Dallas Stars vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 10, 2024

FinalThursday, Oct 10, 2024· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DAL	0	4	0	4		DAL	4	7	9	20
NSH	0	1	2	3		NSH	8	13	15	36

: DAL 47NSH 71
: DAL 1.83NSH 4.12
PP goals: DAL 1NSH 1
Hits: DAL 11NSH 21
Blocks: DAL 13NSH 16
PIM: DAL 10NSH 6
: DAL 34%NSH 66%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Dallas Stars beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at NSH. Logan Stankoven (DAL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. NSH's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 7:06 together.

Points
Logan Stankoven had 3 assists (3 points) in 12:29.Stankoven
Points
Mason Marchment had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:09.Marchment
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:34.Forsberg
Points
Roope Hintz had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:06.Hintz
Points
Jonathan Marchessault had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 22:18.Marchessault
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 7:06 together.Stamkos Josi O'Reilly Marchessault Forsberg
Luck
DAL scored 4 goals on 1.83 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Dante Fabbro (NSH) played 12:50, −8:11 down on his 21:01 season average over 67 games.Fabbro

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DAL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
DAL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · NSH 71 · DAL 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
DAL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
DAL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DAL 14% of the game, NSH 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

DAL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DAL	NSH
	41	44
	1.66	2.24
	1.65	2.19
	7	7
	4	6
	26	26
	−0.076	+0.076
	14%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Dallas Stars

L1Benn – Dadonov – Johnston
8:5742% CF
L2Duchene – Seguin – Marchment
8:3867% CF
L3Hintz – Robertson – Stankoven
6:5333% CF
L4Blackwell – Steel – Bäck
5:520% CF
D1Dumba – Heiskanen
10:5428% CF
D2Lyubushkin – Harley
8:2043% CF
D3Lindell – Lundkvist
7:1144% CF

PP1Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen – Johnston
3:1375% CF
PP2Duchene – Seguin – Marchment – Harley – Stankoven
1:41100% CF
PK1FBenn – Johnston
2:54
PK2FBlackwell – Steel
2:19
PK1DLindell – Lyubushkin
6:01
PK2DDumba – Harley
1:30

Current DAL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
6:3875% CF
L2Jankowski – McCarron – Smith
5:4642% CF
L3Stamkos – Marchessault – Novak
5:0550% CF
L4Sissons – Tomasino – Evangelista
2:50100% CF
D1Lauzon – Carrier
9:5569% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
9:3763% CF
D3Schenn – Skjei
7:3242% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
7:0694% CF
PP2Nyquist – Skjei – Novak – Tomasino – Evangelista
1:42100% CF
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
2:28
PK2FJankowski – Sissons
1:52
PK1DLauzon – Carrier
2:04
PK2DSchenn – Skjei
1:56

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:05
DALRoope Hintz (Logan Stankoven, Wyatt Johnston)wrist0.09 xG
DAL: Dumba, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, StankovenNSH: Nyquist, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Carrier
DAL 1 – 0 NSH
2:24
DALJason Robertson (Roope Hintz, Logan Stankoven)snap0.12 xG
DAL: Dumba, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, StankovenNSH: Jankowski, McCarron, Lauzon, Carrier, Smith
DAL 2 – 0 NSH
3:30
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Jonathan Marchessault, Roman Josi)snap0.17 xG
DAL: Blackwell, Lindell, Bäck, LyubushkinNSH: Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg
DAL 2 – 1 NSH
8:03
DALMason MarchmentPP (Matt Duchene, Logan Stankoven)wrist0.14 xG
DAL: Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Harley, StankovenNSH: Schenn, Skjei, McCarron, Smith
DAL 3 – 1 NSH
18:15
DALMason Marchment (Tyler Seguin, Thomas Harley)wrist0.03 xG
DAL: Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Harley, JohnstonNSH: Stamkos, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Skjei
DAL 4 – 1 NSH

3rd period

4:37
NSHTommy Novak (Luke Evangelista, Filip Forsberg)backhand0.20 xG
DAL: Benn, Dadonov, Steel, Lyubushkin, HarleyNSH: Novak, Lauzon, Carrier, Tomasino, Evangelista
DAL 4 – 2 NSH
18:25
NSHRyan O'Reilly (Jonathan Marchessault)wrist0.10 xG
DAL: Benn, Dadonov, Duchene, Lindell, LyubushkinNSH: Stamkos, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg
DAL 4 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Wyatt Johnston C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.24	0	1	0	21:09	—	—	58	64
Jamie Benn L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	46	38
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	1	0	0	13:07	—	—	50	45
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.34	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	53	54
Tyler Seguin C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:30	—	—	61	57
Mason Marchment L	L2	2	0	2	+1	3	0.46	0	0	2	14:09	—	—	73	59
Jason Robertson L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.12	3	0	0	16:45	—	—	29	40
Roope Hintz C	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.16	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	28	26
Logan Stankoven C	L3	0	3	3	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:29	—	—	33	29
Sam Steel C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:35	—	—	33	13
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	25	3
Oskar Bäck C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:04	—	—	67	25
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	2	1	0	23:31	—	—	47	55
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	4	18:28	—	—	30	46
Thomas Harley D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.11	0	2	0	19:23	—	—	52	44
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.17	1	1	0	19:14	—	—	52	46
Esa Lindell D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	5	0	21:45	—	—	44	22
Nils Lundkvist D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:23	—	—	60	27

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	36	33	3	.917	4.12	59:19

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.19	0	1	0	22:14	—	—	50	44
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	0	4	0.39	5	2	0	20:34	—	—	50	46
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	1	0	0	16:08	—	—	53	65
Michael McCarron C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	11:38	—	—	56	22
Cole Smith R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:59	—	—	56	31
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:28	—	—	50	30
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.53	2	0	2	23:01	—	—	46	64
Jonathan Marchessault R	L3	0	2	2	+1	6	0.54	0	0	2	22:18	—	—	56	62
Tommy Novak C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.49	0	0	0	13:09	—	—	25	46
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	0	4	0	12:41	—	—	76	80
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.29	1	0	0	12:22	—	—	57	67
Luke Evangelista R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	12:22	—	—	47	61
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	18:44	—	—	50	43
Jeremy Lauzon D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	4	0	0	16:27	—	—	72	72
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.64	0	2	0	29:07	—	—	53	59
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	12:50	—	—	64	74
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.14	1	2	0	19:00	—	—	37	36
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	1	0	11:45	—	—	39	41

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Wedgewood(start)	L	20	16	4	.800	1.83	57:04

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Roope Hintz (DAL) 2nd 2:05 · assists Logan Stankoven, Wyatt Johnston · Cycle · loose puck · 1-on-0 at the blue line · 62.8 mph shot · 6.7 s from entry to goal.

Roope Hintz · 2nd 2:05 · DAL

Play: cycle
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 62.8 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Entry to goal: 6.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jason Robertson · 2nd 2:24 · DAL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 54.4 mph
Distance: 31 ft
Entry to goal: 3.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Filip Forsberg · 2nd 3:30 · NSH PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 55.4 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mason Marchment · 2nd 8:03 · DAL PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 43.7 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 4.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mason Marchment · 2nd 18:15 · DAL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 65.7 mph
Distance: 35 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tommy Novak · 3rd 4:37 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 2
Shot: 32.3 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 18:25 · NSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 50.5 mph
Distance: 20 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.