Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa SenatorsDec 5, 2026

Time TBDSaturday, Dec 5, 2026

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

No schedule edge

TBLaway±0.0 pts

2 days rest · 185 km travel

2 days rest vs 1 day rest

OTThome±0.0 pts

1 day rest

1 day rest vs 2 days rest

No meaningful schedule edge: TBL (2 days rest) at OTT (1 day rest).

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy93%
Dennis Hildeby8%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Ottawa Senators

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Linus Ullmark51%
Samuel Ersson26%
Jonas Johansson23%
Schedule: Rested · plays again tomorrow
Last game: L 2–4 vs CAR · Apr 25

L1Tkachuk – Cozens – Greig
7:23
L2Giroux – Amadio – Pinto
5:40
L3Foegele – Batherson – Stützle
4:26
L4Eller – Cousins – Zetterlund
3:33
D1Kleven – Matinpalo
9:23
D2Chabot – Yakemchuk
7:14
D3Gilbert – Spence
4:36
PP1Batherson – Tkachuk – Pinto – Stützle – Yakemchuk
7:41

Projected OTT lines →·OTT goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Dec 5.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.