Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Seattle KrakenFeb 26, 2023

FinalSunday, Feb 26, 2023· Climate Pledge Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Seattle KrakenSEA

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	1	1	5		TOR	20	4	9	33
SEA	1	0	0	1		SEA	7	15	5	27

: TOR 54SEA 61
: TOR 3.50SEA 2.72
PP goals: TOR 0SEA 0
Hits: TOR 10SEA 22
Blocks: TOR 18SEA 10
PIM: TOR 4SEA 2
: TOR 71%SEA 29%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Seattle Kraken 5–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Seattle Kraken 5–1 at SEA. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. Auston Matthews (TOR) played 14:08, −6:14 down on his 20:22 season average over 73 games.

Points
Mitch Marner had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 16:00.Marner
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:08.Matthews
Points
Timothy Liljegren had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:13.Liljegren
Points
Michael Bunting had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:23.Bunting
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:14.Nylander
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 14:08, −6:14 down on his 20:22 season average over 73 games.Matthews
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 16:00, −5:21 down on his 21:21 season average over 79 games.Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Bunting–Marner–Matthews skated 10:26 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bunting Marner Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)SEA attacks right (top on phones) →

SEA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · SEA 61 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

SEA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

SEA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, SEA 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

SEA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	SEA
	58	55
	2.95	2.24
	2.85	1.94
	12	8
	2	5
	14	24
	+0.118	−0.118
	27%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Jarnkrok – Engvall – Kampf
12:2030% CF
L2Kerfoot – Acciari – Aston-Reese
11:1950% CF
L3O'Reilly – Tavares – Nylander
10:4753% CF
L4Bunting – Marner – Matthews
10:2673% CF
D1Giordano – Liljegren
16:5652% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
16:1660% CF
D3Holl – Sandin
13:4037% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:20100% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Jarnkrok – Bunting – Liljegren – Sandin
0:40
PK1FKerfoot – Acciari
1:52
PK2FMarner – Kampf
1:41
PK1DGiordano – Holl
1:02
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
0:57

Current TOR line combinations →

Seattle Kraken

L1Eberle – McCann – Beniers
11:2542% CF
L2Schwartz – Wennberg – Froden
11:0757% CF
L3Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen
11:0447% CF
L4Donato – Tanev – Geekie
7:1033% CF
D1Larsson – Dunn
19:0946% CF
D2Oleksiak – Borgen
14:5441% CF
D3Schultz – Soucy
12:4139% CF

PP1Eberle – Schultz – Schwartz – Gourde – Beniers
2:35100% CF
PP2Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – McCann – Dunn – Tolvanen
1:18100% CF
PK1FWennberg – Tanev
1:20
PK2FSchwartz – Beniers
0:14
PK1DLarsson – Oleksiak
1:20
PK2DDunn – Borgen
0:25

Current SEA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:47
SEAVince Dunn (Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsSEA: Eberle, McCann, Dunn, Borgen, Beniers
TOR 0 – 1 SEA
4:58
TORMark Giordano (Timothy Liljegren, William Nylander)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Tavares, Nylander, LiljegrenSEA: Schultz, Gourde, Soucy, Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen
TOR 1 – 1 SEA
7:06
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Justin Holl)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, SandinSEA: Larsson, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Dunn, Tolvanen
TOR 2 – 1 SEA
12:51
TORTimothy Liljegren (Mitch Marner, Michael Bunting)snap0.08 xG
TOR: Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenSEA: Larsson, Donato, Dunn, Tanev, Geekie
TOR 3 – 1 SEA

2nd period

4:13
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner)other0.08 xG
TOR: Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, SandinSEA: Eberle, Oleksiak, McCann, Borgen, Beniers
TOR 4 – 1 SEA

3rd period

12:31
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Michael Bunting)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsSEA: Larsson, Donato, Dunn, Tanev, Geekie
TOR 5 – 1 SEA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Kampf C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	1	0	0	16:01	—	—	32	63
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:53	—	—	29	60
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	14:25	—	—	30	63
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	0	1	0	16:32	—	—	48	47
Noel Acciari C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	3	3	0	16:14	—	—	45	37
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	0	2	13:01	—	—	50	59
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	50	59
William Nylander R	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.28	0	1	0	14:14	—	—	57	68
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	1.07	1	0	0	14:09	—	—	58	60
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	3	3	+2	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	70	59
Auston Matthews C	L4	2	0	2	+2	5	0.51	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	72	61
Michael Bunting L	L4	0	2	2	+2	2	0.27	1	0	0	12:23	—	—	71	61
Timothy Liljegren D	D1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.15	0	1	0	21:13	—	—	49	48
Mark Giordano D	D1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.01	1	2	0	20:27	—	—	53	55
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	1	0	21:25	—	—	58	62
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	20:17	—	—	62	72
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	3	0	18:23	—	—	45	55
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	0	2	0	17:17	—	—	37	46

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.72	60:00

Seattle Kraken

SEA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Eberle R	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	45	64
Matty Beniers C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.40	1	2	0	17:27	—	—	36	55
Jared McCann L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	52	73
Alexander Wennberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	19:48	—	—	61	53
Jaden Schwartz L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.55	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	59	56
Jesper Froden R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	13:32	—	—	54	21
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	1	0	0	16:35	—	—	52	38
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	1	0	0	15:59	—	—	52	34
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	2	0	0	14:25	—	—	41	16
Ryan Donato C	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.21	1	0	0	11:01	—	—	41	23
Brandon Tanev L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:59	—	—	44	41
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	0	0	0	8:43	—	—	43	18
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.07	4	3	0	23:58	—	—	44	36
Vince Dunn D	D1	1	0	1	-2	2	0.32	1	0	0	22:41	—	—	56	50
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	1	0	19:30	—	—	54	48
Will Borgen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	3	0	17:11	—	—	45	36
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	46	44
Carson Soucy D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	2	1	2	15:08	—	—	45	33

SEA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones	—	12	11	1	.917	0.65	35:32
Philipp Grubauer(start)	L	21	17	4	.810	2.85	24:13

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.