Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersApr 1, 2019

FinalMonday, Apr 1, 2019· NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	16	11	11	38
NYI	0	0	1	1		NYI	12	9	8	29

: TOR 65NYI 57
: TOR 3.77NYI 2.85
PP goals: TOR 0NYI 1
Hits: TOR 21NYI 25
Blocks: TOR 19NYI 11
PIM: TOR 8NYI 4
: TOR 53%NYI 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New York Islanders 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 2–1 at NYI. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. NYI's first power-play unit (Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Nelson and Toews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:19 together.

PP1
NYI's first power-play unit (Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Nelson and Toews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:19 together.Bailey Eberle Lee Nelson Toews
New line
New look for TOR: Nylander–Kapanen–Matthews skated 11:58 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (59.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nylander Kapanen Matthews
Goalie
Robin Lehner (NYI) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +9 against a season average of 28.8; the loss.Lehner
New line
New look for TOR: Ennis–Gauthier–Moore skated 5:43 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis Gauthier Moore
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Brown skated 8:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kadri Brown
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 2.85 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 3.77 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brock Nelson (NYI) played 14:50, −3:11 down on his 18:01 season average over 81 games.Nelson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · NYI 57 · TOR 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 39% of the game, NYI 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NYI
	61	56
	2.87	2.42
	2.77	2.38
	16	8
	6	8
	29	31
	+0.063	−0.063
	39%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:0367% CF
L2Nylander – Kapanen – Matthews
11:5859% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Brown
8:2741% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
5:4343% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
17:0443% CF
D2Muzzin – Zaitsev
13:3854% CF
D3Dermott – Rosen
9:2165% CF

PP1Muzzin – Tavares – Kadri – Marner – Matthews
2:18100% CF
PP2Marleau – Ennis – Rielly – Nylander – Kapanen
1:2360% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
4:14
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
1:57
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:23
PK2DMuzzin – Dermott
1:32

Current TOR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Eberle – Lee – Barzal
11:2156% CF
L2Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
9:2132% CF
L3Bailey – Nelson – Dal Colle
7:3056% CF
L4Komarov – Kuhnhackl – Beauvillier
5:4044% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
15:1251% CF
D2Boychuk – Leddy
14:4523% CF
D3Mayfield – Toews
12:4071% CF

PP1Bailey – Eberle – Lee – Nelson – Toews
4:1983% CF
PP2Clutterbuck – Leddy – Pulock – Barzal – Beauvillier
2:5525% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
2:22
PK2FKomarov – Nelson
0:51
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:21
PK2DLeddy – Pulock
1:13

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:17
TORCalle Rosen (Connor Brown, Nazem Kadri)slap0.02 xG
TOR: Marleau, Kadri, Brown, Dermott, RosenNYI: Boychuk, Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Dal Colle
TOR 1 – 0 NYI

3rd period

3:50
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner)snap0.07 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, ZaitsevNYI: Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal
TOR 2 – 0 NYI
14:55
NYIJordan EberlePP (Brock Nelson, Anders Lee)snap0.18 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Marner, ZaitsevNYI: Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Toews
TOR 2 – 1 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	1	1	0	22:54	—	—	56	41
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.47	0	0	0	19:23	—	—	59	44
John Tavares C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.85	1	1	2	18:47	—	—	63	60
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	6	0	0	20:15	—	—	59	70
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	1	1	2	19:26	—	—	59	77
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	57	74
Connor Brown R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	4	0	14:21	—	—	36	51
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	1	1	2	13:06	—	—	39	53
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.24	0	1	0	10:58	—	—	44	62
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	3	0	0	7:54	—	—	50	93
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	7:51	—	—	31	25
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	6:09	—	—	43	90
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.25	0	1	2	24:18	—	—	49	46
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	5	0	23:26	—	—	38	39
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	2	0	0	23:15	—	—	50	64
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	20:35	—	—	53	78
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	1	1	0	15:36	—	—	54	48
Calle Rosen D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	69	54

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.85	59:51

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	0	1	0	19:43	—	—	50	35
Anders Lee L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	56	41
Jordan Eberle R	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	18:22	—	—	55	34
Cal Clutterbuck R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	2	0	0	18:26	—	—	41	57
Casey Cizikas C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.48	2	3	0	17:10	—	—	43	57
Matt Martin L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	3	0	0	11:29	—	—	31	44
Josh Bailey R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	50	52
Brock Nelson C	L3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	14:50	—	—	67	51
Michael Dal Colle L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	46	29
Anthony Beauvillier R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	57	61
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	3	0	0	10:21	—	—	42	33
Tom Kuhnhackl R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	8:35	—	—	45	34
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	0	23:21	—	—	52	31
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	5	0	2	19:13	—	—	51	26
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	2	0	20:04	—	—	29	25
Johnny Boychuk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	2	0	17:15	—	—	24	23
Devon Toews D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	1	0	0	19:51	—	—	72	87
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	0	16:13	—	—	70	84

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	L	38	36	2	.947	3.77	59:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.