Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersJan 2, 2025

FinalThursday, Jan 2, 2025· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	11	11	9	31
NYI	0	1	0	1		NYI	8	11	14	33

: TOR 64NYI 70
: TOR 2.71NYI 3.53
PP goals: TOR 1NYI 0
Hits: TOR 26NYI 19
Blocks: TOR 16NYI 14
PIM: TOR 4NYI 4
: TOR 57%NYI 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New York Islanders 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 2–1 at NYI. Bobby McMann (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NYI scored 1 goal on 3.53 expected goals (70 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Bobby McMann had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 15:01.McMann
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 3.53 expected goals (70 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Isaiah George (NYI) played 8:07, −7:46 down on his 15:53 season average over 32 games.George
Usage
David Kampf (TOR) played 18:50, +6:33 up on his 12:17 season average over 58 games.Kampf
Usage
Kyle MacLean (NYI) played 6:03, −3:58 down on his 10:01 season average over 80 games.MacLean
Usage
Steven Lorentz (TOR) played 6:30, −4:06 down on his 10:36 season average over 79 games.Lorentz
Luck
Bo Horvat (NYI) generated 1.21 xG on 10 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Horvat
Usage
Pierre Engvall (NYI) played 8:09, −3:44 down on his 11:53 season average over 61 games.Engvall

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · NYI 70 · TOR 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 32% of the game, NYI 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NYI
	67	61
	2.57	2.32
	2.52	2.19
	12	10
	4	5
	25	24
	+0.019	−0.019
	32%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Kampf – Knies
10:2759% CF
L2Pacioretty – Tavares – Marner
9:5758% CF
L3Domi – Robertson – McMann
9:2863% CF
L4Reaves – Lorentz – Dewar
4:2433% CF
D1Tanev – McCabe
14:0439% CF
D2Rielly – Myers
13:3563% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Benoit
10:2163% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Knies
2:19100% CF
PP2Pacioretty – Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Nylander – McMann
1:20
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:10
PK2FDewar – Knies
1:24
PK1DTanev – McCabe
2:53
PK2DMyers – Benoit
2:01

Current TOR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Pageau – Barzal
11:4542% CF
L2Palmieri – Nelson – Tsyplakov
10:3854% CF
L3Cizikas – Duclair – Horvat
9:2831% CF
L4Fasching – Engvall – MacLean
5:2255% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
14:4049% CF
D2Dobson – Romanov
14:0538% CF
D3Mayfield – George
6:3140% CF

PP1Lee – Duclair – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
2:5383% CF
PP2Palmieri – Nelson – Pageau – Pulock – Tsyplakov
1:28100% CF
PK1FPageau – Horvat
2:06
PK2FPalmieri – Nelson
1:30
PK1DMayfield – Romanov
1:14
PK2DPelech – Pulock
1:04

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:43
TORBobby McMann (Nick Robertson)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMannNYI: Cizikas, Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Romanov
TOR 1 – 0 NYI
18:15
NYIScott Mayfield (Mathew Barzal, Adam Pelech)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, MarnerNYI: Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal
TOR 1 – 1 NYI

3rd period

17:01
TORBobby McMannPP (Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Max Domi)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Marner, McMannNYI: Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Pulock
TOR 2 – 1 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	19:16	—	—	46	40
David Kampf C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	2	0	18:50	—	—	52	46
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.68	4	0	0	18:35	—	—	57	66
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	1	1	0	23:43	—	—	56	58
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.37	0	0	0	18:57	—	—	56	61
Max Pacioretty L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.25	3	0	0	16:23	—	—	50	46
Bobby McMann C	L3	2	0	2	+1	6	0.36	2	0	2	15:01	—	—	64	58
Max Domi C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.05	1	0	2	14:26	—	—	59	53
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	3	0	0	12:27	—	—	59	60
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	7	0	0	8:24	—	—	31	27
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	6:30	—	—	40	27
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:11	—	—	36	33
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	21:33	—	—	41	35
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:28	—	—	39	37
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	1	0	23:34	—	—	53	69
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	4	0	17:43	—	—	58	79
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	18:25	—	—	59	39
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	15:34	—	—	64	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.53	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.59	1	1	0	22:03	—	—	54	56
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.27	2	0	0	20:15	—	—	40	54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	6	1	0	16:48	—	—	50	55
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	2	0	19:59	—	—	44	31
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	16:50	—	—	45	26
Maxim Tsyplakov R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	15:20	—	—	50	27
Bo Horvat C	L3	0	0	0	-1	7	1.21	0	1	0	21:33	—	—	44	44
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	1	1	0	17:39	—	—	38	40
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	2	1	2	12:09	—	—	48	45
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	9:13	—	—	57	86
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	8:09	—	—	55	74
Kyle MacLean C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:03	—	—	54	80
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	22:40	—	—	51	32
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.13	0	2	2	19:26	—	—	52	39
Noah Dobson D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	0	0	25:22	—	—	38	45
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	2	0	20:07	—	—	45	49
Scott Mayfield D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	1	1	0	16:28	—	—	58	66
Isaiah George D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:07	—	—	38	49

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	31	29	2	.935	2.71	58:07

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Bobby McMann (TOR) 2nd 10:43 · assists Nick Robertson · Forecheck turnover · 77.6 mph shot.

Bobby McMann · 2nd 10:43 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 77.6 mph
Distance: 23 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Scott Mayfield · 2nd 18:15 · NYI

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 61.4 mph
Distance: 18 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:01 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 66.3 mph
Distance: 17 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.