Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresApr 5, 2025

Final / SOSaturday, Apr 5, 2025· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	2	0	0	0	2		TBL	2	13	5	4	24
BUF	0	1	1	0	1	3		BUF	9	12	13	4	38

: TBL 58BUF 65
: TBL 2.50BUF 3.73
PP goals: TBL 0BUF 1
Hits: TBL 19BUF 16
Blocks: TBL 14BUF 18
PIM: TBL 6BUF 4
: TBL 58%BUF 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 in a shootout at home. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Peterka) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:15 together.

PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Peterka) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:15 together.Zucker Tuch Thompson Dahlin Peterka
Goalie
Jonas Johansson (TBL) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +9 against a season average of 29.2; the overtime loss.Johansson
Usage
Nick Perbix (TBL) played 6:36, −8:12 down on his 14:48 season average over 73 games.Perbix
New line
New look for BUF: Lafferty–Malenstyn–Ostlund skated 5:18 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lafferty Malenstyn Ostlund
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.73 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Tage Thompson (BUF) played 22:50, +4:08 up on his 18:42 season average over 75 games.Thompson
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 11:41, −5:42 down on his 17:23 season average over 72 games.Raddysh
Usage
Emil Lilleberg (TBL) played 10:20, −5:01 down on his 15:21 season average over 75 games.Lilleberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · BUF 65 · TBL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 28% of the game, BUF 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	52	54
	2.08	2.45
	1.99	2.36
	11	8
	6	6
	19	25
	+0.057	−0.057
	28%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
12:5264% CF
L2Paul – Cirelli – Hagel
9:0830% CF
L3Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Goncalves
7:3653% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
17:1042% CF
D2Hedman – Moser
12:1329% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
5:3622% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
4:3267% CF
PP2Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Paul – Raddysh – Cirelli
0:4650% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:27
PK2FGlendening – Girgensons
1:18
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:28
PK2DHedman – Moser
1:07

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Thompson – Kulich – Benson
11:3065% CF
L2Zucker – Tuch – Krebs
10:4550% CF
L3McLeod – Quinn – Peterka
9:3932% CF
L4Lafferty – Malenstyn – Ostlund
5:1875% CF
D1Bernard-Docker – Power
12:5769% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:4546% CF
D3Clifton – Byram
12:2650% CF

PP1Zucker – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Peterka
3:15100% CF
PP2McLeod – Quinn – Power – Kulich – Ostlund
0:59100% CF
PK1FTuch – McLeod
2:46
PK2FMalenstyn – Benson
1:28
PK1DClifton – Samuelsson
4:03
PK2DDahlin – Byram
1:09

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:35
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix, LillebergBUF: Clifton, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Peterka
TBL 1 – 0 BUF
4:47
BUFTage Thompson (Zach Benson)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix, LillebergBUF: Clifton, Thompson, Byram, Kulich, Benson
TBL 1 – 1 BUF
13:01
TBLGage Goncalves (Oliver Bjorkstrand, Yanni Gourde)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Perbix, Goncalves, MoserBUF: Clifton, McLeod, Samuelsson, Quinn, Peterka
TBL 2 – 1 BUF

3rd period

5:07
BUFJason ZuckerPP (Alex Tuch, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.08 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelBUF: Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka
TBL 2 – 2 BUF

Decided in the shootout: TBL 2 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	0	0	24:31	—	—	57	53
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	23:25	—	—	62	56
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	22:24	—	—	64	59
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	2	21:53	—	—	32	26
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	2	0	19:27	—	—	29	11
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	2	0	17:29	—	—	35	22
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.05	2	0	0	17:22	—	—	50	51
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	3	1	0	13:50	—	—	55	59
Gage Goncalves C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.48	1	0	2	11:42	—	—	50	56
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	24:50	—	—	47	35
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	2	0	21:00	—	—	42	34
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	1	0	2	25:28	—	—	43	38
J.J. Moser D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	19:23	—	—	42	41
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	50	45
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:36	—	—	46	47
Darren Raddysh D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	11:41	—	—	78	73
Zemgus Girgensons C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	9:52	—	—	46	51
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	0	9:15	—	—	60	78

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	O	38	36	2	.947	3.73	64:59

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.43	1	0	0	22:50	—	—	60	80
Jiri Kulich C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	70	93
Zach Benson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	0	2	0	16:06	—	—	63	75
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.35	0	1	0	19:54	—	—	50	43
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	4	1	0	15:49	—	—	42	38
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	50	44
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	0	0	-2	6	1.04	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	39	42
Ryan McLeod C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.25	0	0	0	18:17	—	—	36	42
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.23	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	38	35
Beck Malenstyn L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	3	0	11:01	—	—	46	44
Sam Lafferty C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:01	—	—	55	75
Noah Ostlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:37	—	—	60	45
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	1	2	20:12	—	—	57	61
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	0	14:10	—	—	71	92
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.22	0	1	0	23:16	—	—	51	53
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	4	4	0	22:27	—	—	43	45
Bowen Byram D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	3	0	20:18	—	—	50	52
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	0	0	20:14	—	—	48	50

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.50	65:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Brayden Point (TBL) 2nd 1:35 · assists Nikita Kucherov · Off the faceoff · 60.5 mph shot.

Brayden Point · 2nd 1:35 · TBL

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 60.5 mph
Distance: 24 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 2nd 4:47 · BUF

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 76.3 mph
Distance: 32 ft
Entry to goal: 6.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gage Goncalves · 2nd 13:01 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 71.9 mph
Distance: 30 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jason Zucker · 3rd 5:07 · BUF PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 9.2 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.