Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresOct 24, 2025

FinalFriday, Oct 24, 2025· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	0	1	3		TOR	9	11	14	34
BUF	2	2	1	5		BUF	12	9	9	30

: TOR 68BUF 59
: TOR 2.69BUF 3.00
PP goals: TOR 1BUF 0
Hits: TOR 30BUF 8
Blocks: TOR 13BUF 21
PIM: TOR 4BUF 10
: TOR 58%BUF 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3 at home. Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:08 together.

Points
Mattias Samuelsson had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:38.Samuelsson
Points
Alex Tuch had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:34.Tuch
Points
Jiri Kulich had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:50.Kulich
Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:06.Thompson
Points
Oliver Ekman-Larsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:50.Ekman-Larsson
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:08 together.Tavares Ekman-Larsson Nylander Matthews Knies
New line
New look for TOR: Nylander–Matthews–McMann skated 12:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nylander Matthews McMann
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Maccelli–Knies skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Maccelli Knies

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · BUF 59 · TOR 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, BUF 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

BUF skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the BUF side.

Matchup matrix

BUF xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	59	56
	2.15	2.63
	2.08	2.57
	13	7
	11	4
	22	22
	+0.036	−0.036
	19%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Matthews – McMann
12:1955% CF
L2Tavares – Maccelli – Knies
8:4743% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Domi – Lorentz
8:0563% CF
L4Joshua – Roy – Cowan
7:4473% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – Carlo
12:1158% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
9:3545% CF
D3Mermis – Myers
2:0650% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Matthews – Knies
4:0867% CF
PP2McCabe – Domi – Maccelli – McMann – Cowan
0:3850% CF

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Thompson – Kulich – Benson
13:3942% CF
L2Tuch – McLeod – Doan
10:0060% CF
L3Zucker – Quinn – Ostlund
8:4944% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
8:3053% CF
D2Timmins – Power
7:4644% CF
D3Byram – Metsa
4:5530% CF

PP1Zucker – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Benson
1:4288% CF
PP2Zucker – Thompson – Byram – Power – Benson
0:13100% CF
PK1FTuch – McLeod
2:40
PK2FMalenstyn – Benson
0:48
PK1DTimmins – Samuelsson
2:56
PK2DByram – Power
1:46

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.25	2	1	0	23:48	—	—	47	50
Bobby McMann C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:09	—	—	45	33
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.32	1	0	0	17:39	—	—	52	56
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.18	0	1	0	19:16	—	—	46	37
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.33	4	2	0	19:03	—	—	46	44
Matias Maccelli L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.24	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	39	33
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	1	0	2	14:16	—	—	64	42
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	4	0	0	10:49	—	—	69	12
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	2	0	2	10:16	—	—	43	9
Nicolas Roy C	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.28	3	0	0	15:11	—	—	64	52
Dakota Joshua C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.46	4	0	0	12:36	—	—	64	82
Easton Cowan R	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	11:05	—	—	59	53
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	2	2	0	4	0.17	0	0	0	25:50	—	—	63	76
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	0	0	21:31	—	—	44	59
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	6	0	20:32	—	—	48	14
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	1	0	16:53	—	—	55	13
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.09	1	2	0	14:05	—	—	53	45
Dakota Mermis D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:12	—	—	44	22

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	L	30	25	5	.833	3.00	57:09

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Benson L	L1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.20	0	1	0	20:25	—	—	50	61
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	1	2	+3	5	0.45	0	2	2	19:06	—	—	45	67
Jiri Kulich C	L1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.24	0	2	0	16:50	—	—	45	65
Ryan McLeod C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.21	0	0	0	20:03	—	—	63	88
Alex Tuch R	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.34	1	4	0	19:34	—	—	60	81
Josh Doan R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.09	0	0	0	11:57	—	—	63	87
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	14:55	—	—	56	37
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	1	0	0	12:47	—	—	41	31
Noah Ostlund C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:28	—	—	38	25
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	2	0	2	+4	3	0.39	0	4	0	23:38	—	—	50	81
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	4	20:28	—	—	51	56
Conor Timmins D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	1	0	23:37	—	—	46	58
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	1	0	20:02	—	—	54	59
Bowen Byram D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	21:25	—	—	53	30
Zach Metsa D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	33	34
Peyton Krebs C	—	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	0	0	4	13:43	—	—	38	54
Beck Malenstyn L	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.53	4	2	0	12:14	—	—	35	44
Tyson Kozak C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1:49	—	—	0	0

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Lyon(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	2.69	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) 1st 4:38 · assists Ryan McLeod, Alex Tuch · Cycle · passed in · 64.8 mph shot · 7.7 s from entry to goal.

Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 4:38 · BUF

Play: cycle
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 64.8 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Entry to goal: 7.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 1st 5:01 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 13.4 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jiri Kulich · 1st 6:12 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.7 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 1st 12:45 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 74.7 mph
Distance: 22 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 2nd 7:20 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 9.4 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Entry to goal: 3.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 13:10 · BUF

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 69.3 mph
Distance: 29 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dakota Joshua · 3rd 1:55 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 29.1 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 3rd 16:59 · BUF SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 18.9 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Entry to goal: 2.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresOct 24, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 4:38 · BUF

William Nylander · 1st 5:01 · TOR

Jiri Kulich · 1st 6:12 · BUF

Auston Matthews · 1st 12:45 · TOR PP

Tage Thompson · 2nd 7:20 · BUF

Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 13:10 · BUF

Dakota Joshua · 3rd 1:55 · TOR

Alex Tuch · 3rd 16:59 · BUF SH