Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia FlyersOct 17, 2026

Time TBDSaturday, Oct 17, 2026

away

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

at

home

Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: PHI +2.3 pts

OTTaway−2.3 pts

1 day rest · 603 km travel

Backup likely (56%) −2.3 pts

PHIhome+2.4 pts

1 day rest · 714 km travel

OTT backup likely (56%) +2.4 pts

PHI has the schedule edge (+2.3 pts net win probability): ott backup likely (56%), backup likely (56%).

· Every game this week →

Ottawa Senators

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Linus Ullmark44%
Samuel Ersson30%
Jonas Johansson26%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 2–4 vs CAR · Apr 25

L1Tkachuk – Cozens – Greig
7:23
L2Giroux – Amadio – Pinto
5:40
L3Foegele – Batherson – Stützle
4:26
L4Eller – Cousins – Zetterlund
3:33
D1Kleven – Matinpalo
9:23
D2Chabot – Yakemchuk
7:14
D3Gilbert – Spence
4:36
PP1Batherson – Tkachuk – Pinto – Stützle – Yakemchuk
7:41

Projected OTT lines →·OTT goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Philadelphia Flyers

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Dan Vladar64%
Joseph Woll36%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: OTL 2–3 at NJD · Oct 1

L1Cates – Foerster – Michkov
7:52
L2Dvorak – Konecny – Martone
6:37
L3Couturier – Acciari – Grundstrom
6:22
L4Tippett – Zegras – Bump
4:41
D1Ristolainen – Sanheim
16:46
D2York – Drysdale
15:51
D3Seeler – Benoit
9:54
PP1Zegras – Drysdale – Foerster – Michkov – Martone
1:00

Projected PHI lines →·PHI goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Oct 17.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.