Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia FlyersMar 17, 2023

FinalFriday, Mar 17, 2023· Wells Fargo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	2	2		BUF	8	9	21	38
PHI	1	3	1	5		PHI	6	12	4	22

: BUF 69PHI 43
: BUF 2.87PHI 1.80
PP goals: BUF 2PHI 1
Hits: BUF 23PHI 27
Blocks: BUF 12PHI 17
PIM: BUF 6PHI 22
: BUF 49%PHI 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Owen Tippett (PHI) led the scoring with 3G 0A. PHI scored 5 goals on 1.80 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Owen Tippett had a hat trick (3 points) on 7 shots in 16:45.Tippett
Points
Victor Olofsson had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:43.Olofsson
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:11.Mittelstadt
Points
Kevin Hayes had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:57.Hayes
Points
Tony DeAngelo had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:14.DeAngelo
Luck
PHI scored 5 goals on 1.80 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for PHI: Laughton–Tippett–Cates skated 10:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (45% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Laughton Tippett Cates
Goalie
Carter Hart (PHI) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +8 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Hart

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PHI attacks right (top on phones) →

PHI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · PHI 43 · BUF 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PHI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PHI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 23% of the game, PHI 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PHI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PHI
	61	49
	1.93	2.04
	1.88	1.93
	7	12
	4	5
	14	11
	−0.015	+0.016
	23%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:0438% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
7:4667% CF
L3Hinostroza – Olofsson – Mittelstadt
6:1173% CF
L4Greenway – Cozens – Quinn
5:160% CF
D1Stillman – Lyubushkin
12:1967% CF
D2Bryson – Dahlin
11:0741% CF
D3Jokiharju – Power
8:5333% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:08100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Krebs – Quinn – Power
2:13100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Greenway
0:46
PK1DJokiharju – Power
0:46

Current BUF line combinations →

Philadelphia Flyers

L1van Riemsdyk – Lemieux – Frost
11:1750% CF
L2Laughton – Tippett – Cates
10:4145% CF
L3Deslauriers – Allison – Laczynski
10:1532% CF
L4Hayes – Farabee – Foerster
9:4532% CF
D1Ristolainen – Sanheim
16:5043% CF
D2Provorov – York
14:2530% CF
D3Seeler – DeAngelo
12:3041% CF

PP1DeAngelo – Tippett – Cates – York – Foerster
0:46100% CF
PK1FLaughton – Tippett
2:04
PK2FCates – Farabee
1:40
PK1DRistolainen – Provorov
1:52
PK2DSeeler – Sanheim
0:52

Current PHI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.16	1	0	0	18:10	—	—	43	29
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.22	1	1	0	17:45	—	—	37	31
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	0	0	2	16:30	—	—	46	35
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	8	0.74	0	0	2	15:03	—	—	65	85
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	3	1	0	14:24	—	—	74	86
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	2	13:30	—	—	60	82
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	2	2	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	70	52
Victor Olofsson L	L3	2	0	2	-1	4	0.28	1	1	0	15:43	—	—	61	42
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	13:59	—	—	76	58
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	2	0	0	14:54	—	—	42	45
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	3	1	0	14:50	—	—	44	51
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	1	0	14:09	—	—	44	34
Riley Stillman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:49	—	—	59	69
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	13:37	—	—	67	77
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.20	3	1	0	23:31	—	—	54	36
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.14	3	3	0	21:12	—	—	50	51
Owen Power D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	24:22	—	—	52	32
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	56	19

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	22	17	5	.773	1.80	60:00

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
James van Riemsdyk L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	56	52
Morgan Frost C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:39	—	—	53	57
Brendan Lemieux L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	4	0	0	14:31	—	—	50	48
Owen Tippett R	L2	3	0	3	+2	7	0.52	1	2	0	16:45	—	—	56	69
Scott Laughton C	L2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.06	3	0	2	16:42	—	—	48	67
Noah Cates L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.22	1	0	0	16:33	—	—	56	79
Wade Allison R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	3	1	2	14:09	—	—	35	39
Nicolas Deslauriers L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	12	12:45	—	—	36	18
Tanner Laczynski C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	12:35	—	—	35	39
Joel Farabee L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	42	54
Tyson Foerster R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.23	0	1	0	13:30	—	—	36	41
Kevin Hayes R	L4	0	2	2	+2	2	0.10	0	0	0	12:57	—	—	36	34
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	3	2	0	22:36	—	—	43	29
Travis Sanheim D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	2	0	22:33	—	—	48	53
Ivan Provorov D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	1	2	20:55	—	—	46	57
Cam York D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	18:40	—	—	33	45
Tony DeAngelo D	D3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.03	0	0	0	19:14	—	—	53	67
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	4	4	16:21	—	—	41	39

PHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hart(start)	W	38	36	2	.947	2.87	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia FlyersMar 17, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Philadelphia Flyers beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Philadelphia Flyers

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Philadelphia Flyers