Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia FlyersDec 14, 2017

FinalThursday, Dec 14, 2017· Wells Fargo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	7	6	7	20
PHI	1	1	0	2		PHI	7	14	6	27

: BUF 48PHI 55
: BUF 1.82PHI 1.88
PP goals: BUF 0PHI 0
Hits: BUF 31PHI 30
Blocks: BUF 12PHI 19
PIM: BUF 4PHI 2
: BUF 45%PHI 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Philadelphia Flyers edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Ryan O'Reilly (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) played 15:56, −5:36 down on his 21:32 season average over 77 games.

Usage
Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) played 15:56, −5:36 down on his 21:32 season average over 77 games.Gostisbehere
Usage
Andrew MacDonald (PHI) played 24:26, +4:39 up on his 19:47 season average over 65 games.MacDonald
Usage
Ivan Provorov (PHI) played 27:55, +3:49 up on his 24:06 season average over 81 games.Provorov
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 23:04, −3:29 down on his 26:33 season average over 72 games.Ristolainen
Usage
Travis Konecny (PHI) played 11:41, −3:16 down on his 14:57 season average over 80 games.Konecny
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 14:04, −3:04 down on his 17:08 season average over 81 games.Reinhart
Usage
Scott Wilson (BUF) played 9:15, −3:00 down on his 12:15 season average over 68 games.Wilson
Usage
Zach Bogosian (BUF) played 22:01, +3:02 up on his 18:59 season average over 17 games.Bogosian

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PHI attacks right (top on phones) →

PHI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · PHI 55 · BUF 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PHI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PHI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 32% of the game, PHI 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PHI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PHI
	50	55
	1.74	1.79
	1.72	1.75
	6	4
	1	4
	12	17
	+0.026	−0.026
	32%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – O'Reilly – Girgensons
11:5957% CF
L2Pominville – Pouliot – Eichel
11:5340% CF
L3Kane – Reinhart – Rodrigues
11:0658% CF
L4Nolan – Larsson – Wilson
8:1445% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:4945% CF
D2Bogosian – McCabe
17:4849% CF
D3Gorges – Falk
10:5738% CF

PP1Kane – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Rodrigues
1:02100% CF
PP2Pominville – Pouliot – Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly
0:39
PK1FKane – Eichel
1:44
PK2FO'Reilly – Girgensons
0:40
PK1DGorges – McCabe
1:38
PK2DFalk – Scandella
0:57

Current BUF line combinations →

Philadelphia Flyers

L1Giroux – Simmonds – Couturier
13:1971% CF
L2Filppula – Voracek – Raffl
12:2942% CF
L3Laughton – Leier – Konecny
8:2657% CF
L4Weise – Weal – Patrick
8:0667% CF
D1MacDonald – Provorov
20:4350% CF
D2Gostisbehere – Hagg
12:5850% CF
D3Gudas – Sanheim
12:4871% CF

PP1Filppula – Weal – Konecny – Provorov – Patrick
2:0183% CF
PP2Giroux – Voracek – Simmonds – Couturier – Gostisbehere
1:59100% CF
PK1FSimmonds – Couturier
1:20
PK2FGiroux – Raffl
0:40
PK1DMacDonald – Provorov
1:06
PK2DGudas – Hagg
0:54

Current PHI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:29
BUFRyan O'Reilly (Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.21 xG
BUF: Gorges, Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, GirgensonsPHI: Filppula, Voracek, Gudas, Raffl, Sanheim
BUF 1 – 0 PHI
4:02
PHITravis Sanheim (Dale Weise, Jordan Weal)snap0.02 xG
BUF: Gorges, Falk, Kane, Reinhart, RodriguesPHI: Weise, Gudas, Weal, Sanheim, Patrick
BUF 1 – 1 PHI

2nd period

17:27
PHIValtteri Filppula (Jakub Voracek, Michael Raffl)snap0.07 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart, RodriguesPHI: Filppula, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Hagg
BUF 1 – 2 PHI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.46	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	56	66
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	1	2	17:00	—	—	55	57
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	7	1	0	15:09	—	—	60	70
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	20:10	—	—	30	30
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	35	31
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	15:50	—	—	40	33
Evander Kane L	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.49	3	0	0	18:39	—	—	50	38
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	0	2	14:36	—	—	52	37
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:04	—	—	52	45
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	0	0	12:08	—	—	56	80
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	9:38	—	—	39	65
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:15	—	—	43	65
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	3	0	23:10	—	—	49	33
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	4	1	0	23:04	—	—	47	38
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	2	0	22:01	—	—	49	53
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:02	—	—	49	52
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:57	—	—	50	69
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	2	0	12:54	—	—	39	75

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	1.88	57:58

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Couturier C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	19:46	—	—	74	51
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	0	0	0	19:31	—	—	68	49
Wayne Simmonds R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	4	0	0	19:18	—	—	71	49
Jakub Voracek R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	2	0	18:30	—	—	38	52
Valtteri Filppula C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.18	1	0	2	17:35	—	—	41	54
Michael Raffl L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.33	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	42	52
Taylor Leier L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	1	0	13:21	—	—	41	35
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	1	0	12:28	—	—	41	35
Travis Konecny R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	11:41	—	—	53	44
Nolan Patrick C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:08	—	—	60	66
Dale Weise R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	3	0	0	11:42	—	—	53	55
Jordan Weal C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.14	0	0	0	11:34	—	—	57	66
Ivan Provorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	6	1	0	27:55	—	—	43	62
Andrew MacDonald D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	5	0	24:26	—	—	50	68
Robert Hagg D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	3	2	0	17:15	—	—	47	53
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.23	3	2	0	15:56	—	—	52	55
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	3	0	16:02	—	—	67	36
Travis Sanheim D	D3	1	0	1	0	3	0.10	0	1	0	14:23	—	—	60	32

PHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	W	20	19	1	.950	1.82	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.