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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Thomas Harley

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.49.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Lafrenière has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 2 left. We project Harley for 4.0 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 2.8.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Scoring chances 54.3%, Corsi 52.4%, Fenwick 51.7%.

Harley's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Plus/minus +3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.64

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreHarley
Goals (+2)0.590.17
Assists (+1)0.400.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.16
Hits (+0.1)0.100.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.261.06

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreHarley
3Team record in 5 meetings2
2Points in those games3

Lafrenière 2G 0A, 12 SOG · Harley 1G 2A, 13 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

3:30 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
1–1
50.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
8.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Thomas Harley
DateScoreLafrenièreHarley
2026-04-11NYR 0–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-07NYR 4–5 DAL2G 0A 6S1G 2A 6S
2024-12-20NYR 3–1 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-20NYR 3–1 DAL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-12NYR 7–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (2 left)

2.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B1.5 pts
    Schedule edge −13.4 win%vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Thomas Harley

2games

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL1.8 pts
    vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.49. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Harley done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 3–2. Lafrenière had 2 points (2 goals) and Harley had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →