Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsApr 3, 2025

FinalThursday, Apr 3, 2025· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	0	1		NSH	17	9	3	29
DAL	0	1	4	5		DAL	5	10	12	27

: NSH 51DAL 56
: NSH 2.81DAL 3.44
PP goals: NSH 0DAL 0
Hits: NSH 34DAL 19
Blocks: NSH 17DAL 8
PIM: NSH 10DAL 6
: NSH 39%DAL 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars rout Nashville Predators 5–1

Dallas Stars beat Nashville Predators 5–1 at home. Mason Marchment (DAL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for DAL: Steel–Bourque–Johnston skated 11:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (65.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mason Marchment had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:52.Marchment
Points
Jason Robertson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:16.Robertson
Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:57.Duchene
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:13.Rantanen
New line
New look for DAL: Steel–Bourque–Johnston skated 11:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (65.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Steel Bourque Johnston
New line
New look for NSH: Stamkos–Forsberg–L'Heureux skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Forsberg L'Heureux
New line
New look for NSH: Bellows–Wiesblatt–Svechkov skated 5:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bellows Wiesblatt Svechkov
New line
New look for NSH: McCarron–Vrana–Smith skated 7:12 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McCarron Vrana Smith

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · DAL 56 · NSH 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 29% of the game, DAL 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	48	61
	2.22	3.56
	2.12	3.21
	5	11
	4	1
	19	11
	−0.048	+0.049
	29%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1O'Reilly – Bunting – Evangelista
9:5156% CF
L2Stamkos – Forsberg – L'Heureux
8:4740% CF
L3McCarron – Vrana – Smith
7:1246% CF
L4Bellows – Wiesblatt – Svechkov
5:3554% CF
D1Del Gaizo – Barron
15:1640% CF
D2Oesterle – Englund
13:1743% CF
D3Skjei – Blankenburg
12:3959% CF

PP1Stamkos – O'Reilly – Forsberg – Evangelista – Blankenburg
2:28100% CF
PP2Skjei – Vrana – Bunting – Bellows – Svechkov
1:02100% CF
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
3:40
PK2FO'Reilly – Wiesblatt
1:01
PK1DSkjei – Blankenburg
3:44
PK2DDel Gaizo – Barron
3:05

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Steel – Bourque – Johnston
11:0665% CF
L2Rantanen – Hintz – Robertson
10:4061% CF
L3Duchene – Granlund – Marchment
10:0550% CF
L4Dadonov – Blackwell – Bäck
7:0350% CF
D1Ceci – Lindell
16:3250% CF
D2Lyubushkin – Harley
12:1254% CF
D3Dumba – Bichsel
10:4279% CF

PP1Rantanen – Hintz – Robertson – Harley – Johnston
3:3680% CF
PP2Dadonov – Duchene – Granlund – Dumba – Marchment
3:010% CF
PK1FSteel – Bourque
0:57
PK2FHintz – Johnston
0:47
PK1DLindell – Lyubushkin
2:06
PK2DDumba – Ceci
0:34

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:37
NSHSteven Stamkos (Filip Forsberg, Nick Blankenburg)snap0.05 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Skjei, Forsberg, L'Heureux, BlankenburgDAL: Ceci, Lindell, Steel, Bourque, Johnston
NSH 1 – 0 DAL
19:24
DALMikael Granlund (Matt Duchene, Mason Marchment)tip-in0.10 xG
NSH: McCarron, Vrana, Englund, Del Gaizo, SmithDAL: Duchene, Granlund, Ceci, Lindell, Marchment
NSH 1 – 1 DAL

3rd period

0:39
DALMason Marchment (Matt Duchene)snap0.04 xG
NSH: McCarron, Bunting, Del Gaizo, Barron, EvangelistaDAL: Duchene, Ceci, Lindell, Rantanen, Marchment
NSH 1 – 2 DAL
5:47
DALRoope Hintz (Jason Robertson, Mikko Rantanen)tip-in0.14 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Forsberg, Oesterle, Englund, EvangelistaDAL: Ceci, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Bichsel
NSH 1 – 3 DAL
9:45
DALWyatt Johnston (Mavrik Bourque)wrist0.17 xG
NSH: Bellows, Del Gaizo, Wiesblatt, Barron, SvechkovDAL: Ceci, Lindell, Steel, Bourque, Johnston
NSH 1 – 4 DAL
12:42
DALLian Bichsel (Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson)snap0.12 xG
NSH: Vrana, Del Gaizo, Smith, Barron, SvechkovDAL: Dumba, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Bichsel
NSH 1 – 5 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Evangelista R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.28	2	0	0	17:48	—	—	40	60
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.56	0	3	0	16:32	—	—	52	85
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.39	0	3	8	15:37	—	—	46	68
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.51	1	0	2	17:18	—	—	44	43
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.28	4	2	0	16:45	—	—	44	44
Zachary L'Heureux L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	5	1	0	12:45	—	—	39	38
Michael McCarron C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	2	1	0	15:57	—	—	38	11
Cole Smith R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	40	7
Jakub Vrana L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	0	12:32	—	—	42	13
Fedor Svechkov C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	42	21
Ozzy Wiesblatt C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	5	1	0	11:18	—	—	41	38
Kieffer Bellows L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	3	0	0	10:13	—	—	53	26
Justin Barron D	D1	0	0	0	-3	5	0.32	4	2	0	21:32	—	—	41	28
Marc Del Gaizo D	D1	0	0	0	-4	0	0.02	5	0	0	20:36	—	—	35	24
Jordan Oesterle D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	39	37
Andreas Englund D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:43	—	—	37	35
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.17	0	1	0	22:11	—	—	56	56
Nick Blankenburg D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:47	—	—	59	76

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Justus Annunen(start)	L	27	22	5	.815	3.44	60:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Wyatt Johnston C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.20	2	0	0	18:07	—	—	63	86
Sam Steel C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.87	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	59	86
Mavrik Bourque C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.30	1	1	0	14:15	—	—	64	83
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	2	2	+3	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:13	—	—	63	68
Jason Robertson L	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.07	3	0	0	17:16	—	—	54	64
Roope Hintz C	L2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.56	1	0	0	17:05	—	—	63	66
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	52	44
Mason Marchment L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.33	2	0	0	15:52	—	—	54	43
Mikael Granlund C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	53	46
Oskar Bäck C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	11:52	—	—	42	42
Evgenii Dadonov L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	11:47	—	—	55	13
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.23	0	0	4	11:01	—	—	40	42
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.23	2	3	0	23:12	—	—	49	44
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:05	—	—	53	57
Thomas Harley D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	21:16	—	—	58	71
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	3	0	17:47	—	—	50	64
Mathew Dumba D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:15	—	—	73	72
Lian Bichsel D	D3	1	0	1	+2	4	0.22	3	0	2	14:50	—	—	65	74

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.81	59:49

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Steven Stamkos (NSH) 2nd 4:37 · assists Filip Forsberg, Nick Blankenburg · Rush · carried in · 51.0 mph shot · 2.8 s from entry to goal.

Steven Stamkos · 2nd 4:37 · NSH

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 51.0 mph
Distance: 20 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mikael Granlund · 2nd 19:24 · DAL

Play: deflection
Passes: 1
Shot: 20.0 mph
Distance: 6 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mason Marchment · 3rd 0:39 · DAL

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 43.4 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 6.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Roope Hintz · 3rd 5:47 · DAL

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 5
Shot: 23.1 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 9:45 · DAL

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 35.2 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Lian Bichsel · 3rd 12:42 · DAL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 79.5 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 4.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.