Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsOct 3, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 3, 2019· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	2	0	3		BUF	17	13	11	41
PIT	0	1	0	1		PIT	13	5	11	29

: BUF 66PIT 59
: BUF 3.45PIT 1.86
PP goals: BUF 1PIT 1
Hits: BUF 35PIT 42
Blocks: BUF 19PIT 18
PIM: BUF 10PIT 4
: BUF 51%PIT 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3–1 at PIT. Conor Sheary (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:19 together.

Points
Conor Sheary had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 9:19.Sheary
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 9:25.Mittelstadt
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:19 together.Malkin Crosby Letang Hornqvist Guentzel
Goalie
Matt Murray (PIT) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +13 against a season average of 27.8; the loss.Murray
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 25:11, +6:45 up on his 18:26 season average over 65 games.McCabe
Usage
Conor Sheary (BUF) played 9:19, −3:51 down on his 13:10 season average over 62 games.Sheary
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 9:25, −3:27 down on his 12:52 season average over 30 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 15:45, −3:36 down on his 19:21 season average over 58 games.Dahlin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · PIT 59 · BUF 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 43% of the game, PIT 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PIT
	65	48
	2.71	1.08
	2.63	1.07
	12	5
	7	2
	19	13
	+0.002	−0.002
	43%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:5655% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
12:0147% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
8:0068% CF
L4Vesey – Sheary – Mittelstadt
7:0344% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
17:2053% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
13:4367% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
12:0350% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:01100% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
1:3275% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:36
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
1:00
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
3:49
PK2DScandella – Jokiharju
2:18

Current BUF line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Hornqvist – Guentzel
12:5743% CF
L2Malkin – Galchenyuk – Tanev
10:4739% CF
L3Bjugstad – McCann – Kahun
9:2841% CF
L4Blueger – Simon – Aston-Reese
8:1940% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
16:5850% CF
D2Gudbranson – Pettersson
11:5342% CF
D3Johnson – Schultz
11:2331% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Guentzel
4:1975% CF
PP2Schultz – Bjugstad – Galchenyuk – McCann – Pettersson
2:01100% CF
PK1FBlueger – Aston-Reese
1:28
PK2FBjugstad – Tanev
1:04
PK1DJohnson – Letang
1:11
PK2DGudbranson – Pettersson
0:23

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:23
BUFConor Sheary (Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.08 xG
BUF: Miller, Vesey, Sheary, Mittelstadt, DahlinPIT: Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Guentzel
BUF 1 – 0 PIT

2nd period

5:50
PITEvgeni MalkinPP (Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby)snap0.09 xG
BUF: Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, RistolainenPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Guentzel
BUF 1 – 1 PIT
14:03
BUFConor ShearyPP (Casey Mittelstadt, Colin Miller)wrist0.03 xG
BUF: Johansson, Miller, Ristolainen, Sheary, MittelstadtPIT: Gudbranson, Blueger, Pettersson, Aston-Reese
BUF 2 – 1 PIT
19:16
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Sam Reinhart, Victor Olofsson)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, DahlinPIT: Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Simon, Aston-Reese
BUF 3 – 1 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.26	2	0	0	21:18	—	—	56	76
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	4	1	0	19:37	—	—	56	80
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.45	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	55	82
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	1	1	0	16:41	—	—	57	65
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	6	0	2	16:14	—	—	50	34
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:19	—	—	54	62
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	14:01	—	—	70	86
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	2	0	2	12:56	—	—	65	78
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.58	3	1	0	8:40	—	—	73	90
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.57	2	1	0	12:39	—	—	55	58
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	2	2	+1	2	0.14	0	0	2	9:25	—	—	50	53
Conor Sheary L	L4	2	0	2	+1	3	0.11	1	1	0	9:19	—	—	50	53
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	4	0	25:11	—	—	55	87
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.07	5	2	2	23:53	—	—	54	83
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	3	0	21:33	—	—	70	67
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:51	—	—	66	67
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.27	1	0	0	15:45	—	—	50	60
Colin Miller D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.10	3	2	2	15:01	—	—	50	60

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	1.86	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	1	1	0	21:01	—	—	44	16
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:15	—	—	45	10
Patric Hornqvist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	4	0	0	19:56	—	—	48	14
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.46	0	0	0	20:20	—	—	42	31
Alex Galchenyuk C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	15:22	—	—	42	36
Brandon Tanev L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	5	3	0	13:31	—	—	37	31
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	15:01	—	—	44	15
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	3	0	0	14:01	—	—	42	34
Dominik Kahun C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:49	—	—	41	13
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	5	1	0	11:34	—	—	44	53
Dominik Simon C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	3	0	0	10:47	—	—	41	52
Teddy Blueger C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:19	—	—	40	54
Kris Letang D	D1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.09	1	3	0	27:45	—	—	53	24
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	4	3	2	19:27	—	—	47	22
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	2	19:19	—	—	45	43
Erik Gudbranson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:03	—	—	45	55
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	0	6	0.12	0	1	0	20:05	—	—	32	18
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	3	0	14:06	—	—	33	15

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	41	38	3	.927	3.03	57:45

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.