San Jose Sharks at Ottawa SenatorsOct 22, 2026

Time TBDThursday, Oct 22, 2026

away

San Jose SharksSJS

at

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: SJS +12.4 pts

SJSaway+12.4 pts

1 day rest · 185 km travel

OTT on a B2B +9.3 pts
OTT backup likely (73%) +3.1 pts

OTThome−12.3 pts

Back-to-back

B2B vs rested SJS −9.3 pts
Backup likely (73%) −3.0 pts

SJS has the schedule edge (+12.4 pts net win probability): ott on a b2b, ott backup likely (73%), b2b vs rested sjs, backup likely (73%).

· Every game this week →

San Jose Sharks

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Yaroslav Askarov68%
Alex Nedeljkovic18%
Eric Comrie15%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 4–3 vs FLA · Oct 1

L1Marchment – Smith – Celebrini
10:34
L2Wennberg – Graf – Stenberg
10:13
L3Toffoli – Chernyshov – Misa
7:17
L4Goodrow – Sherwood – Ostapchuk
6:43
D1Orlov – Cagnoni
13:38
D2Nurse – Kesselring
12:18
D3Trouba – Allan
12:06
PP1Wennberg – Cagnoni – Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov
3:37

Projected SJS lines →·SJS goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Ottawa Senators

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Samuel Ersson37%
Jonas Johansson36%
Linus Ullmark27%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 2–4 vs CAR · Apr 25

L1Tkachuk – Cozens – Greig
7:23
L2Giroux – Amadio – Pinto
5:40
L3Foegele – Batherson – Stützle
4:26
L4Eller – Cousins – Zetterlund
3:33
D1Kleven – Matinpalo
9:23
D2Chabot – Yakemchuk
7:14
D3Gilbert – Spence
4:36
PP1Batherson – Tkachuk – Pinto – Stützle – Yakemchuk
7:41

Projected OTT lines →·OTT goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Oct 22.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.