Nashville Predators vs. Minnesota WildFeb 19, 2023

FinalSunday, Feb 19, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	2	3		NSH	8	9	9	26
MIN	0	2	2	4		MIN	13	12	10	35

: NSH 55MIN 64
: NSH 1.99MIN 4.39
PP goals: NSH 0MIN 1
Hits: NSH 25MIN 19
Blocks: NSH 18MIN 17
PIM: NSH 10MIN 4
: NSH 53%MIN 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Minnesota Wild beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at home. Tommy Novak (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 2A. MIN's first power-play unit (Goligoski, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 5:07 together.

Points
Tommy Novak had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:08.Novak
Points
Kirill Kaprizov had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:58.Kaprizov
Points
Roman Josi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 27:41.Josi
Points
Ryan Hartman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:53.Hartman
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Goligoski, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 5:07 together.Goligoski Zuccarello Eriksson Ek Kaprizov Boldy
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 35 shots and stopped 31 (.886), +2 against a season average of 32.8; the loss.Saros
Usage
Kevin Gravel (NSH) played 10:35, −3:51 down on his 14:26 season average over 22 games.Gravel
Usage
Jon Merrill (MIN) played 10:24, −4:49 down on his 15:13 season average over 72 games.Merrill

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · MIN 64 · NSH 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 15% of the game, MIN 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	MIN
	53	59
	1.46	2.99
	1.43	2.57
	6	10
	6	5
	8	12
	+0.021	−0.021
	15%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Johansen – Granlund
9:3360% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
9:2839% CF
L3Niederreiter – Glass – Tomasino
5:3667% CF
L4Novak – Parssinen – Smith
4:4144% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
12:1552% CF
D2Ekholm – Lauzon
9:1141% CF
D3Gravel – Fabbro
8:209% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Niederreiter
2:3950% CF
PP2Ekholm – Novak – Glass – Tomasino – Parssinen
1:15100% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
2:54
PK2FTrenin – Smith
2:37
PK1DMcDonagh – Lauzon
3:23
PK2DJosi – Ekholm
3:14

Current NSH line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
10:5372% CF
L2Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
8:0436% CF
L3Eriksson Ek – Beckman – Boldy
6:3764% CF
L4Gaudreau – Greenway – Duhaime
6:0942% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
16:5269% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
15:1033% CF
D3Goligoski – Merrill
9:3350% CF

PP1Goligoski – Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
5:0790% CF
PP2Spurgeon – Brodin – Hartman – Gaudreau – Beckman
2:15100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
1:27
PK2FHartman – Duhaime
0:39
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
2:16
PK2DDumba – Middleton
1:36

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:09
MINBrandon Duhaime (Frederick Gaudreau)deflected0.10 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Johansen, GranlundMIN: Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Greenway, Duhaime
NSH 0 – 1 MIN
1:37
MINKirill KaprizovPP (Joel Eriksson Ek, Mats Zuccarello)wrist0.23 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, JeannotMIN: Goligoski, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy
NSH 0 – 2 MIN
17:03
NSHTommy Novak (Kevin Gravel, Jeremy Lauzon)snap0.13 xG
NSH: Gravel, Novak, Lauzon, Parssinen, SmithMIN: Goligoski, Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov
NSH 1 – 2 MIN

3rd period

1:23
MINKirill Kaprizov (Ryan Hartman)snap0.06 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Niederreiter, Novak, Lauzon, ParssinenMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Hartman, Middleton, Kaprizov
NSH 1 – 3 MIN
15:04
NSHRoman Josi (Mattias Ekholm, Tommy Novak)snap0.05 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Niederreiter, NovakMIN: Reaves, Dumba, Middleton, Shaw, Dewar
NSH 2 – 3 MIN
19:13
NSHNino Niederreiter (Roman Josi, Tommy Novak)tip-in0.15 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, NovakMIN: Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek, Shaw, Boldy
NSH 3 – 3 MIN
19:39
MINRyan Hartman (Jonas Brodin, Jared Spurgeon)deflected0.08 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Trenin, JeannotMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Hartman, Kaprizov
NSH 3 – 4 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.41	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	59	37
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:29	—	—	59	36
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	0	0	16:22	—	—	56	35
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	17:22	—	—	31	17
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	3	0	16:31	—	—	34	23
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	0	0	15:18	—	—	35	26
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	1	1	4	16:32	—	—	60	56
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	11:29	—	—	46	47
Philip Tomasino R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	10:50	—	—	54	59
Tommy Novak C	L4	1	2	3	+2	2	0.26	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	50	43
Juuso Parssinen C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	12:54	—	—	47	32
Cole Smith R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	3	0	11:28	—	—	50	39
Roman Josi D	D1	1	1	2	0	5	0.36	0	3	0	27:41	—	—	55	38
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	4	2	0	20:55	—	—	51	23
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	23:17	—	—	50	43
Jeremy Lauzon D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	18:41	—	—	40	34
Dante Fabbro D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	4	14:52	—	—	45	31
Kevin Gravel D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:35	—	—	20	29

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	35	31	4	.886	3.96	58:57

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	2	0	2	+1	6	0.61	2	1	2	20:58	—	—	64	72
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	1	0	0	20:49	—	—	65	66
Ryan Hartman R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.20	0	2	0	17:53	—	—	71	76
Mason Shaw C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	0	13:54	—	—	32	30
Connor Dewar C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	2	1	2	12:23	—	—	40	60
Ryan Reaves R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	1	0	11:05	—	—	32	21
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.20	0	1	0	17:43	—	—	62	67
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	0	1	1	-1	5	1.32	1	0	0	17:32	—	—	59	61
Adam Beckman L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	65	64
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	42	69
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.44	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	39	74
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.66	0	2	0	10:48	—	—	43	81
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	24:13	—	—	73	83
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	1	0	21:38	—	—	61	72
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	4	2	0	23:26	—	—	44	59
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	0	19:17	—	—	32	35
Alex Goligoski D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:08	—	—	53	64
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	10:24	—	—	53	63

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	1.99	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.