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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Matthew Schaefer

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Ascension score 65, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Power-play share 70.2%, Power-play time per game 3:14, Shots on goal 222.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.300.53
Assists (+1)0.260.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.05
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierSchaefer
1Team record in 2 meetings1
1Points in those games3

Carrier 0G 1A, 0 SOG · Schaefer 3G 0A, 6 SOG

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

12:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
12–19
38.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.8
26.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreCarrierSchaefer
2026-03-21MTL 7–3 NYI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2026-02-26MTL 3–4 NYI0G 0A 0S2G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Schaefer done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 1–1. Carrier had 1 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 3 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →