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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs MacKenzie Weegar

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Weegar has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, On-ice PDO 1016, Luck Meter +16.

Weegar's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 50, Penalty minutes 88.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreWeegar
Goals (+2)0.490.09
Assists (+1)0.340.28
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.110.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.211.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreWeegar
5Team record in 10 meetings5
5Points in those games6

Lafrenière 5G 0A, 20 SOG · Weegar 1G 5A, 28 SOG

1Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other0

Lafrenière blocked 2 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 0 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

7:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
8–4
66.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
84.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreLafrenièreWeegar
2025-10-26NYR 1–5 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-18NYR 1–2 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2024-11-21NYR 2–3 CGY1G 0A 5S0G 3A 7S
2024-02-12NYR 2–0 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24NYR 3–1 CGY1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-18NYR 2–3 CGY1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-06NYR 5–4 CGY1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-01NYR 5–2 FLA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2021-12-29NYR 3–4 FLA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2021-11-08NYR 4–3 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreWeegar

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Weegar done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 5–5. Lafrenière had 5 points (5 goals) and Weegar had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →