Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas StarsMar 25, 2021

FinalThursday, Mar 25, 2021· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	1	3		TBL	4	14	9	27
DAL	0	3	1	4		DAL	11	21	9	41

: TBL 47DAL 66
: TBL 2.91DAL 4.27
PP goals: TBL 0DAL 1
Hits: TBL 23DAL 23
Blocks: TBL 13DAL 12
PIM: TBL 9DAL 5
: TBL 46%DAL 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Dallas Stars beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at home. Joe Pavelski (DAL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Cal Foote (TBL) played 23:52, +11:18 up on his 12:34 season average over 34 games.

Points
Joe Pavelski had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 19:19.Pavelski
Points
Roope Hintz had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:20.Hintz
Points
Jason Robertson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:38.Robertson
Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:04.Palat
Points
Yanni Gourde had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:19.Gourde
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 23:52, +11:18 up on his 12:34 season average over 34 games.Foote
PP1
DAL's first power-play unit (Pavelski, Klingberg, Hintz, Robertson and Heiskanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:29 together.Pavelski Klingberg Hintz Robertson Heiskanen
New line
New look for DAL: Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson skated 13:40 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pavelski Hintz Robertson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · DAL 66 · TBL 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 20% of the game, DAL 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DAL
	54	70
	3.33	4.32
	3.31	4.04
	10	24
	4	6
	14	17
	−0.012	+0.012
	20%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
11:5943% CF
L2Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
10:0138% CF
L3Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
9:4558% CF
D1Sergachev – Foote
19:3249% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
17:5846% CF
D3Schenn – Borgman
8:0623% CF

PK1FColeman – Goodrow
1:11
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:01
PK1DHedman – Rutta
2:50
PK2DSergachev – Foote
0:50

Current TBL line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson
13:4038% CF
L2Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa
12:4542% CF
L3Benn – Dickinson – Gurianov
11:2270% CF
L4Dowling – Gardner – L'Esperance
5:0580% CF
D1Klingberg – Lindell
16:1755% CF
D2Oleksiak – Heiskanen
15:1141% CF
D3Pysyk – Hanley
10:5565% CF

PP1Pavelski – Klingberg – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
2:29100% CF
PP2Benn – Dowling – Faksa – Lindell – Gurianov
1:07

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:46
TBLYanni Gourde (Cal Foote, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev, FooteDAL: Comeau, Cogliano, Oleksiak, Faksa, Heiskanen
TBL 1 – 0 DAL
5:58
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.35 xG
TBL: Killorn, Johnson, Cirelli, Sergachev, FooteDAL: Pavelski, Oleksiak, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen
TBL 2 – 0 DAL
10:54
DALMiro Heiskanen (Blake Comeau)backhand0.07 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev, BorgmanDAL: Comeau, Cogliano, Oleksiak, Dickinson, Heiskanen
TBL 2 – 1 DAL
18:40
DALJoe PavelskiPP (Roope Hintz, John Klingberg)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Goodrow, RuttaDAL: Pavelski, Klingberg, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen
TBL 2 – 2 DAL
19:44
DALJason Robertson (Joe Pavelski, Roope Hintz)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Killorn, Johnson, Cirelli, Sergachev, FooteDAL: Pavelski, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen
TBL 2 – 3 DAL

3rd period

15:10
TBLOndrej Palat (Yanni Gourde, Jan Rutta)wrist0.23 xG
TBL: Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Joseph, RuttaDAL: Pavelski, Klingberg, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
TBL 3 – 3 DAL
18:39
DALRoope Hintz (Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, RuttaDAL: Pavelski, Klingberg, Oleksiak, Hintz, Robertson
TBL 3 – 4 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	33	41
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	1	0	19:17	—	—	41	41
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.87	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	61	53
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.18	3	2	2	20:13	—	—	28	26
Alex Killorn L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.45	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	31	31
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:14	—	—	44	47
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.22	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	66	77
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:18	—	—	60	64
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	50	63
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	0	2	0	26:12	—	—	49	49
Cal Foote D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	1	0	23:52	—	—	48	45
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	0	0	25:03	—	—	48	42
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	1	1	0	5	0.16	2	0	0	22:55	—	—	47	43
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:47	—	—	29	44
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	6	2	7	10:26	—	—	24	28
Mathieu Joseph R	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.25	0	1	0	11:15	—	—	46	46
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:46	—	—	30	38

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	41	37	4	.902	4.27	58:56

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Robertson L	L1	1	1	2	0	5	0.61	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	49	35
Joe Pavelski C	L1	1	2	3	0	2	0.35	1	2	0	19:19	—	—	46	27
Roope Hintz C	L1	1	2	3	0	1	0.24	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	41	33
Radek Faksa C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.70	2	2	0	19:02	—	—	43	69
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.13	1	0	0	18:13	—	—	45	68
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.32	3	0	0	15:09	—	—	50	67
Jason Dickinson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.40	4	0	0	16:18	—	—	74	75
Denis Gurianov R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	0	0	15:39	—	—	74	87
Jamie Benn L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.57	2	0	0	15:31	—	—	74	84
Justin Dowling C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	77	49
Rhett Gardner C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	8:54	—	—	53	43
Joel L'Esperance R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	7:34	—	—	75	34
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	2	3	0	25:32	—	—	60	61
John Klingberg D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	22:25	—	—	56	63
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	1	0	1	0	3	0.19	0	2	0	25:19	—	—	50	40
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	5	16:57	—	—	46	48
Joel Hanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	15:02	—	—	65	65
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	67	63

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.91	59:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.