Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia FlyersNov 1, 2023

FinalWednesday, Nov 1, 2023· Wells Fargo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	0	3	5		BUF	7	4	4	15
PHI	2	0	0	2		PHI	10	10	20	40

: BUF 37PHI 75
: BUF 2.57PHI 2.97
PP goals: BUF 0PHI 0
Hits: BUF 18PHI 33
Blocks: BUF 18PHI 12
PIM: BUF 6PHI 4
: BUF 46%PHI 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Philadelphia Flyers 5–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Philadelphia Flyers 5–2 at PHI. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +13 against a season average of 27.2; the win.

Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:59.Thompson
Points
Brandon Biro had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 10:39.Biro
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:12.Mittelstadt
Points
Alex Tuch had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:50.Tuch
Points
Travis Sanheim had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:35.Sanheim
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +13 against a season average of 27.2; the win.Luukkonen
Luck
BUF scored 5 goals on 2.57 expected goals (37 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Thompson–Biro skated 4:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Thompson Biro

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PHI attacks right (top on phones) →

PHI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · PHI 75 · BUF 37

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PHI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PHI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 19% of the game, PHI 52%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PHI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PHI
	40	72
	1.86	2.45
	1.86	2.35
	5	13
	2	8
	16	19
	−0.016	+0.016
	19%	52%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Mittelstadt – Peterka
10:2229% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
6:0857% CF
L3Tuch – Jost – Cozens
5:5843% CF
L4Greenway – Thompson – Biro
4:4433% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
14:3835% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
12:2435% CF
D3Johnson – Bryson
7:1750% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:0650% CF
PP2Okposo – Mittelstadt – Krebs – Peterka – Power
0:37
PK1FGreenway – Thompson
2:13
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
0:55
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
2:27
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
0:31

Current BUF line combinations →

Philadelphia Flyers

L1Atkinson – Couturier – Tippett
10:3581% CF
L2Konecny – Frost – Foerster
9:4769% CF
L3Cates – Farabee – Brink
9:1973% CF
L4Deslauriers – Laughton – Hathaway
7:5762% CF
D1Sanheim – York
17:4267% CF
D2Seeler – Walker
12:5057% CF
D3Belpedio – Zamula
9:1455% CF

PP1Atkinson – Couturier – Sanheim – Konecny – Brink
2:44100% CF
PP2Tippett – Frost – Cates – York – Foerster
2:01100% CF
PK1FAtkinson – Couturier
1:27
PK2FLaughton – Konecny
0:37
PK1DSanheim – York
1:23
PK2DSeeler – Walker
1:12

Current PHI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:55
PHIJoel Farabee (Travis Sanheim)wrist0.04 xG
BUF: Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, PowerPHI: Couturier, Walker, Farabee, Zamula, Brink
BUF 0 – 1 PHI
3:38
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (JJ Peterka, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.16 xG
BUF: Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, PowerPHI: Cates, Walker, Farabee, Zamula, Brink
BUF 1 – 1 PHI
10:00
BUFBrandon Biro (Tage Thompson, Jordan Greenway)wrist0.49 xG
BUF: Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Biro, PowerPHI: Atkinson, Seeler, Couturier, Tippett, Walker
BUF 2 – 1 PHI
16:17
PHICam Atkinson (Travis Sanheim)tip-in0.09 xG
BUF: Johnson, Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, BrysonPHI: Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York
BUF 2 – 2 PHI

3rd period

3:03
BUFOwen Power (Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, PowerPHI: Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York
BUF 3 – 2 PHI
13:28
BUFTage Thompson (Alex Tuch)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, SamuelssonPHI: Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster
BUF 4 – 2 PHI
16:52
BUFBrandon BiroEN (Casey Mittelstadt, Peyton Krebs)wrist0.96 xG
BUF: Johnson, Mittelstadt, Krebs, Biro, PowerPHI: Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Brink
BUF 5 – 2 PHI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	15:38	—	—	32	34
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	1	1	2	0	1	0.16	1	1	0	15:12	—	—	26	31
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	15:02	—	—	27	30
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	44	27
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	14:01	—	—	46	30
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	0	4	13:06	—	—	52	47
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.10	3	1	0	17:50	—	—	38	45
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	14:33	—	—	38	25
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:16	—	—	31	34
Tage Thompson C	L4	1	2	3	+3	1	0.14	0	2	0	17:59	—	—	35	65
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:36	—	—	33	75
Brandon Biro L	L4	2	0	2	+2	2	1.45	0	1	0	10:39	—	—	29	75
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	6	3	2	26:07	—	—	33	32
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	4	0	0	23:49	—	—	37	31
Owen Power D	D2	1	0	1	+3	1	0.11	0	2	0	23:45	—	—	30	53
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.02	0	5	0	19:28	—	—	32	67
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:20	—	—	47	23
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	8:23	—	—	55	26

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	40	38	2	.950	2.97	60:00

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Couturier C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	75	44
Cam Atkinson R	L1	1	0	1	-2	5	0.30	0	0	0	18:07	—	—	77	45
Owen Tippett R	L1	0	0	0	-2	6	0.38	3	0	0	15:31	—	—	72	43
Travis Konecny R	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.43	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	67	76
Morgan Frost C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.16	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	64	77
Tyson Foerster R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	1	0	16:18	—	—	48	40
Bobby Brink R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	1	0	0	15:30	—	—	59	37
Noah Cates L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	59	34
Joel Farabee L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.08	0	1	0	14:02	—	—	74	75
Scott Laughton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	11:33	—	—	53	70
Nicolas Deslauriers L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	6	0	2	10:19	—	—	57	79
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	7	0	0	10:15	—	—	53	79
Cam York D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	1	2	0	25:04	—	—	66	67
Travis Sanheim D	D1	0	2	2	-2	2	0.31	0	1	2	24:35	—	—	67	65
Sean Walker D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	1	4	0	20:33	—	—	64	45
Nick Seeler D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	0	17:27	—	—	62	35
Egor Zamula D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:51	—	—	67	68
Louie Belpedio D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	3	1	0	12:42	—	—	58	75

PHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Samuel Ersson	L	9	7	2	.778	0.79	49:16
Carter Hart(start)	—	5	3	2	.600	0.83	10:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Joel Farabee (PHI) 1st 0:55 · assists Travis Sanheim · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 34.9 mph shot · 2.1 s from entry to goal.

Joel Farabee · 1st 0:55 · PHI

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 34.9 mph
Distance: 33 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 3:38 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 2
Shot: 52.8 mph
Distance: 22 ft
Entry to goal: 2.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Biro · 3rd 16:52 · BUF EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 47.4 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Biro · 1st 10:00 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 7.6 mph
Distance: 12 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Cam Atkinson · 1st 16:17 · PHI

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 31.6 mph
Distance: 31 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Owen Power · 3rd 3:03 · BUF

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.9 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 3rd 13:28 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 55.0 mph
Distance: 21 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.