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Raddysh, SergachevNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Engvall, Aho
TBL 0 – 3 NYI
16:47
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, PerbixNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Engvall, Aho
TBL 1 – 3 NYI
19:40
NYIRyan Pulock (Brock Nelson, Pierre Engvall)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, SergachevNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall
TBL 1 – 4 NYI

3rd period

15:14
NYISimon Holmstrom (Bo Horvat, Zach Parise)wrist0.20 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Paul, Point, PerbixNYI: Parise, Horvat, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom
TBL 1 – 5 NYI
19:40
NYIBo Horvat (Noah Dobson)tip-in0.03 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, SergachevNYI: Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Dobson
TBL 1 – 6 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	20:23	—	—	46	38
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.10	0	1	0	19:17	—	—	47	53
Michael Eyssimont C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	3	0	0	16:58	—	—	38	30
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	1	3	2	18:23	—	—	14	23
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	-3	1	0.17	1	0	0	17:51	—	—	22	36
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.15	1	1	0	16:46	—	—	17	15
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	48	36
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.41	2	1	0	14:29	—	—	48	56
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	63	64
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	3	2	22:36	—	—	35	41
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	6	2	19:38	—	—	36	40
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-4	3	0.09	2	1	0	20:00	—	—	35	33
Darren Raddysh D	D2	0	0	0	-4	1	0.00	0	1	0	19:33	—	—	43	49
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	3	0	18:07	—	—	23	22
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	4	0	14:04	—	—	33	34
Haydn Fleury D	—	0	0	0	-1	5	0.41	0	2	0	12:52	—	—	55	76
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	9:56	—	—	35	55
Tanner Jeannot L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:25	—	—	46	33

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	42	36	6	.857	3.36	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	2	3	+2	4	0.53	0	0	0	16:53	—	—	71	59
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.47	0	0	2	15:59	—	—	66	49
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.24	0	0	0	15:01	—	—	70	52
Bo Horvat C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.49	1	0	0	16:32	—	—	52	70
Anders Lee L	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.63	1	0	0	14:42	—	—	56	73
Simon Holmstrom R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	62	81
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	15:18	—	—	50	30
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	13:13	—	—	58	52
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	+1	5	0.16	6	1	0	13:01	—	—	64	56
Zach Parise L	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	0	1	0	17:23	—	—	57	64
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.12	3	1	2	17:16	—	—	63	80
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:30	—	—	75	72
Adam Pelech D	D1	1	0	1	+3	4	0.08	1	0	0	22:33	—	—	88	77
Ryan Pulock D	D1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.09	0	2	0	21:42	—	—	69	58
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	3	0	21:39	—	—	52	56
Samuel Bolduc D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	1	2	0	20:18	—	—	56	58
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:18	—	—	65	62
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.08	1	1	0	15:29	—	—	51	54

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.47	59:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.