Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York IslandersFeb 8, 2024

FinalThursday, Feb 8, 2024· UBS Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	3	7	10	20
NYI	3	3	0	6		NYI	14	7	3	24

: TBL 56NYI 48
: TBL 2.49NYI 2.18
PP goals: TBL 1NYI 1
Hits: TBL 29NYI 33
Blocks: TBL 13NYI 21
PIM: TBL 8NYI 4
: TBL 58%NYI 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2

New York Islanders beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2 at home. Bo Horvat (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NYI scored 6 goals on 2.18 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Bo Horvat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:35.Horvat
Points
Mathew Barzal had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:35.Barzal
Luck
NYI scored 6 goals on 2.18 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Alexander Romanov (NYI) played 13:34, −7:22 down on his 20:56 season average over 80 games.Romanov
Usage
Mike Reilly (NYI) played 21:55, +4:50 up on his 17:05 season average over 60 games.Reilly
New line
New look for NYI: Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas skated 8:31 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Clutterbuck Martin Cizikas
New line
New look for TBL: Paul–Sheary–Chaffee skated 5:28 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Sheary Chaffee
New line
New look for TBL: Watson–Glendening–Motte skated 4:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Glendening Motte

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · NYI 48 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 35% of the game, NYI 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NYI
	52	38
	1.24	1.57
	1.19	1.51
	10	6
	6	4
	11	18
	+0.033	−0.033
	35%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
12:3264% CF
L2Cirelli – Hagel – Eyssimont
6:3780% CF
L3Paul – Sheary – Chaffee
5:2843% CF
L4Watson – Glendening – Motte
4:4475% CF
D1Hedman – Raddysh
12:3360% CF
D2Cernak – Lilleberg
10:4657% CF
D3de Haan – Perbix
8:4855% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Point
2:57100% CF
PP2Hedman – Kucherov – Cirelli – Hagel – Eyssimont
0:05100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Motte
2:53
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
1:16
PK1DHedman – Cernak
3:53
PK2Dde Haan – Perbix
2:01

Current TBL line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Horvat – Barzal
10:4040% CF
L2Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
9:1455% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
8:3129% CF
L4Pageau – Wahlstrom – Holmstrom
7:3025% CF
D1Reilly – Mayfield
15:2350% CF
D2Dobson – Romanov
12:1036% CF
D3Pelech – Pulock
9:5350% CF

PP1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
4:5185% CF
PP2Lee – Pageau – Reilly – Pulock – Engvall
2:2450% CF
PK1FPageau – Holmstrom
1:42
PK2FClutterbuck – Cizikas
1:17
PK1DPelech – Pulock
1:53
PK2DMayfield – Dobson
0:23

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:07
NYINoah Dobson (Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: de Haan, Glendening, Sheary, Cernak, EyssimontNYI: Pageau, Wahlstrom, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom
TBL 0 – 1 NYI
6:42
TBLNikita Kucherov (Darren Raddysh)slap0.04 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, RaddyshNYI: Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal
TBL 1 – 1 NYI
14:07
NYIMathew Barzal (Bo Horvat)backhand0.02 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Perbix, LillebergNYI: Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal
TBL 1 – 2 NYI
18:35
NYIKyle Palmieri (Mike Reilly, Brock Nelson)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Stamkos, de Haan, Paul, Cirelli, PerbixNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Mayfield, Engvall
TBL 1 – 3 NYI

2nd period

1:14
TBLBrandon HagelPP (Anthony Cirelli, Victor Hedman)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, EyssimontNYI: Pageau, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom
TBL 2 – 3 NYI
7:10
NYIRyan PulockPP (Pierre Engvall)slap0.05 xG
TBL: Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, PerbixNYI: Lee, Pageau, Reilly, Pulock, Engvall
TBL 2 – 4 NYI
8:18
NYIBo Horvat (Mathew Barzal, Adam Pelech)snap0.03 xG
TBL: Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Chaffee, LillebergNYI: Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal
TBL 2 – 5 NYI
15:22
NYICasey Cizikaswrist0.17 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, RaddyshNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock
TBL 2 – 6 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.09	2	0	0	20:06	—	—	53	39
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.23	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	56	40
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.22	1	1	2	17:18	—	—	57	39
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.34	4	1	0	18:09	—	—	70	48
Brandon Hagel L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.42	0	0	2	16:08	—	—	71	63
Michael Eyssimont C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	2	0	0	12:12	—	—	59	50
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	2	15:52	—	—	53	42
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	36	18
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	9:39	—	—	50	30
Tyler Motte C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	2	13:40	—	—	40	41
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.48	4	1	0	13:25	—	—	56	76
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	8:29	—	—	67	100
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	23:39	—	—	63	50
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.01	0	1	0	18:23	—	—	58	44
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	2	0	22:42	—	—	60	64
Emil Lilleberg D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	2	2	0	18:53	—	—	50	27
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	59	48
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	0	15:53	—	—	53	33

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	L	24	18	6	.750	2.18	59:23

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.09	2	1	0	19:35	—	—	44	39
Bo Horvat C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.37	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	48	44
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	2	1	0	15:20	—	—	39	28
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	1	0	0	17:59	—	—	65	87
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.21	0	1	0	16:36	—	—	56	85
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	6	0.36	1	1	0	15:19	—	—	62	78
Casey Cizikas C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	1	3	0	14:37	—	—	26	59
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	7	1	2	12:54	—	—	37	71
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	3	0	0	12:19	—	—	38	68
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.44	2	0	0	17:27	—	—	40	46
Simon Holmstrom R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:42	—	—	40	25
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:22	—	—	20	10
Mike Reilly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	3	3	0	21:55	—	—	39	42
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	2	21:30	—	—	52	52
Noah Dobson D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	0	3	0	22:08	—	—	33	33
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	13:34	—	—	36	31
Ryan Pulock D	D3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.06	3	2	0	18:19	—	—	44	79
Adam Pelech D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.08	2	1	0	17:30	—	—	55	78

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	20	18	2	.900	2.49	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Noah Dobson (NYI) 1st 4:07 · assists Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 12.9 mph shot · 5.5 s from entry to goal.

Noah Dobson · 1st 4:07 · NYI

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 12.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 5.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mathew Barzal · 1st 14:07 · NYI

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 41.7 mph
Distance: 10 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:35 · NYI

Play: rebound
Passes: 1
Shot: 21.4 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel · 2nd 1:14 · TBL PP

Play: rebound
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 25.0 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 3.6 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bo Horvat · 2nd 8:18 · NYI

Play: point-shot
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 58.4 mph
Distance: 49 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Casey Cizikas · 2nd 15:22 · NYI

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 39.7 mph
Distance: 11 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.