Who to start · 2025-26
Mikko Rantanen vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.
Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Ascension score 54, Luck Meter +45.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 148.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rantanen | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.81 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rantanen 5G 6A, 41 SOG · Harley 0G 1A, 17 SOG
Rantanen blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 6 of Rantanen's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
390:18 at 5-on-5 over 60 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 353–393
- 47.3%
- Expected goals
- 17.8–18.3
- 49.3%
- Goals
- 17–16
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rantanen | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | COL 6–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | COL 3–5 DAL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-05-17 · PO | COL 1–2 DAL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-15 · PO | COL 5–3 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | COL 1–5 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | COL 1–4 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | COL 3–5 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | COL 4–3 DAL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-27 | COL 5–1 DAL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-04 | COL 5–4 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-13 | COL 4–0 DAL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-15 | COL 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rantanen and Harley done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 6–6. Rantanen had 11 points (5 goals) and Harley had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

