Buffalo Sabres vs. New York IslandersMar 7, 2021

FinalSunday, Mar 7, 2021· Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	2	2		BUF	6	7	13	26
NYI	0	3	2	5		NYI	8	11	11	30

: BUF 46NYI 47
: BUF 2.14NYI 3.57
PP goals: BUF 0NYI 0
Hits: BUF 19NYI 18
Blocks: BUF 12NYI 9
PIM: BUF 4NYI 2
: BUF 43%NYI 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for BUF: Skinner–Lazar–Mittelstadt skated 10:34 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (59.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:37.Nelson
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Lazar–Mittelstadt skated 10:34 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (59.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Lazar Mittelstadt
Usage
Cal Clutterbuck (NYI) played 16:54, +3:32 up on his 13:22 season average over 49 games.Clutterbuck
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 10:11, −3:48 down on his 13:59 season average over 34 games.Okposo
Usage
Dylan Cozens (BUF) played 17:54, +3:38 up on his 14:16 season average over 40 games.Cozens
Usage
Michael Dal Colle (NYI) played 8:34, −3:28 down on his 12:02 season average over 25 games.Dal Colle
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 18:52, −3:28 down on his 22:20 season average over 48 games.Ristolainen
Usage
Victor Olofsson (BUF) played 13:58, −3:29 down on his 17:27 season average over 55 games.Olofsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 93 of 93 attempts · NYI 47 · BUF 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 22% of the game, NYI 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NYI
	54	53
	2.28	3.50
	2.21	3.41
	10	18
	4	6
	12	8
	−0.040	+0.041
	22%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hall – Eichel – Cozens
12:3653% CF
L2Skinner – Lazar – Mittelstadt
10:3459% CF
L3Okposo – Eakin – Rieder
8:2758% CF
L4Staal – Reinhart – Olofsson
8:1238% CF
D1Miller – Dahlin
14:3858% CF
D2Davidson – Ristolainen
14:3644% CF
D3Montour – Bryson
14:0133% CF

PP1Hall – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
1:39100% CF
PP2Staal – Miller – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Cozens
0:21
PK1FLazar – Mittelstadt
1:45
PK2FEakin – Rieder
1:15
PK1DMontour – Bryson
2:48
PK2DDavidson – Ristolainen
0:52

Current BUF line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Eberle – Lee – Barzal
12:0756% CF
L2Bailey – Nelson – Beauvillier
11:5340% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
9:1747% CF
L4Pageau – Dal Colle – Wahlstrom
7:4213% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
17:1165% CF
D2Leddy – Mayfield
15:0938% CF
D3Greene – Dobson
12:3644% CF

PP1Bailey – Leddy – Nelson – Pageau – Wahlstrom
1:50100% CF
PP2Eberle – Lee – Pulock – Barzal – Beauvillier
1:45100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
0:56
PK2FBailey – Nelson
0:44
PK1DGreene – Leddy
1:05
PK2DPelech – Pulock
0:46

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:13
NYIAnders Lee (Jordan Eberle, Noah Dobson)tip-in0.10 xG
BUF: Okposo, Eakin, Davidson, Rieder, RistolainenNYI: Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Beauvillier, Dobson
BUF 0 – 1 NYI
6:15
NYIBrock Nelson (Oliver Wahlstrom, Nick Leddy)backhand0.07 xG
BUF: Staal, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, BrysonNYI: Leddy, Nelson, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Wahlstrom
BUF 0 – 2 NYI
16:56
NYICasey Cizikas (Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Adam Pelech)wrist0.12 xG
BUF: Hall, Miller, Eichel, Dahlin, CozensNYI: Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock
BUF 0 – 3 NYI

3rd period

5:41
BUFJeff Skinner (Curtis Lazar, Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.05 xG
BUF: Skinner, Miller, Lazar, Mittelstadt, DahlinNYI: Leddy, Pageau, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Wahlstrom
BUF 1 – 3 NYI
9:35
BUFColin Miller (Jack Eichel, Taylor Hall)wrist0.02 xG
BUF: Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinNYI: Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock
BUF 2 – 3 NYI
12:57
NYICal Clutterbuck (Matt Martin)backhand0.19 xG
BUF: Skinner, Davidson, Ristolainen, Lazar, MittelstadtNYI: Greene, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson
BUF 2 – 4 NYI
17:48
NYIBrock NelsonEN (Ryan Pulock)wrist0.66 xG
BUF: Staal, Skinner, Ristolainen, Mittelstadt, Bryson, CozensNYI: Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock
BUF 2 – 5 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	19:55	—	—	56	32
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.33	0	1	0	19:49	—	—	54	34
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.24	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	54	45
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.20	1	0	0	15:03	—	—	57	50
Curtis Lazar C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	13:36	—	—	54	46
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:29	—	—	59	51
Tobias Rieder L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	11:44	—	—	53	46
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	2	11:13	—	—	56	45
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	0	0	10:11	—	—	54	37
Sam Reinhart C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	16:45	—	—	40	22
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:15	—	—	38	34
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	13:58	—	—	38	30
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	2	20:37	—	—	59	54
Colin Miller D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	3	0	0	19:12	—	—	57	48
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.04	5	0	0	18:52	—	—	50	28
Brandon Davidson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:24	—	—	52	27
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	3	0	22:29	—	—	43	38
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:16	—	—	44	30

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	2.92	59:45

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.44	0	0	0	17:09	—	—	59	68
Anders Lee L	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.11	2	0	0	17:02	—	—	53	62
Jordan Eberle R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.23	0	1	0	15:46	—	—	63	71
Brock Nelson C	L2	2	0	2	+2	4	0.91	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	41	60
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.37	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	46	63
Josh Bailey R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	16:43	—	—	40	59
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.55	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	52	84
Casey Cizikas C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	1	2	0	15:39	—	—	57	84
Matt Martin L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	3	0	0	10:52	—	—	50	85
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.17	1	0	0	16:56	—	—	41	35
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.10	1	1	0	10:56	—	—	27	21
Michael Dal Colle L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:34	—	—	30	20
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.16	4	0	0	23:30	—	—	59	83
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	19:47	—	—	65	88
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	38	49
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	17:58	—	—	40	50
Andy Greene D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	46	50
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	0	2	0	15:21	—	—	48	54

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	2.14	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.