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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Brock Nelson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nelson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fantilli for 1.6 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Hits 139, Offensive-zone start % 73.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.36.

Nelson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Forecheck xG /60 0.42, Goals above expected +1.1.

Head to head on the dot, Fantilli leads Nelson 17–16.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliNelson
Goals (+2)0.670.89
Assists (+1)0.400.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.22
Hits (+0.1)0.200.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Nelson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliNelson
1Team record in 7 meetings6
3Points in those games3

Fantilli 2G 1A, 13 SOG · Nelson 2G 1A, 21 SOG

17Faceoffs against each other16

Fantilli's offensive zone 8–3 · neutral 6–8 · Fantilli's defensive zone 3–5 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

5:02 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
8–1
88.9%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
97.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Brock Nelson
DateScoreFantilliNelson
2026-01-10CBJ 0–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-16CBJ 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-03CBJ 3–7 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-20CBJ 1–3 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-30CBJ 2–0 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-07CBJ 3–7 NYI2G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-28CBJ 0–2 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 8S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliNelson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to C

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Brock Nelson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Nelson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 1–6. Fantilli had 3 points (2 goals) and Nelson had 3 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Nelson?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 17 and Nelson 16 of their 33 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →