Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia FlyersMar 7, 2020

FinalSaturday, Mar 7, 2020· Wells Fargo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	13	11	15	39
PHI	0	1	2	3		PHI	4	10	10	24

: BUF 65PHI 40
: BUF 3.49PHI 3.33
PP goals: BUF 0PHI 0
Hits: BUF 22PHI 18
Blocks: BUF 9PHI 18
PIM: BUF 6PHI 8
: BUF 38%PHI 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at home. Claude Giroux (PHI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for BUF: Johansson–Olofsson–Kahun skated 10:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Claude Giroux had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:01.Giroux
Points
Jakub Voracek had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:58.Voracek
Points
Travis Sanheim had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:37.Sanheim
New line
New look for BUF: Johansson–Olofsson–Kahun skated 10:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansson Olofsson Kahun
Goalie
Carter Hart (PHI) faced 39 shots and stopped 38 (.974), +13 against a season average of 25.6; the win.Hart
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.49 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Frolik–Simmonds–Lazar skated 6:02 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Frolik Simmonds Lazar
Usage
Jeff Skinner (BUF) played 21:00, +4:36 up on his 16:24 season average over 58 games.Skinner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PHI attacks right (top on phones) →

PHI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · PHI 40 · BUF 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PHI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PHI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 42% of the game, PHI 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PHI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PHI
	58	34
	2.78	2.41
	2.70	2.29
	12	14
	5	4
	12	24
	−0.103	+0.103
	42%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
12:0968% CF
L2Johansson – Olofsson – Kahun
10:4772% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
7:4957% CF
L4Frolik – Simmonds – Lazar
6:0267% CF
D1Ristolainen – Montour
14:4046% CF
D2Miller – Dahlin
13:0080% CF
D3McCabe – Jokiharju
12:0858% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
5:1480% CF
PP2Okposo – Simmonds – Johansson – Miller – Dahlin
1:31100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:12
PK2FFrolik – Lazar
2:09
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:21
PK2DMontour – Jokiharju
0:57

Current BUF line combinations →

Philadelphia Flyers

L1Giroux – Voracek – Couturier
13:0755% CF
L2Hayes – Konecny – Farabee
9:3338% CF
L3Thompson – Raffl – Aube-Kubel
8:0115% CF
L4Grant – Pitlick – Laughton
7:2131% CF
D1Niskanen – Provorov
15:0126% CF
D2Braun – Hagg
13:1626% CF
D3Sanheim – Myers
12:2445% CF

PP1Giroux – Voracek – Couturier – Konecny – Provorov
2:4863% CF
PP2Niskanen – Grant – Hayes – Sanheim – Aube-Kubel
1:12100% CF
PK1FThompson – Couturier
2:36
PK2FPitlick – Raffl
2:28
PK1DNiskanen – Provorov
4:04
PK2DBraun – Sanheim
1:50

Current PHI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:04
PHIClaude Giroux (Jakub Voracek, Travis Sanheim)backhand0.18 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Reinhart, MontourPHI: Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Myers
BUF 0 – 1 PHI
16:54
BUFDominik Kahun (Victor Olofsson, Marcus Johansson)wrist0.23 xG
BUF: Johansson, Ristolainen, Montour, Olofsson, KahunPHI: Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Myers
BUF 1 – 1 PHI

3rd period

9:28
PHIClaude Giroux (Jakub Voracek, Travis Sanheim)snap0.20 xG
BUF: Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju, KahunPHI: Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Hagg, Sanheim
BUF 1 – 2 PHI
14:49
PHIJoel Farabeewrist0.06 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, EichelPHI: Niskanen, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov, Farabee
BUF 1 – 3 PHI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	0	0	0	22:58	—	—	68	64
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-2	6	0.85	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	61	56
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-2	6	0.59	2	0	0	21:00	—	—	63	57
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.19	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	72	78
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.33	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	76	79
Dominik Kahun C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.43	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	61	60
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	2	0	15:04	—	—	50	13
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	0	0	13:40	—	—	43	10
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	13:22	—	—	64	41
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	11:30	—	—	69	28
Michael Frolik R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:31	—	—	73	22
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	9:09	—	—	54	9
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	2	0	2	24:16	—	—	48	37
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	19:09	—	—	44	35
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	2	18:51	—	—	81	72
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	3	0	0	18:26	—	—	80	70
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	2	0	17:09	—	—	65	58
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	2	0	16:15	—	—	55	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	24	21	3	.875	2.67	57:38

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Couturier C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.40	1	0	0	20:50	—	—	52	51
Claude Giroux R	L1	2	0	2	+1	2	0.49	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	52	51
Jakub Voracek R	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.06	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	55	52
Kevin Hayes R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.72	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	30	37
Travis Konecny R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.32	0	1	0	14:42	—	—	38	53
Joel Farabee L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.62	1	1	0	12:48	—	—	44	56
Nate Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:41	—	—	15	40
Michael Raffl L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	19	45
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	20	39
Tyler Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	3	0	13:28	—	—	29	24
Scott Laughton C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	4	13:01	—	—	33	47
Derek Grant C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	27	6
Ivan Provorov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	2	2	0	24:10	—	—	25	45
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.08	2	2	0	22:56	—	—	24	53
Justin Braun D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:56	—	—	24	25
Robert Hagg D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	3	2	0	17:47	—	—	39	53
Travis Sanheim D	D3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.15	0	2	2	19:37	—	—	50	51
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	14:03	—	—	45	43

PHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hart(start)	W	39	38	1	.974	3.49	59:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.