Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York IslandersDec 2, 2025

FinalTuesday, Dec 2, 2025· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	9	13	9	31
NYI	0	1	1	2		NYI	9	8	7	24

: TBL 74NYI 44
: TBL 4.17NYI 3.61
PP goals: TBL 0NYI 0
Hits: TBL 14NYI 19
Blocks: TBL 7NYI 19
PIM: TBL 6NYI 6
: TBL 52%NYI 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1

New York Islanders beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 at home. Bo Horvat (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TBL scored 1 goal on 4.16 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 4.16 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 26:35, +6:20 up on his 20:15 season average over 75 games.Kucherov
Luck
NYI scored 2 goals on 3.61 expected goals (44 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Gage Goncalves (TBL) played 7:31, −5:39 down on his 13:10 season average over 73 games.Goncalves
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 22:17, +5:02 up on his 17:15 season average over 70 games.Cirelli
Luck
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) generated 1.38 xG on 9 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Cirelli
Usage
Brandon Hagel (TBL) played 24:16, +4:34 up on his 19:42 season average over 70 games.Hagel
Usage
Mathew Barzal (NYI) played 17:01, −3:41 down on his 20:42 season average over 80 games.Barzal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · NYI 44 · TBL 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 47% of the game, NYI 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

NYI skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the NYI side.

Matchup matrix

NYI xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NYI
	71	43
	3.59	2.10
	3.30	2.01
	25	6
	5	6
	22	14
	+0.038	−0.038
	47%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Cirelli – Hagel
11:1067% CF
L2Gourde – Girgensons – Holmberg
8:5561% CF
L3Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Paul
6:5067% CF
L4Douglas – Goncalves – James
3:2143% CF
D1Raddysh – Moser
15:2055% CF
D2D'Astous – Lilleberg
10:5858% CF
D3Santini – Carlile
9:3261% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Paul – Raddysh
3:19100% CF
PP2Kucherov – Cirelli – Hagel – D'Astous – James
1:53100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:38
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
1:45
PK1DMoser – Lilleberg
3:32
PK2DRaddysh – D'Astous
1:14

Current TBL line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Drouin – Barzal
10:3217% CF
L2Duclair – Holmstrom – Ritchie
9:3143% CF
L3Horvat – Heineman – Shabanov
9:2140% CF
L4Cizikas – MacLean – Tsyplakov
7:2260% CF
D1Pelech – DeAngelo
13:1141% CF
D2Pulock – Schaefer
11:1533% CF
D3Mayfield – Mitchell
10:0029% CF

PP1Drouin – Horvat – Barzal – Schaefer – Shabanov
3:2180% CF
PP2Lee – DeAngelo – Holmstrom – Heineman – Ritchie
2:08100% CF
PK1FHorvat – Holmstrom
2:59
PK2FCizikas – Heineman
2:07
PK1DPelech – Pulock
2:51
PK2DMayfield – Schaefer
1:43

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:55
NYIBo Horvat (Max Shabanov)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, MoserNYI: Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov
TBL 0 – 1 NYI

3rd period

5:30
NYIAnthony Duclair (Calum Ritchie, Tony DeAngelo)snap0.19 xG
TBL: Gourde, Girgensons, Santini, Holmberg, CarlileNYI: Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie
TBL 0 – 2 NYI
16:26
TBLDominic James (Emil Lilleberg, Nick Paul)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Paul, Goncalves, Lilleberg, Carlile, JamesNYI: Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer
TBL 1 – 2 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	1	2	26:35	—	—	62	65
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	2	0	0	24:16	—	—	66	67
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	1.38	0	2	0	22:17	—	—	66	64
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	1	0	0	14:40	—	—	63	62
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	2	1	0	13:10	—	—	65	68
Pontus Holmberg R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	10:23	—	—	61	62
Jake Guentzel C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	54	60
Nick Paul L	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.45	2	0	2	15:02	—	—	66	71
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	11:36	—	—	70	76
Dominic James C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	2	0	0	11:32	—	—	60	20
Gage Goncalves C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	7:31	—	—	62	32
Curtis Douglas C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	4:27	—	—	44	25
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	0	2	2	25:28	—	—	59	66
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	0	0	22:48	—	—	55	59
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	21:39	—	—	63	63
Emil Lilleberg D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	2	1	0	18:54	—	—	66	63
Declan Carlile D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	69	68
Steven Santini D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:43	—	—	60	62

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	24	22	2	.917	2.07	56:40

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.71	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	24	13
Jonathan Drouin L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	17	4
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	15:53	—	—	25	12
Simon Holmstrom R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.57	1	2	0	19:57	—	—	45	40
Calum Ritchie C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	0	2	2	14:38	—	—	44	45
Anthony Duclair L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	42	45
Bo Horvat C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.46	0	0	0	22:22	—	—	39	44
Emil Heineman L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.57	1	2	0	19:31	—	—	45	44
Max Shabanov R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	33	39
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:37	—	—	53	86
Kyle MacLean C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	4	0	2	9:27	—	—	44	51
Maxim Tsyplakov R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	5	0	0	9:01	—	—	63	94
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.26	3	3	0	23:50	—	—	44	36
Tony DeAngelo D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	2	16:40	—	—	43	39
Matthew Schaefer D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	21:21	—	—	31	36
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:39	—	—	39	45
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	1	2	0	19:23	—	—	36	34
Travis Mitchell D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:58	—	—	29	29

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	4.17	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Bo Horvat (NYI) 2nd 0:55 · assists Max Shabanov · Rebound · carried in · 4-on-2 at the blue line · 54.7 mph shot · 6.2 s from entry to goal.

Bo Horvat · 2nd 0:55 · NYI

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.7 mph
Distance: 16 ft
Entry to goal: 6.2 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Anthony Duclair · 3rd 5:30 · NYI

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 52.3 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 8.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dominic James · 3rd 16:26 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 47.4 mph
Distance: 24 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.