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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Auston Matthews

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.6.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 196, Hits 139.

Matthews's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Faceoff win % 59.7%, On-ice PDO 1016.

Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Fantilli 16–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliMatthews
Goals (+2)0.670.79
Assists (+1)0.400.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.36
Hits (+0.1)0.200.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Matthews

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliMatthews
5Team record in 8 meetings3
5Points in those games11

Fantilli 4G 1A, 24 SOG · Matthews 7G 4A, 38 SOG

11Faceoffs against each other16

Fantilli's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 6–7 · Fantilli's defensive zone 4–6 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other2

Fantilli blocked 2 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 2 of Fantilli's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

6:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
13–7
65.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
64.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Auston Matthews
DateScoreFantilliMatthews
2025-11-26CBJ 1–2 TOR0G 0A 7S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-29CBJ 6–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2025-04-05CBJ 0–5 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2025-01-22CBJ 5–1 TOR3G 0A 4S1G 0A 6S
2024-10-22CBJ 6–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-29CBJ 6–5 TOR1G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-12-23CBJ 1–4 TOR0G 1A 1S2G 1A 5S
2023-12-14CBJ 6–5 TOR0G 0A 3S2G 1A 9S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliMatthews

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Auston Matthews?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Matthews done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 5–3. Fantilli had 5 points (4 goals) and Matthews had 11 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Matthews?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 11 and Matthews 16 of their 27 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →