Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 5, 2023

FinalThursday, Jan 5, 2023· PNC Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	2	2	5		NSH	7	7	11	25
CAR	1	2	0	3		CAR	18	21	28	67

: NSH 49CAR 105
: NSH 3.63CAR 5.83
PP goals: NSH 1CAR 1
Hits: NSH 18CAR 18
Blocks: NSH 21CAR 15
PIM: NSH 10CAR 8
: NSH 41%CAR 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–3

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–3 at CAR. Brett Pesce (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 67 shots and stopped 64 (.955), +34 against a season average of 32.8; the win.

Points
Brett Pesce had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:12.Pesce
Points
Juuso Parssinen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:27.Parssinen
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 67 shots and stopped 64 (.955), +34 against a season average of 32.8; the win.Saros
Luck
CAR scored 3 goals on 5.83 expected goals (105 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Pacioretty–Stepan–Kotkaniemi skated 7:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (61.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pacioretty Stepan Kotkaniemi
Usage
Ryan Johansen (NSH) played 11:57, −3:53 down on his 15:50 season average over 54 games.Johansen
Usage
Paul Stastny (CAR) played 15:27, +3:38 up on his 11:49 season average over 72 games.Stastny
Usage
Filip Forsberg (NSH) played 14:31, −3:01 down on his 17:32 season average over 49 games.Forsberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 154 of 154 attempts · CAR 105 · NSH 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 21% of the game, CAR 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	43	96
	2.49	4.94
	2.37	4.22
	7	23
	2	8
	12	18
	−0.053	+0.053
	21%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Granlund – Niederreiter – Glass
8:4442% CF
L2Duchene – Johansen – Jankowski
7:2028% CF
L3Novak – Trenin – Jeannot
7:1433% CF
L4Forsberg – Sissons – Parssinen
6:4844% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
15:2533% CF
D2Ekholm – Carrier
13:1438% CF
D3McKeown – Lauzon
9:1721% CF

PP1Josi – Johansen – Forsberg – Novak – Parssinen
2:5375% CF
PP2Duchene – Ekholm – Granlund – Niederreiter – Glass
1:5767% CF
PK1FJankowski – Trenin
3:02
PK2FSissons – Jeannot
2:19
PK1DMcDonagh – Lauzon
2:41
PK2DEkholm – Carrier
2:24

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Stastny – Necas – Svechnikov
10:2867% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Martinook
9:5783% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
7:5353% CF
L4Pacioretty – Stepan – Kotkaniemi
7:3561% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
15:4076% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
14:3772% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
10:0857% CF

PP1Burns – Pacioretty – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
5:07100% CF
PP2Stastny – Teravainen – Pesce – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
1:53100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:19
PK2FStaal – Martinook
1:13
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:49
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:07

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:41
CARPaul StastnyPP (Brett Pesce, Teuvo Teravainen)deflected0.14 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, JeannotCAR: Stastny, Teravainen, Pesce, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis
NSH 0 – 1 CAR
10:29
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Juuso Parssinen, Roman Josi)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Niederreiter, Forsberg, Novak, ParssinenCAR: Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Aho
NSH 1 – 1 CAR

2nd period

0:35
CARBrady Skjei (Brett Pesce, Martin Necas)wrist0.16 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Forsberg, GlassCAR: Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Svechnikov
NSH 1 – 2 CAR
2:47
NSHMattias Ekholm (Juuso Parssinen)slap0.11 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier, ParssinenCAR: Burns, Stastny, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov
NSH 2 – 2 CAR
9:54
CARJordan Staal (Jesper Fast, Jordan Martinook)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Forsberg, Carrier, Jeannot, ParssinenCAR: Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce
NSH 2 – 3 CAR
11:55
NSHCody Glass (Mikael Granlund, Alexandre Carrier)snap0.32 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Niederreiter, Carrier, GlassCAR: de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis
NSH 3 – 3 CAR

3rd period

5:06
NSHMark Jankowski (Ryan Johansen, Matt Duchene)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Jankowski, McKeownCAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin
NSH 4 – 3 CAR
19:57
NSHColton SissonsENwrist0.85 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Granlund, Sissons, TreninCAR: Burns, Staal, Pacioretty, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
NSH 5 – 3 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.28	0	2	2	19:13	—	—	33	39
Cody Glass C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	1	0	0	14:58	—	—	33	28
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.37	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	29	26
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	23	11
Mark Jankowski L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	4	0	13:10	—	—	29	49
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	1	0	0	11:57	—	—	29	47
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	5	1	0	15:55	—	—	36	45
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	2	3	2	14:31	—	—	33	36
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:52	—	—	26	36
Filip Forsberg L	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	14:31	—	—	33	37
Juuso Parssinen C	L4	0	2	2	0	2	0.52	1	0	0	14:27	—	—	32	37
Colton Sissons C	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.86	1	1	0	14:04	—	—	35	48
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	2	0	25:29	—	—	40	44
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	3	0	22:45	—	—	29	31
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	2	1	2	21:12	—	—	40	51
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	3	2	19:40	—	—	34	48
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	3	1	2	14:33	—	—	24	16
Roland McKeown D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	19	12

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	67	64	3	.955	5.83	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.28	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	67	65
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	8	0.71	2	0	0	18:23	—	—	70	73
Paul Stastny C	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.80	0	0	0	15:27	—	—	67	74
Jordan Staal C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.26	0	1	0	14:37	—	—	84	87
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.68	1	0	0	13:25	—	—	84	92
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.18	0	0	2	12:50	—	—	84	87
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.35	1	1	0	20:57	—	—	63	57
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	-1	6	0.62	3	1	0	16:18	—	—	58	56
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.09	1	0	2	13:45	—	—	50	46
Max Pacioretty L	L4	0	0	0	-1	6	0.55	2	0	0	16:06	—	—	69	56
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	2	12:35	—	—	67	45
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	1	0	9:53	—	—	70	54
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	2	2	+2	7	0.24	0	1	0	22:12	—	—	72	62
Brady Skjei D	D1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.31	1	1	0	20:46	—	—	74	63
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	-3	6	0.37	0	2	2	23:24	—	—	72	86
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:43	—	—	68	85
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	3	0	12:51	—	—	62	43
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	0	2	0	11:49	—	—	57	37

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	L	24	20	4	.833	2.57	58:28

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.