Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresApr 15, 2025

FinalTuesday, Apr 15, 2025· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	3	4		TOR	8	11	13	32
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	13	9	13	35

: TOR 61BUF 69
: TOR 4.18BUF 3.40
PP goals: TOR 0BUF 0
Hits: TOR 17BUF 13
Blocks: TOR 19BUF 12
PIM: TOR 4BUF 4
: TOR 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Buffalo Sabres 4–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 4–0 at BUF. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF scored 0 goals on 3.40 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:37.Matthews
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 3.40 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Anthony Stolarz (TOR) faced 35 shots and stopped 35 (.1000), +7 against a season average of 28.1; the win.Stolarz
New line
New look for BUF: Lafferty–Rosen–Ostlund skated 6:02 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (68.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lafferty Rosen Ostlund
Usage
Bobby McMann (TOR) played 11:04, −3:29 down on his 14:33 season average over 73 games.McMann
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 25:01, +5:48 up on his 19:13 season average over 61 games.Samuelsson
Usage
Connor Clifton (BUF) played 20:40, +4:41 up on his 15:59 season average over 72 games.Clifton
Usage
Bowen Byram (BUF) played 19:14, −3:30 down on his 22:44 season average over 81 games.Byram

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · BUF 69 · TOR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, BUF 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	66	62
	3.63	2.75
	3.46	2.60
	13	13
	10	10
	26	25
	+0.015	−0.015
	33%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
12:4472% CF
L2Tavares – Domi – Nylander
11:3538% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Laughton – Lorentz
9:0863% CF
L4Holmberg – Robertson – McMann
8:0175% CF
D1Tanev – Benoit
14:4452% CF
D2Rielly – Myers
13:3247% CF
D3Mermis – Carlo
12:2562% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
2:5483% CF
PP2Rielly – Domi – Holmberg – Robertson – McMann
0:36
PK1FMarner – Matthews
1:31
PK2FLaughton – Lorentz
1:02
PK1DTanev – Benoit
1:39
PK2DCarlo – Myers
0:28

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Thompson – Kulich – Benson
11:3238% CF
L2Zucker – Tuch – Krebs
10:2247% CF
L3McLeod – Quinn – Peterka
9:2035% CF
L4Lafferty – Rosen – Ostlund
6:0268% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
17:1653% CF
D2Clifton – Byram
12:4942% CF
D3Bryson – Bernard-Docker
10:0440% CF

PP1Zucker – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Peterka
2:30100% CF
PP2McLeod – Byram – Quinn – Kulich – Ostlund
0:51
PK1FTuch – McLeod
0:52
PK2FLafferty – Krebs
0:39
PK1DClifton – Samuelsson
2:16
PK2DDahlin – Byram
0:32

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

14:15
TORSteven Lorentz (Scott Laughton, Calle Jarnkrok)slap0.15 xG
TOR: Tanev, Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, BenoitBUF: Clifton, Lafferty, Byram, Ostlund, Benson
TOR 1 – 0 BUF

3rd period

15:39
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies)snap0.19 xG
TOR: Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, KniesBUF: Clifton, Thompson, Byram, Kulich, Benson
TOR 2 – 0 BUF
18:08
TORAuston MatthewsENwrist0.86 xG
TOR: Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, Marner, MatthewsBUF: Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin, Peterka
TOR 3 – 0 BUF
18:43
TORNick Robertson (Pontus Holmberg, Bobby McMann)backhand0.21 xG
TOR: Rielly, Myers, Holmberg, Robertson, McMannBUF: Clifton, Lafferty, Bryson, Rosen, Ostlund
TOR 4 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.25	0	1	0	19:56	—	—	68	83
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	6	1.73	1	1	0	19:37	—	—	59	68
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	61	78
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	0	2	18:22	—	—	30	15
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	1	1	0	18:21	—	—	39	33
Max Domi C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.23	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	32	24
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.19	3	3	0	14:34	—	—	44	51
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:27	—	—	42	51
Steven Lorentz C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	3	0	0	12:21	—	—	53	58
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	1	1	+1	5	0.18	3	0	0	11:04	—	—	70	83
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	2	0	0	10:40	—	—	72	84
Nick Robertson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.52	0	0	2	10:38	—	—	70	79
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:28	—	—	50	60
Simon Benoit D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	5	0	19:56	—	—	52	53
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	0	4	0	21:51	—	—	48	68
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	3	0	17:03	—	—	46	58
Brandon Carlo D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	58	52
Dakota Mermis D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	14:12	—	—	60	46

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	35	35	0	.1000	3.40	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	-2	4	0.20	0	0	0	22:26	—	—	36	22
Zach Benson L	L1	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	56	51
Jiri Kulich C	L1	-1	4	0.33	0	0	0	17:15	—	—	59	53
Alex Tuch R	L2	-1	4	0.38	0	1	0	18:40	—	—	52	62
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	17:04	—	—	44	41
Jason Zucker L	L2	-1	5	0.54	1	0	0	16:24	—	—	42	44
Ryan McLeod C	L3	-1	2	0.49	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	36	39
JJ Peterka R	L3	-1	4	0.38	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	30	23
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	1	0.18	1	0	4	13:58	—	—	52	54
Noah Ostlund C	L4	-2	1	0.07	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	64	46
Sam Lafferty C	L4	-2	0	0.31	0	0	0	8:49	—	—	62	47
Isak Rosen R	L4	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	7:00	—	—	67	51
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	4	0.11	3	1	0	25:41	—	—	58	63
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	25:01	—	—	49	58
Connor Clifton D	D2	-3	0	0.02	2	4	0	20:40	—	—	44	36
Bowen Byram D	D2	-2	0	0.12	0	2	0	19:14	—	—	51	48
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D3	0	2	0.06	0	2	0	13:04	—	—	47	36
Jacob Bryson D	D3	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	11:40	—	—	40	18

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	3.32	59:03

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Steven Lorentz (TOR) 2nd 14:15 · assists Scott Laughton, Calle Jarnkrok · Cycle · 62.0 mph shot.

Steven Lorentz · 2nd 14:15 · TOR

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 62.0 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 3rd 15:39 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 45.1 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:08 · TOR EN

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.3 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Entry to goal: 7.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 3rd 18:43 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 26.9 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.