Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Alexandre Carrier
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Carrier had 22 in 73 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Carrier has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 15–15.
Larsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Hits 110, Shots on goal 106.
Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Sequence xG 50.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Carrier |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Carrier
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 2G 1A, 13 SOG · Carrier 0G 4A, 9 SOG
Larsson blocked 0 of Carrier's shots; Carrier blocked 1 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
5:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–6
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Carrier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SEA 3–4 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-14 | SEA 4–5 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-12 | SEA 5–4 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3–0 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-15 | SEA 7–3 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-16 | SEA 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-02 | SEA 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-12 | SEA 0–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-01-25 | SEA 2–4 NSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-10-14 | SEA 4–3 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2020-01-14 | EDM 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to D
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to D
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to D
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Alexandre Carrier in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Carrier had 22 in 73 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Alexandre Carrier?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 15–15 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Larsson and Carrier done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 6–5. Larsson had 3 points (2 goals) and Carrier had 4 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →