Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsOct 15, 2022

FinalSaturday, Oct 15, 2022· American Airlines Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

1

@

home

Dallas StarsDAL

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	0	1		NSH	13	12	5	30
DAL	1	2	2	5		DAL	10	6	6	22

: NSH 72DAL 52
: NSH 2.84DAL 3.94
PP goals: NSH 1DAL 0
Hits: NSH 17DAL 13
Blocks: NSH 18DAL 14
PIM: NSH 16DAL 10
: NSH 47%DAL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars rout Nashville Predators 5–1

Dallas Stars beat Nashville Predators 5–1 at home. Roope Hintz (DAL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for NSH: Sanford–Glass–Smith skated 5:30 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Roope Hintz had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:09.Hintz
Points
Jason Robertson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 14:50.Robertson
Points
Miro Heiskanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:21.Heiskanen
Points
Joe Pavelski had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:28.Pavelski
New line
New look for NSH: Sanford–Glass–Smith skated 5:30 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sanford Glass Smith
Luck
NSH scored 1 goal on 2.84 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jason Robertson (DAL) played 14:50, −4:03 down on his 18:53 season average over 81 games.Robertson
Usage
Joe Pavelski (DAL) played 14:28, −3:18 down on his 17:46 season average over 81 games.Pavelski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · DAL 52 · NSH 72

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 32% of the game, DAL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	66	47
	2.13	2.25
	2.05	2.21
	10	7
	2	8
	20	19
	−0.023	+0.023
	32%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
7:4353% CF
L2Johansen – Niederreiter – Tolvanen
7:0444% CF
L3Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
6:5960% CF
L4Sanford – Glass – Smith
5:3046% CF
D1Josi – Fabbro
11:4054% CF
D2McDonagh – Ekholm
8:0560% CF
D3Lauzon – Carrier
5:2138% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
3:4175% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Carrier – Jeannot – Glass – Tolvanen
2:19100% CF
PK1FSissons – Trenin
0:46
PK2FTolvanen – Smith
0:45
PK1DMcDonagh – Ekholm
1:52
PK2DLauzon – Fabbro
1:28

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Benn – Gurianov – Johnston
8:3538% CF
L2Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson
8:2256% CF
L3Seguin – Marchment – Dellandrea
8:0856% CF
L4Glendening – Faksa – Kiviranta
7:4725% CF
D1Miller – Heiskanen
11:5144% CF
D2Suter – Hakanpää
8:2242% CF
D3Lindell – Lundkvist
7:2350% CF

PP1Suter – Seguin – Marchment – Lundkvist – Johnston
2:11100% CF
PP2Pavelski – Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
1:29100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Dellandrea
1:32
PK2FBenn – Seguin
1:11
PK1DSuter – Hakanpää
1:44
PK2DMiller – Heiskanen
1:21

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:46
DALRoope HintzSH (Miro Heiskanen)snap0.12 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, ForsbergDAL: Lindell, Hintz, Heiskanen, Dellandrea
NSH 0 – 1 DAL

2nd period

0:39
DALRoope Hintz (Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, JeannotDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Miller, Hintz, Robertson
NSH 0 – 2 DAL
7:48
DALMiro Heiskanen (Jason Robertson)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Granlund, Lauzon, TolvanenDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Robertson, Heiskanen
NSH 0 – 3 DAL
18:20
NSHNino NiederreiterPP (Mikael Granlund, Ryan Johansen)tip-in0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, ForsbergDAL: Suter, Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell
NSH 1 – 3 DAL

3rd period

3:13
DALJason Robertson (Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski)snap0.23 xG
NSH: Josi, Ekholm, Granlund, Niederreiter, ForsbergDAL: Suter, Pavelski, Hakanpää, Hintz, Robertson
NSH 1 – 4 DAL
18:47
DALMason MarchmentENwrist0.30 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, ForsbergDAL: Seguin, Miller, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea
NSH 1 – 5 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	-4	1	0.08	0	0	0	20:10	—	—	57	48
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.15	4	0	0	19:55	—	—	52	43
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.35	0	2	12	16:37	—	—	54	47
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.22	2	0	0	18:11	—	—	48	31
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.17	4	0	0	18:01	—	—	58	45
Eeli Tolvanen R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	5	0	14:30	—	—	43	27
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	3	0	0	17:13	—	—	71	61
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	74	57
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	0	13:35	—	—	70	57
Cody Glass C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	1	2	12:23	—	—	50	41
Cole Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	10:46	—	—	63	57
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	9:28	—	—	56	56
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.52	0	3	0	25:37	—	—	58	54
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	2	2	16:53	—	—	62	64
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	0	2	0	18:16	—	—	61	45
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	62	41
Alexandre Carrier D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	17:49	—	—	55	56
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:18	—	—	56	47

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	21	17	4	.810	3.09	56:55

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Wyatt Johnston C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.41	1	1	0	14:41	—	—	41	66
Denis Gurianov R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	40	51
Jamie Benn L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.41	0	0	0	13:57	—	—	37	54
Jason Robertson L	L2	1	2	3	+3	4	0.68	1	0	0	14:50	—	—	52	74
Joe Pavelski C	L2	0	2	2	+3	1	0.20	0	1	0	14:28	—	—	48	74
Roope Hintz C	L2	2	1	3	+3	2	0.26	1	1	0	14:09	—	—	53	78
Mason Marchment L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.76	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	50	49
Tyler Seguin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.39	2	0	0	15:31	—	—	46	45
Ty Dellandrea C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	1	0	2	13:19	—	—	48	37
Radek Faksa C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	14:52	—	—	26	8
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:58	—	—	25	5
Joel Kiviranta L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:34	—	—	25	4
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.17	0	4	0	23:21	—	—	47	51
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.55	2	0	2	17:55	—	—	44	64
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	0	2	21:56	—	—	36	47
Jani Hakanpää D	D2	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	3	2	0	18:31	—	—	36	49
Esa Lindell D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	2	20:49	—	—	37	53
Nils Lundkvist D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	16:39	—	—	48	46

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.84	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.