Buffalo Sabres vs. New York RangersMar 22, 2021

FinalMonday, Mar 22, 2021· Madison Square Garden

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	2	3		BUF	5	8	6	19
NYR	0	3	2	5		NYR	10	17	13	40

: BUF 42NYR 71
: BUF 1.69NYR 5.52
PP goals: BUF 0NYR 2
Hits: BUF 15NYR 18
Blocks: BUF 18NYR 15
PIM: BUF 8NYR 6
: BUF 56%NYR 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Rangers beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3

New York Rangers beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3 at home. Adam Fox (NYR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. NYR's first power-play unit (Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin and Fox) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 2:47 together.

Points
Adam Fox had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 24:14.Fox
Points
Artemi Panarin had 3 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 20:26.Panarin
Points
Chris Kreider had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:39.Kreider
Points
Kaapo Kakko had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 14:49.Kakko
Points
Ryan Strome had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:59.Strome
PP1
NYR's first power-play unit (Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin and Fox) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 2:47 together.Kreider Strome Zibanejad Panarin Fox
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), +3 against a season average of 34.4; the loss.Tokarski
Usage
Victor Olofsson (BUF) played 11:44, −5:46 down on his 17:30 season average over 55 games.Olofsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NYR attacks right (top on phones) →

NYR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NYR 71 · BUF 42

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 21% of the game, NYR 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NYR
	43	62
	1.79	3.09
	1.78	2.79
	10	12
	7	2
	17	12
	+0.015	−0.014
	21%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hall – Reinhart – Cozens
15:3620% CF
L2Skinner – Lazar – Mittelstadt
10:2935% CF
L3Staal – Olofsson – Thompson
7:5670% CF
L4Eakin – Sheahan – Asplund
6:2520% CF
D1Ristolainen – Bryson
17:5435% CF
D2Montour – Jokiharju
16:3245% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
12:1940% CF

PP1Hall – Lazar – Reinhart – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
1:30100% CF
PP2Skinner – Miller – Ristolainen – Bryson – Cozens
0:210% CF
PK1FSheahan – Lazar
1:41
PK1DRistolainen – Bryson
2:31

Current BUF line combinations →

New York Rangers

L1Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich
13:1373% CF
L2Blackwell – Strome – Panarin
6:0473% CF
L3Lemieux – Rooney – Gauthier
5:2050% CF
L4Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière
5:0960% CF
D1Trouba – Miller
17:3158% CF
D2Fox – Lindgren
17:1576% CF
D3Smith – Hajek
9:4050% CF

PP1Kreider – Strome – Zibanejad – Panarin – Fox
2:47100% CF
PK1FZibanejad – Buchnevich
1:12
PK2FBlackwell – Rooney
0:44
PK1DFox – Lindgren
1:31
PK2DSmith – Miller
0:28

Current NYR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:52
BUFRasmus Asplund (Riley Sheahan, Victor Olofsson)wrist0.22 xG
BUF: Sheahan, Miller, Olofsson, Asplund, DahlinNYR: Trouba, Lemieux, Rooney, Gauthier, Miller
BUF 1 – 0 NYR
7:13
NYRKaapo Kakko (Artemi Panarin)wrist0.08 xG
BUF: Eakin, Sheahan, Ristolainen, Asplund, BrysonNYR: Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kakko
BUF 1 – 1 NYR
10:39
NYRChris KreiderPP (Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox)tip-in0.12 xG
BUF: Eakin, Montour, JokiharjuNYR: Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox
BUF 1 – 2 NYR
18:18
NYRAdam Fox (Mika Zibanejad, Pavel Buchnevich)wrist0.05 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Mittelstadt, BrysonNYR: Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren
BUF 1 – 3 NYR

3rd period

1:09
BUFDylan Cozens (Sam Reinhart)snap0.09 xG
BUF: Hall, Reinhart, Montour, Jokiharju, CozensNYR: Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lindgren, Miller
BUF 2 – 3 NYR
4:22
BUFJeff Skinner (Brandon Montour)wrist0.09 xG
BUF: Skinner, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt, JokiharjuNYR: Smith, Lemieux, Rooney, Gauthier, Hajek
BUF 3 – 3 NYR
5:47
NYRChris KreiderPP (Ryan Strome, Adam Fox)slap0.37 xG
BUF: Eakin, Ristolainen, Lazar, BrysonNYR: Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox
BUF 3 – 4 NYR
19:02
NYRKaapo KakkoEN (Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome)wrist0.77 xG
BUF: Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, DahlinNYR: Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko
BUF 3 – 5 NYR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	21:10	—	—	28	18
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	20:48	—	—	27	16
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	19:12	—	—	18	15
Curtis Lazar C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	0	2	0	18:29	—	—	36	37
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	0	1	0	6	0.34	1	1	0	16:55	—	—	44	43
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	15:46	—	—	43	41
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	13:48	—	—	76	50
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.18	0	0	0	11:44	—	—	61	62
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	2	10:25	—	—	73	59
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:51	—	—	28	29
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.22	0	0	0	9:24	—	—	41	33
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:06	—	—	18	2
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	2	3	0	24:44	—	—	39	32
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	1	2	2	20:46	—	—	35	31
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	2	3	0	21:40	—	—	43	34
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:16	—	—	45	42
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	3	1	2	18:57	—	—	42	52
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:21	—	—	44	59

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski	L	37	33	4	.892	4.56	56:23
Carter Hutton(start)	—	2	2	0	.1000	0.19	2:53

New York Rangers

NYR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mika Zibanejad C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.58	1	0	0	21:33	—	—	67	71
Pavel Buchnevich L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	1	1	2	19:45	—	—	64	69
Chris Kreider L	L1	2	0	2	0	4	1.27	1	0	0	18:39	—	—	68	65
Artemi Panarin L	L2	0	3	3	+2	6	0.79	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	66	78
Ryan Strome C	L2	0	2	2	+2	6	0.82	0	0	0	19:59	—	—	69	78
Colin Blackwell C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	12:57	—	—	60	69
Kevin Rooney C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	2	1	0	9:12	—	—	36	25
Julien Gauthier R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	7:04	—	—	46	28
Brendan Lemieux L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	2	0	2	6:44	—	—	44	31
Kaapo Kakko R	L4	2	0	2	+2	6	1.11	0	0	0	14:49	—	—	68	83
Alexis Lafrenière L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	44	45
Filip Chytil C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	1	0	13:25	—	—	43	48
K'Andre Miller D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	5	0	23:33	—	—	53	45
Jacob Trouba D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	2	2	2	21:59	—	—	61	59
Adam Fox D	D2	1	2	3	+2	2	0.08	1	2	0	24:14	—	—	73	86
Ryan Lindgren D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	4	1	0	22:14	—	—	75	82
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	46	43
Libor Hajek D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	2	0	12:39	—	—	48	51

NYR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Keith Kinkaid(start)	W	19	16	3	.842	1.69	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.