Ottawa Senators vs. New York IslandersFeb 14, 2023

Final / SOTuesday, Feb 14, 2023· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	0	1	1	0	1	3		OTT	10	18	6	0	34
NYI	0	1	1	0	0	2		NYI	10	18	15	5	48

: OTT 62NYI 89
: OTT 2.82NYI 4.40
PP goals: OTT 1NYI 1
Hits: OTT 25NYI 21
Blocks: OTT 21NYI 18
PIM: OTT 10NYI 6
: OTT 52%NYI 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge New York Islanders 3–2 (SO)

Ottawa Senators beat New York Islanders 3–2 in a shootout at NYI. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Kevin Mandolese (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +8 against a season average of 39.7; the win.

Points
Brady Tkachuk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 9 shots in 20:38.Tkachuk
Points
Tim Stützle had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:47.Stützle
Goalie
Kevin Mandolese (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +8 against a season average of 39.7; the win.Mandolese
PP1
NYI's first power-play unit (Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal and Dobson) scored 1 power-play goal on 19 attempts in 5:52 together.Lee Nelson Horvat Barzal Dobson
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 3:18 together.Chabot DeBrincat Batherson Tkachuk Stützle
New line
New look for NYI: Parise–Horvat–Barzal skated 8:43 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Parise Horvat Barzal
Usage
Mathew Barzal (NYI) played 25:44, +7:08 up on his 18:36 season average over 57 games.Barzal
Luck
NYI scored 2 goals on 4.40 expected goals (89 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 151 of 151 attempts · NYI 89 · OTT 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 16% of the game, NYI 52%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	NYI
	58	71
	2.08	2.92
	2.04	2.84
	18	16
	7	1
	11	13
	+0.025	−0.025
	16%	52%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Joseph – Tkachuk – Stützle
10:0545% CF
L2Giroux – DeBrincat – Greig
8:0450% CF
L3Motte – Batherson – Pinto
7:2527% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
3:3550% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
12:4132% CF
D2Brannstrom – Zub
9:2439% CF
D3Hamonic – Larsson
9:1750% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:18100% CF
PP2Giroux – Motte – Brannstrom – Pinto – Greig
0:51
PK1FWatson – Kelly
2:57
PK2FJoseph – Gambrell
1:10
PK1DZaitsev – Brannstrom
2:09
PK2DHamonic – Zub
1:32

Current OTT line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Lee – Nelson
11:1569% CF
L2Parise – Horvat – Barzal
8:4356% CF
L3Martin – Cizikas – Fasching
3:3658% CF
L4Bailey – Koivula – Holmstrom
0:430% CF
D1Aho – Dobson
13:4367% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
13:0759% CF
D3Mayfield – Romanov
12:4124% CF

PP1Lee – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
5:5295% CF
PP2Parise – Bailey – Palmieri – Koivula – Aho
2:3867% CF
PK1FBailey – Cizikas
1:45
PK2FParise – Horvat
1:11
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
2:19
PK2DDobson – Romanov
0:39

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:47
NYIRyan Pulock (Matt Martin, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.05 xG
OTT: Zaitsev, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, StützleNYI: Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Pulock
OTT 0 – 1 NYI
17:32
OTTTim Stützle (Brady Tkachuk, Travis Hamonic)wrist0.13 xG
OTT: Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, ZubNYI: Martin, Palmieri, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock
OTT 1 – 1 NYI

3rd period

3:41
OTTBrady TkachukPP (Tim Stützle, Thomas Chabot)tip-in0.06 xG
OTT: Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, StützleNYI: Parise, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat
OTT 2 – 1 NYI
7:13
NYIBrock NelsonPP (Noah Dobson, Mathew Barzal)slap0.07 xG
OTT: Hamonic, Watson, Larsson, KellyNYI: Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson
OTT 2 – 2 NYI

Decided in the shootout: OTT 3 – 2 NYI.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.43	0	0	2	23:47	—	—	47	42
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	1	2	0	9	1.13	2	0	2	20:38	—	—	50	48
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	16:21	—	—	43	31
Claude Giroux R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	1	0	19:34	—	—	50	56
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	3	1	2	17:56	—	—	39	45
Ridly Greig C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	2	0	0	11:32	—	—	53	66
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	2	1	0	18:59	—	—	39	46
Shane Pinto C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	38	38
Tyler Motte C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	5	0	12:16	—	—	41	34
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	10:05	—	—	50	30
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	9:43	—	—	60	28
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	2	8:36	—	—	42	24
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	1	0	0	25:58	—	—	44	39
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	21:01	—	—	28	23
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	3	2	22:37	—	—	41	32
Artem Zub D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	17:59	—	—	52	52
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	2	2	0	23:59	—	—	53	48
Jacob Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	11:56	—	—	56	56

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kevin Mandolese(start)	W	48	46	2	.958	4.40	65:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.63	1	0	0	22:27	—	—	68	80
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	0	0	20:04	—	—	69	86
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.43	1	0	2	17:35	—	—	69	73
Bo Horvat C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	2	0	27:43	—	—	51	51
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	1	1	0	7	0.99	1	2	0	25:44	—	—	58	60
Zach Parise L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	3	0	0	19:10	—	—	52	59
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	1	0	15:59	—	—	45	37
Matt Martin L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:18	—	—	48	45
Hudson Fasching R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	0	1	0	7:31	—	—	50	56
Josh Bailey R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	41	17
Simon Holmstrom R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:00	—	—	41	58
Otto Koivula L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	6:36	—	—	44	62
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	1	1	0	8	0.56	0	3	0	25:57	—	—	70	88
Sebastian Aho D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	2	0	19:19	—	—	69	88
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	2	5	0	20:53	—	—	53	53
Ryan Pulock D	D2	1	0	1	0	5	0.34	1	0	0	19:30	—	—	61	58
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	17:08	—	—	19	13
Alexander Romanov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	2	14:57	—	—	33	36

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	O	34	32	2	.941	2.82	64:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.