Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersMar 21, 2023

FinalTuesday, Mar 21, 2023· UBS Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

New York IslandersNYI

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	1	2		TOR	8	9	10	27
NYI	0	3	4	7		NYI	10	9	10	29

: TOR 61NYI 44
: TOR 3.07NYI 3.38
PP goals: TOR 0NYI 0
Hits: TOR 15NYI 36
Blocks: TOR 9NYI 19
PIM: TOR 9NYI 7
: TOR 40%NYI 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Toronto Maple Leafs 7–2

New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–2 at home. Cal Clutterbuck (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Brock Nelson (NYI) played 4:46, −13:50 down on his 18:36 season average over 81 games.

Points
Cal Clutterbuck had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 12:59.Clutterbuck
Points
Anders Lee had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:58.Lee
Points
Noah Dobson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:36.Dobson
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:30.Pageau
Usage
Brock Nelson (NYI) played 4:46, −13:50 down on his 18:36 season average over 81 games.Nelson
Luck
NYI scored 7 goals on 3.38 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 17:40, −3:39 down on his 21:19 season average over 79 games.Marner
Cats
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (NYI) threw 6 hits, a night for hits leagues.Pageau

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · NYI 44 · TOR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 34% of the game, NYI 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NYI
	72	49
	3.54	3.43
	3.25	3.10
	19	12
	1	1
	10	25
	−0.061	+0.061
	34%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Acciari – Aston-Reese – Kampf
8:1758% CF
L2Tavares – Bunting – Marner
6:0657% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Matthews
5:4636% CF
L4Nylander – Lafferty – McMann
4:5067% CF
D1Rielly – Gustafsson
17:4253% CF
D2McCabe – Liljegren
17:1273% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
15:3050% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:17
PK1FMarner – Kampf
0:41
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
0:41
PK1DGiordano – Holl
1:24
PK2DMcCabe – Liljegren
0:41

Current TOR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Horvat – Holmstrom
9:5346% CF
L2Parise – Pageau – Fasching
7:3838% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
4:4725% CF
L4Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
3:5214% CF
D1Pulock – Romanov
16:1826% CF
D2Mayfield – Pelech
14:4443% CF
D3Dobson – Bolduc
13:3263% CF

PP1Parise – Pageau – Pulock – Engvall – Bolduc
0:56
PP2Palmieri – Lee – Fasching – Horvat – Dobson
0:550% CF

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:01
TORSam Lafferty (Timothy Liljegren, Bobby McMann)deflected0.12 xG
TOR: McCabe, Nylander, Lafferty, Liljegren, McMannNYI: Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech
TOR 1 – 0 NYI

2nd period

0:28
NYIZach Parise (Scott Mayfield, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Tavares, McCabe, Marner, LiljegrenNYI: Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech
TOR 1 – 1 NYI
13:50
NYIHudson Faschingwrist0.09 xG
TOR: Tavares, McCabe, Bunting, Liljegren, KampfNYI: Parise, Fasching, Horvat, Dobson, Romanov
TOR 1 – 2 NYI
17:26
NYICal Clutterbuck (Ryan Pulock)tip-in0.08 xG
TOR: Rielly, Gustafsson, Acciari, Aston-Reese, KampfNYI: Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov
TOR 1 – 3 NYI

3rd period

3:29
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Justin Holl)slap0.15 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Marner, Matthews, KampfNYI: Palmieri, Mayfield, Horvat, Engvall, Romanov
TOR 2 – 3 NYI
4:13
NYICal Clutterbuckwrist0.14 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Rielly, Gustafsson, Marner, MatthewsNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock
TOR 2 – 4 NYI
10:00
NYISimon Holmstrom (Anders Lee)other0.46 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenNYI: Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Holmstrom
TOR 2 – 5 NYI
13:56
NYINoah DobsonEN (Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.37 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson
TOR 2 – 6 NYI
16:46
NYIAnders Lee (Noah Dobson, Cal Clutterbuck)tip-in0.16 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, KampfNYI: Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Lee, Dobson, Bolduc
TOR 2 – 7 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Kampf C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	1	0	0	13:31	—	—	50	51
Noel Acciari C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	0	5	12:16	—	—	61	82
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.18	2	0	0	11:35	—	—	44	42
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	-3	2	0.37	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	70	44
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.70	1	1	0	16:23	—	—	73	80
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	1	0	0	15:57	—	—	77	84
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	1	1	-2	3	0.58	0	0	2	17:31	—	—	55	37
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	1	0	0	14:37	—	—	38	16
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:14	—	—	43	22
William Nylander R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	80	85
Sam Lafferty C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	1	1	2	13:11	—	—	47	50
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:52	—	—	50	60
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.05	0	0	0	21:26	—	—	54	42
Erik Gustafsson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.19	1	1	0	19:29	—	—	51	39
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	1	0	20:46	—	—	71	52
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.10	1	1	0	19:38	—	—	73	55
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	3	0	19:15	—	—	52	74
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:33	—	—	50	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	28	22	6	.786	3.01	59:34

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bo Horvat C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	0	2	0	22:05	—	—	35	59
Anders Lee L	L1	1	1	2	+2	5	0.53	2	4	0	18:58	—	—	46	67
Simon Holmstrom R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.77	1	0	0	13:30	—	—	42	72
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.00	6	0	0	18:30	—	—	54	78
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	1	0	0	13:38	—	—	29	56
Hudson Fasching R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	2	0	0	13:20	—	—	44	65
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	+2	3	0.62	2	0	0	16:24	—	—	46	58
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	2	1	3	+4	2	0.22	5	2	0	12:59	—	—	41	65
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	2	0	5	11:06	—	—	37	34
Kyle Palmieri C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:57	—	—	37	8
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	14:34	—	—	41	7
Brock Nelson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	4:46	—	—	14	0
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	4	2	0	21:58	—	—	24	18
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	2	21:10	—	—	27	17
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	2	4	0	21:14	—	—	43	70
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:33	—	—	39	65
Noah Dobson D	D3	1	1	2	+3	5	0.53	0	1	0	18:36	—	—	68	84
Samuel Bolduc D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	1	0	15:59	—	—	65	77

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	3.07	59:43

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.