Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersFeb 28, 2019

FinalThursday, Feb 28, 2019· NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

1

@

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New York IslandersNYI

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	13	14	8	35
NYI	1	3	2	6		NYI	10	15	12	37

: TOR 57NYI 56
: TOR 4.15NYI 3.45
PP goals: TOR 0NYI 0
Hits: TOR 22NYI 39
Blocks: TOR 7NYI 17
PIM: TOR 2NYI 4
: TOR 44%NYI 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–1

New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–1 at home. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR scored 1 goal on 4.15 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Brock Nelson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:20.Nelson
Points
Cal Clutterbuck had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:44.Clutterbuck
Points
Jordan Eberle had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:38.Eberle
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 4.15 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
NYI scored 6 goals on 3.45 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Garret Sparks (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 31 (.838), +7 against a season average of 29.6; the loss.Sparks
New line
New look for NYI: Bailey–Barzal–Beauvillier skated 10:28 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (58.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bailey Barzal Beauvillier
New line
New look for NYI: Filppula–Ladd–Komarov skated 8:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Ladd Komarov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NYI 56 · TOR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 37% of the game, NYI 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NYI
	59	65
	4.20	3.85
	3.75	3.70
	20	19
	2	5
	23	19
	−0.049	+0.049
	37%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
12:3680% CF
L2Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
11:0623% CF
L3Marleau – Brown – Nylander
7:0827% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
6:5344% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
16:4430% CF
D2Marincin – Holl
14:1654% CF
D3Muzzin – Zaitsev
13:3940% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:44100% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Ennis – Nylander – Kapanen
1:080% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:09
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:51
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:09
PK2DMuzzin – Marincin
0:51

Current TOR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Eberle – Lee – Nelson
12:4277% CF
L2Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
10:4329% CF
L3Bailey – Barzal – Beauvillier
10:2859% CF
L4Filppula – Ladd – Komarov
8:4838% CF
D1Mayfield – Toews
17:0262% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
15:2768% CF
D3Boychuk – Leddy
14:2921% CF

PP1Eberle – Leddy – Lee – Nelson – Barzal
1:30100% CF
PP2Filppula – Bailey – Leddy – Pulock – Beauvillier
0:30
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
2:05
PK2FFilppula – Nelson
0:41
PK1DBoychuk – Mayfield
2:27
PK2DPelech – Pulock
1:25

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:33
TORZach Hyman (Mitch Marner, Ron Hainsey)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerNYI: Filppula, Boychuk, Ladd, Komarov, Leddy
TOR 1 – 0 NYI
16:16
NYIAnthony Beauvillier (Josh Bailey, Mathew Barzal)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, ZaitsevNYI: Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier
TOR 1 – 1 NYI

2nd period

4:49
NYIAnders Lee (Brock Nelson, Jordan Eberle)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, MatthewsNYI: Boychuk, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Nelson
TOR 1 – 2 NYI
13:40
NYICasey CizikasSH (Cal Clutterbuck)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander, KapanenNYI: Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield
TOR 1 – 3 NYI
19:00
NYIValtteri Filppula (Andrew Ladd, Leo Komarov)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Marleau, Marincin, Holl, Brown, NylanderNYI: Filppula, Ladd, Komarov, Mayfield, Toews
TOR 1 – 4 NYI

3rd period

0:33
NYINick Leddy (Cal Clutterbuck, Matt Martin)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Ennis, Marincin, Holl, Matthews, MooreNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas, Mayfield
TOR 1 – 5 NYI
8:41
NYIBrock Nelson (Jordan Eberle, Ryan Pulock)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Marincin, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, MatthewsNYI: Eberle, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier
TOR 1 – 6 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	5	1.05	0	0	0	18:18	—	—	76	88
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.60	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	78	88
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.33	1	0	0	15:08	—	—	70	83
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.46	1	1	2	20:59	—	—	35	38
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	26	23
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	2	1	0	15:33	—	—	23	25
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-2	5	0.81	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	50	50
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	13:53	—	—	31	21
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	2	0	0	13:47	—	—	42	33
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	60	73
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	12:22	—	—	53	61
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	36	27
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	3	3	0	23:22	—	—	33	51
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:27	—	—	34	51
Martin Marincin D	D2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.13	2	0	0	18:14	—	—	56	40
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:56	—	—	64	55
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:13	—	—	50	50
Jake Muzzin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:50	—	—	58	72

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks(start)	L	37	31	6	.838	3.45	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.21	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	71	74
Anders Lee L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.44	1	0	0	15:56	—	—	77	85
Jordan Eberle R	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.40	1	0	0	15:38	—	—	76	85
Casey Cizikas C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.17	2	2	0	16:20	—	—	34	40
Cal Clutterbuck R	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.29	4	1	0	14:44	—	—	43	45
Matt Martin L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	5	2	0	13:19	—	—	39	42
Mathew Barzal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	3	1	0	15:29	—	—	62	45
Josh Bailey R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	55	37
Anthony Beauvillier R	L3	1	0	1	+2	4	0.45	4	0	0	14:32	—	—	52	40
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	5	1	2	14:07	—	—	32	26
Valtteri Filppula C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	2	13:24	—	—	42	27
Andrew Ladd L	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.19	2	0	0	12:06	—	—	38	29
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	0	0	+3	4	0.33	2	3	0	23:26	—	—	61	64
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	1	0	0	19:09	—	—	66	69
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.14	3	3	0	21:04	—	—	64	51
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+2	4	0.11	0	1	0	18:04	—	—	66	58
Nick Leddy D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.11	0	1	0	19:35	—	—	31	31
Johnny Boychuk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	5	2	0	17:12	—	—	23	14

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	4.15	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.