Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey DevilsOct 10, 2024

FinalThursday, Oct 10, 2024· Prudential Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	1	0	4		TOR	11	7	4	22
NJD	1	1	0	2		NJD	8	8	7	23

: TOR 43NJD 74
: TOR 1.91NJD 2.08
PP goals: TOR 0NJD 1
Hits: TOR 12NJD 32
Blocks: TOR 27NJD 11
PIM: TOR 10NJD 4
: TOR 48%NJD 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New Jersey Devils 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New Jersey Devils 4–2 at NJD. Steven Lorentz (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NJD's first power-play unit (Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier and Hughes) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 6:57 together.

Points
Steven Lorentz had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:07.Lorentz
PP1
NJD's first power-play unit (Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier and Hughes) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 6:57 together.Hamilton Meier Bratt Hischier Hughes
New line
New look for TOR: Lorentz–Kampf–McMann skated 7:56 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lorentz Kampf McMann
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 1.91 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Steven Lorentz (TOR) played 15:07, +4:37 up on his 10:30 season average over 79 games.Lorentz
Usage
Timo Meier (NJD) played 22:19, +4:31 up on his 17:48 season average over 79 games.Meier
Usage
Bobby McMann (TOR) played 10:20, −4:13 down on his 14:33 season average over 73 games.McMann
Usage
Max Pacioretty (TOR) played 9:36, −4:00 down on his 13:36 season average over 36 games.Pacioretty

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · NJD 74 · TOR 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 15% of the game, NJD 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NJD
	47	61
	1.34	1.25
	1.30	1.23
	7	6
	6	1
	24	22
	−0.021	+0.021
	15%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Domi – Nylander
10:0222% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
9:1248% CF
L3Lorentz – Kampf – McMann
7:5645% CF
L4Pacioretty – Holmberg – Robertson
7:0353% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – McCabe
13:1542% CF
D2Tanev – Rielly
12:1152% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
11:1932% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:1250% CF
PP2Pacioretty – Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Robertson – Knies
1:31
PK1FLorentz – Holmberg
2:59
PK2FMarner – Matthews
2:12
PK1DTanev – McCabe
4:22
PK2DEkman-Larsson – Timmins
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Meier – Bratt – Hughes
10:4360% CF
L2Tatar – Hischier – Mercer
8:3465% CF
L3Haula – Palat – Noesen
7:1373% CF
L4Lazar – Bastian – Cotter
6:0036% CF
D1Siegenthaler – Kovacevic
14:2962% CF
D2Dillon – Hamilton
13:5063% CF
D3Casey – Nemec
7:0540% CF

PP1Hamilton – Meier – Bratt – Hischier – Hughes
6:5794% CF
PP2Tatar – Haula – Noesen – Mercer – Casey
1:49100% CF
PK1FHischier – Mercer
0:44
PK2FHaula – Bastian
0:33
PK1DSiegenthaler – Kovacevic
1:08
PK2DHamilton – Nemec
0:36

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:18
TORMax Pacioretty (Pontus Holmberg, Conor Timmins)snap0.08 xG
TOR: Pacioretty, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit, RobertsonNJD: Haula, Dillon, Palat, Hamilton, Noesen
TOR 1 – 0 NJD
11:29
TORBobby McMann (Jake McCabe, Steven Lorentz)snap0.01 xG
TOR: Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, McMannNJD: Meier, Bratt, Hughes, Casey, Nemec
TOR 2 – 0 NJD
14:46
TORSteven Lorentz (David Kampf)backhand0.10 xG
TOR: Tanev, Lorentz, Kampf, Benoit, McMannNJD: Dillon, Palat, Hamilton, Hischier, Mercer
TOR 3 – 0 NJD
19:18
NJDJesper BrattPPwrist0.13 xG
TOR: Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, HolmbergNJD: Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes
TOR 3 – 1 NJD

2nd period

14:52
TORJohn Tavares (Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson)wrist0.20 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, NylanderNJD: Dillon, Hischier, Cotter, Mercer, Nemec
TOR 4 – 1 NJD
19:54
NJDTimo Meier (Johnathan Kovacevic, Brenden Dillon)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Marner, Lorentz, Timmins, Kampf, BenoitNJD: Dillon, Meier, Bratt, Kovacevic, Hughes
TOR 4 – 2 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:35	—	—	32	75
John Tavares C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.37	1	0	2	15:04	—	—	24	74
Max Domi C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:51	—	—	29	74
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	21:20	—	—	44	12
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.51	0	1	0	21:04	—	—	50	17
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	50	16
Steven Lorentz C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.27	2	2	0	15:07	—	—	44	65
David Kampf C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	44	65
Bobby McMann C	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.12	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	46	73
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	14:24	—	—	53	51
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:16	—	—	50	51
Max Pacioretty L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	1	0	0	9:36	—	—	59	65
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	6	0	23:25	—	—	42	40
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.11	1	3	0	20:34	—	—	42	50
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	21:51	—	—	54	80
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	20:13	—	—	50	82
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	5	4	15:52	—	—	35	38
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	1	2	14:58	—	—	38	27

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dennis Hildeby(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	2.08	59:29

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Hughes C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	23:28	—	—	57	77
Jesper Bratt L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.49	0	1	0	22:35	—	—	55	71
Timo Meier R	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.48	2	0	0	22:19	—	—	58	67
Nico Hischier C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	1	1	0	22:46	—	—	63	41
Dawson Mercer C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.14	1	1	2	17:18	—	—	55	40
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	12:25	—	—	72	57
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	5	0	0	14:47	—	—	55	21
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	2	0	0	12:27	—	—	63	40
Ondrej Palat L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:25	—	—	57	20
Paul Cotter L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:39	—	—	39	16
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	9:35	—	—	36	33
Nathan Bastian R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	9:35	—	—	56	42
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:47	—	—	63	53
Johnathan Kovacevic D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	1	0	19:47	—	—	58	58
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.25	4	6	0	25:30	—	—	59	63
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	3	0	2	18:52	—	—	61	60
Seamus Casey D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	12:50	—	—	42	24
Simon Nemec D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:49	—	—	44	30

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	L	22	18	4	.818	1.44	58:06

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Max Pacioretty (TOR) 1st 8:18 · assists Pontus Holmberg, Conor Timmins · Rebound · 17.3 mph shot.

Max Pacioretty · 1st 8:18 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 3
Shot: 17.3 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bobby McMann · 1st 11:29 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 71.0 mph
Distance: 52 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Steven Lorentz · 1st 14:46 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 36.8 mph
Distance: 20 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jesper Bratt · 1st 19:18 · NJD PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 51.0 mph
Distance: 22 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 2nd 14:52 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 51.8 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Entry to goal: 3.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Timo Meier · 2nd 19:54 · NJD

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 3
Shot: 34.1 mph
Distance: 30 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.