Nashville Predators vs. Winnipeg JetsDec 15, 2022

Final / OTThursday, Dec 15, 2022· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	1	0	0	0	1		NSH	6	8	11	1	26
WPG	1	0	0	1	2		WPG	10	19	10	2	41

: NSH 44WPG 80
: NSH 2.37WPG 4.54
PP goals: NSH 0WPG 0
Hits: NSH 25WPG 18
Blocks: NSH 16WPG 10
PIM: NSH 17WPG 15
: NSH 53%WPG 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Nashville Predators 2–1 (OT)

Winnipeg Jets beat Nashville Predators 2–1 in overtime at home. Kyle Connor (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Nate Schmidt (WPG) played 5:30, −13:09 down on his 18:39 season average over 70 games.

Points
Kyle Connor had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 11 shots in 26:48.Connor
Usage
Nate Schmidt (WPG) played 5:30, −13:09 down on his 18:39 season average over 70 games.Schmidt
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +8 against a season average of 32.8; the overtime loss.Saros
Usage
Kyle Connor (WPG) played 26:48, +6:21 up on his 20:27 season average over 81 games.Connor
Luck
WPG scored 2 goals on 4.54 expected goals (80 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Josh Morrissey (WPG) played 27:35, +3:24 up on his 24:11 season average over 77 games.Morrissey
Usage
Mark Scheifele (WPG) played 25:11, +4:46 up on his 20:25 season average over 80 games.Scheifele
Usage
Brenden Dillon (WPG) played 23:59, +4:27 up on his 19:32 season average over 81 games.Dillon

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · WPG 80 · NSH 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 16% of the game, WPG 48%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	WPG
	40	70
	1.79	3.52
	1.74	3.30
	12	18
	8	1
	12	17
	+0.021	−0.021
	16%	48%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
10:0528% CF
L2Niederreiter – Sissons – Glass
6:5673% CF
L3Trenin – Jeannot – Parssinen
6:1720% CF
L4Johansen – Jankowski – Smith
6:0323% CF
D1Josi – Gross
15:4140% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
12:0429% CF
D3Gravel – McKeown
11:3024% CF

PP1Josi – Niederreiter – Forsberg – Glass – Parssinen
2:37100% CF
PP2Duchene – Ekholm – Johansen – Granlund – Gross
1:38100% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
2:35
PK2FTrenin – Smith
1:37
PK1DEkholm – Fabbro
3:28
PK2DGravel – McKeown
1:48

Current NSH line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti
11:0280% CF
L2Connor – Dubois – Eyssimont
6:119% CF
L3Lowry – Harkins – Barron
6:0057% CF
L4Gagner – Stenlund – Gustafsson
3:4683% CF
D1Dillon – Pionk
11:0843% CF
D2DeMelo – Morrissey
11:0571% CF
D3Schmidt – Samberg
4:1771% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor – Dubois
5:59100% CF
PP2Gagner – Lowry – Scheifele – Morrissey – Pionk
0:43100% CF
PK1FLowry – Connor
2:00
PK2FStenlund – Gustafsson
1:05
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
3:09
PK2DSamberg – Pionk
2:10

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:04
NSHFilip Forsberg (Mikael Granlund, Matt Duchene)wrist0.04 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, GrossWPG: DeMelo, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois, Eyssimont
NSH 1 – 0 WPG
15:24
WPGDylan DeMelo (Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey)backhand0.11 xG
NSH: Duchene, Granlund, Gravel, GrossWPG: DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor
NSH 1 – 1 WPG

OT period

3:31
WPGKyle Connor (Adam Lowry)wrist0.11 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ekholm, JohansenWPG: Lowry, Morrissey, Connor
NSH 1 – 2 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	18:16	—	—	32	17
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	28	20
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.61	2	0	2	17:09	—	—	26	18
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	1	1	0	16:24	—	—	50	50
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	14:25	—	—	68	67
Cody Glass C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	2	0	0	14:23	—	—	56	54
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	0	0	16:21	—	—	36	46
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	5	12:35	—	—	27	60
Juuso Parssinen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:29	—	—	41	75
Ryan Johansen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	0	2	16:26	—	—	29	7
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:54	—	—	35	33
Cole Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	1	2	11:38	—	—	22	3
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.46	0	3	2	27:43	—	—	38	33
Jordan Gross D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	19:52	—	—	43	32
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	3	4	0	23:04	—	—	39	48
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	19:26	—	—	25	37
Kevin Gravel D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:12	—	—	24	11
Roland McKeown D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	4	14:50	—	—	32	30

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	41	39	2	.951	4.54	63:31

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.53	0	0	0	25:11	—	—	76	61
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	0	2	18:32	—	—	79	62
Cole Perfetti C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	79	61
Kyle Connor L	L2	1	1	2	+1	11	1.11	0	0	0	26:48	—	—	50	69
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.48	1	3	4	20:57	—	—	49	74
Michael Eyssimont C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	7:46	—	—	15	57
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	2	0	5	16:29	—	—	62	81
Morgan Barron C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	12:57	—	—	67	83
Jansen Harkins C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	0	0	4	11:03	—	—	61	60
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	68	68
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	1	0	0	10:22	—	—	77	75
David Gustafsson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	9:07	—	—	75	52
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	24:39	—	—	33	26
Brenden Dillon D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	2	0	23:59	—	—	67	69
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.32	0	2	0	27:35	—	—	69	70
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	1	0	1	0	3	0.16	3	0	0	20:55	—	—	79	88
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	7	2	0	14:13	—	—	58	58
Nate Schmidt D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:30	—	—	71	80

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.37	63:31

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.