Betting research
NHL Defense vs Position 2017-18
Shots on goal, goals and points each NHL team allows per game to opposing centres, wingers and defencemen: hockey's defense-vs-position table for player props and DFS, with how much of it repeats.
New York Islanders leads NHL teams with 11.33 shots allowed to defencemen per game in 2017-18, 0.16 more than Toronto Maple Leafs.
Most and fewest shots allowed to defencemen per game, 2017-18
New York Islanders11.3382 GP
Toronto Maple Leafs11.1782 GP
Florida Panthers10.7882 GP
Colorado Avalanche10.7382 GP
New York Rangers10.4082 GP
Minnesota Wild10.3882 GP
St. Louis Blues7.9882 GP
Philadelphia Flyers8.1382 GP
San Jose Sharks8.5082 GP
Washington Capitals8.6282 GP
Carolina Hurricanes8.6282 GP
Columbus Blue Jackets8.9382 GP
Does defense vs position repeat?
Partly. Odd games against even games, 2017-18 to 2025-26: shots allowed to centres r = 0.51, wingers 0.44, defencemen 0.65; points allowed 0.39, 0.43 and 0.47. Season to season: 0.34, 0.28 and 0.55 for shots.
Most of that is the team's total shots and goals allowed. The share that goes to defencemen repeats less (0.46 within a season).
Against the market
We tested defense vs position on 3,231 shots-on-goal props from 196 games in 2025-26 (closing lines, several US books). The opponent's shots allowed to the player's position, before the game, correlated 0.03 with the result against the line. Against the softest matchups overs hit 51.0% with the market at 50.7% (478 props); against the toughest, 46.8% against 50.2% (530). That is within noise of the prices, and smaller than the vig.
The books price the matchup already. Use these tables for context and DFS, not as a bet on their own. Our shots model against the books, live: model vs market.
By position, 2017-18
| Team | GP | Shots on goal allowed / GP | Points allowed / GP | Goals allowed / GP | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | W | D | C | W | D | C | W | D | ||
| 82 | 11.09 | 13.17 | 11.33 | 3.45 | 3.57 | 2.68 | 1.38 | 1.54 | 0.66 | |
| 82 | 10.60 | 12.09 | 11.17 | 2.71 | 3.00 | 1.84 | 1.07 | 1.27 | 0.46 | |
| 82 | 10.60 | 13.22 | 10.78 | 2.94 | 3.15 | 1.85 | 1.30 | 1.24 | 0.41 | |
| 82 | 9.73 | 12.83 | 10.73 | 2.72 | 2.83 | 2.30 | 1.04 | 1.27 | 0.57 | |
| 82 | 11.57 | 13.37 | 10.40 | 3.05 | 3.28 | 2.22 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 0.52 | |
| 82 | 9.62 | 11.33 | 10.38 | 2.46 | 2.96 | 2.12 | 1.01 | 1.27 | 0.51 | |
| 82 | 9.45 | 12.60 | 10.17 | 3.04 | 3.05 | 2.00 | 1.15 | 1.52 | 0.39 | |
| 82 | 10.50 | 12.73 | 9.89 | 2.37 | 3.01 | 1.51 | 0.95 | 1.22 | 0.38 | |
| 82 | 10.44 | 12.57 | 9.88 | 2.76 | 3.29 | 2.10 | 1.21 | 1.49 | 0.40 | |
| 82 | 9.87 | 12.12 | 9.88 | 2.35 | 2.68 | 1.91 | 1.01 | 1.09 | 0.54 | |
| 82 | 11.13 | 12.15 | 9.79 | 3.22 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.39 | 1.56 | 0.51 | |
| 82 | 10.24 | 12.48 | 9.71 | 2.44 | 2.71 | 1.79 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 0.45 | |
| 82 | 9.89 | 13.15 | 9.68 | 2.56 | 3.21 | 2.01 | 1.04 | 1.37 | 0.45 | |
| 82 | 10.11 | 12.20 | 9.60 | 2.72 | 3.07 | 2.06 | 1.04 | 1.43 | 0.46 | |
| 82 | 9.68 | 12.63 | 9.55 | 2.65 | 3.68 | 2.07 | 1.02 | 1.66 | 0.41 | |
| 82 | 10.63 | 12.13 | 9.54 | 3.01 | 3.43 | 1.98 | 1.21 | 1.65 | 0.29 | |
| 82 | 10.61 | 12.80 | 9.28 | 3.27 | 3.71 | 2.21 | 1.34 | 1.54 | 0.51 | |
| 82 | 10.63 | 12.23 | 9.24 | 3.16 | 3.21 | 2.09 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 0.46 | |
| 82 | 9.55 | 12.39 | 9.20 | 2.73 | 3.44 | 2.16 | 1.16 | 1.33 | 0.54 | |
| 82 | 9.04 | 11.63 | 9.17 | 2.76 | 2.67 | 1.84 | 0.98 | 1.21 | 0.52 | |
| 82 | 9.94 | 11.68 | 9.10 | 2.62 | 2.96 | 1.88 | 1.07 | 1.18 | 0.49 | |
| 82 | 9.02 | 11.13 | 9.09 | 2.33 | 2.70 | 1.71 | 0.95 | 1.28 | 0.34 | |
| 82 | 10.34 | 11.76 | 9.05 | 2.74 | 2.96 | 1.95 | 1.11 | 1.27 | 0.59 | |
| 82 | 10.35 | 12.84 | 9.01 | 2.93 | 3.43 | 2.12 | 1.21 | 1.41 | 0.54 | |
| 82 | 9.55 | 12.40 | 8.99 | 2.17 | 2.73 | 1.57 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.37 | |
| 82 | 9.87 | 12.51 | 8.93 | 2.55 | 3.06 | 1.84 | 0.98 | 1.35 | 0.43 | |
| 82 | 8.61 | 11.62 | 8.62 | 2.99 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 1.10 | 1.44 | 0.55 | |
| 82 | 10.13 | 13.11 | 8.62 | 2.84 | 3.15 | 1.72 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 0.26 | |
| 82 | 9.68 | 12.16 | 8.50 | 2.49 | 3.21 | 1.74 | 1.12 | 1.26 | 0.38 | |
| 82 | 9.12 | 12.60 | 8.13 | 2.85 | 2.98 | 1.96 | 1.21 | 1.32 | 0.35 | |
| 82 | 9.65 | 12.11 | 7.98 | 2.70 | 2.91 | 1.66 | 1.13 | 1.21 | 0.37 | |
Regular season, from NHL boxscores. Wingers are left and right wings together.
Last 10 games
Ten games is a small window: about a third of the gap between teams here is noise that the season line averages out.
| Team | GP | Shots on goal allowed / GP | Points allowed / GP | Goals allowed / GP | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | W | D | C | W | D | C | W | D | ||
| 10 | 11.30 | 14.50 | 11.60 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 0.70 | |
| 10 | 9.30 | 14.70 | 11.30 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | 11.50 | 12.40 | 10.80 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 0.60 | |
| 10 | 12.40 | 12.70 | 10.50 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 0.90 | |
| 10 | 9.70 | 10.70 | 10.40 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1.50 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | 10.40 | 12.20 | 10.40 | 2.80 | 4.10 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | 9.30 | 14.20 | 10.00 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.10 | |
| 10 | 11.10 | 13.50 | 9.90 | 2.70 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 10.60 | 11.40 | 9.90 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.70 | |
| 10 | 9.10 | 12.40 | 9.80 | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 8.10 | 15.50 | 9.50 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.80 | |
| 10 | 10.30 | 11.10 | 9.40 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 0.70 | 1.70 | 0.80 | |
| 10 | 9.40 | 12.10 | 9.40 | 2.70 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 0.60 | |
| 10 | 10.30 | 12.70 | 9.30 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 0.70 | |
| 10 | 11.50 | 11.80 | 9.20 | 3.90 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 8.70 | 10.70 | 9.00 | 1.90 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 10.60 | 9.90 | 8.90 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | 10.20 | 12.90 | 8.90 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.10 | 0.20 | |
| 10 | 8.30 | 10.10 | 8.90 | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.40 | |
| 10 | 9.80 | 12.10 | 8.90 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 8.80 | 13.70 | 8.90 | 2.20 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 0.70 | 1.40 | 0.80 | |
| 10 | 7.00 | 11.90 | 8.80 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.90 | |
| 10 | 9.70 | 12.60 | 8.80 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 0.40 | |
| 10 | 9.30 | 12.50 | 8.80 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.20 | |
| 10 | 12.60 | 11.90 | 8.70 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 1.60 | 0.30 | |
| 10 | 9.00 | 11.70 | 8.60 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 0.20 | |
| 10 | 8.20 | 12.80 | 8.60 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | 12.40 | 9.80 | 8.50 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.40 | |
| 10 | 11.20 | 12.30 | 7.90 | 4.30 | 4.90 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | 7.20 | 12.70 | 7.90 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 0.70 | 1.30 | 0.90 | |
| 10 | 11.30 | 13.30 | 6.60 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.20 | |
What defense vs position measures
Shots on goal, goals and points each team allows to opposing centres, wingers and defencemen, per game. Wingers are left and right wings together. It is the hockey version of football's defense-vs-position tables used for player props and DFS.
Shots allowed by position repeat moderately within a season (odd vs even games: centres 0.51, wingers 0.44, defencemen 0.65), and points allowed less (0.43). Most of it is the team's total shots and goals allowed, re-sorted.
We tested it on 3,231 shots-on-goal props from 196 games in 2025-26. Opponents who allow the most shots to a position barely changed results against the closing line: correlation 0.03. The books already price the matchup, so treat this as context, not an edge.
Frequently asked questions
Which NHL team allows the most shots to defencemen in 2017-18?
New York Islanders allows 11.33 shots on goal per game to opposing defencemen through Jun 7.
Does defense vs position beat NHL shot props?
Not in our test: across 3,231 2025-26 shots-on-goal props, the opponent's shots allowed to the player's position correlated 0.03 with results against the closing line. Against the toughest third of matchups, overs hit 46.8% (market 50.2%).