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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.6%, Offensive-zone start % 60.1%, Luck Meter +55.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Transition attempts /60 0.40, Blocked shots 146.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardRoy
Goals (+2)0.920.05
Assists (+1)1.030.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.11
Hits (+0.1)0.040.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.631.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardRoy
20Team record in 33 meetings13
42Points in those games11

Bouchard 9G 33A, 85 SOG · Roy 2G 9A, 42 SOG

1Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other8

Bouchard blocked 2 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 8 of Bouchard's.

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

14:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
14–14
50.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
51.0%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Matt Roy
DateScoreBouchardRoy
2026-01-24EDM 6–5 WSH3G 3A 8S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-19EDM 4–7 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-02-23EDM 3–7 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-21EDM 2–3 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-05-01 · POEDM 4–3 LAK0G 3A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-04-28 · POEDM 1–0 LAK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-26 · POEDM 6–1 LAK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-24 · POEDM 4–5 LAK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-22 · POEDM 7–4 LAK0G 4A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-28EDM 4–1 LAK1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-26EDM 4–2 LAK1G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-10EDM 0–4 LAK0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 33 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Roy done against each other?
In 33 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 20–13. Bouchard had 42 points (9 goals) and Roy had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →