Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fantilli vs Bryan Rust
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.
Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games.
This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rust has 1 left. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.6.
Bryan Rust has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Fantilli's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 552, Hits 139, Transition attempts /60 1.36.
Rust's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.5, Luck Meter +32, On-ice PDO 1019.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fantilli
1.83
fantasy points per game
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fantilli | Rust |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.81 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Rust
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fantilli 1G 3A, 18 SOG · Rust 3G 2A, 27 SOG
On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)
16:00 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–14
- 62.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.4
- 75.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fantilli | Rust |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CBJ 4–3 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-04 | CBJ 4–5 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-28 | CBJ 3–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-25 | CBJ 5–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-21 | CBJ 3–6 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-07 | CBJ 4–3 PIT | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-15 | CBJ 6–2 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-14 | CBJ 3–5 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fantilli
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fantilli or Bryan Rust in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Bryan Rust?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fantilli and Rust done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 4–4. Fantilli had 4 points (1 goals) and Rust had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →