Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 2 left. We project Harley for 4.0 ESPN points to Larsson's 3.7.
Thomas Harley has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Hardest shot 98.4, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.
Harley's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.65
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.92
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 2G 3A, 28 SOG · Harley 2G 10A, 24 SOG
Larsson blocked 3 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
15:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–21
- 22.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.2
- 20.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | SEA 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1–5 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-13 | SEA 0–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-30 | SEA 0–3 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-18 | SEA 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-05-15 · PO | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-05-13 · PO | SEA 6–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-05-11 · PO | SEA 2–5 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-05-09 · PO | SEA 3–6 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Thomas Harley
2games
4.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL1.8 ptsSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Thomas Harley leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Harley done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 4–13. Larsson had 5 points (2 goals) and Harley had 12 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →